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AP:
"Iran's President Hassan Rouhani said Wednesday that the sharp fall
in global oil prices is the result of 'treachery,' in an apparent
reference to regional rival Saudi Arabia, which opposed production cuts.
Oil prices have plunged by more than 40 percent since June to around $65
a barrel, placing severe strain on Iran's economy, which is already
hobbled by international sanctions imposed over its nuclear program. An
OPEC meeting last month failed to reach agreement on production curbs,
mainly because of Saudi opposition. Rouhani told a Cabinet meeting
Wednesday that the fall in prices is at least partly 'politically
motivated,' the result of a 'conspiracy against the interests of the
region, the Muslim people and the Muslim world.' His comments reflect concerns
among Saudi Arabia's rivals that the kingdom is capable of withstanding
the revenue losses and is forcing lower oil prices to damage their
economies. 'Iran and people of the region will not forget such
conspiracies, or in other words, treachery against the interests of the
Muslim world,' he said." http://t.uani.com/1Gjx4W6
AP:
"Iran is being accused of illicitly stepping up purchases for its
heavy water reactor, which if completed will produce enough plutonium for
several nuclear weapons a year, U.N. diplomats said Tuesday... The U.S.
and its partners want Iran to agree to re-engineer Arak to a light-water
reactor that produces only minuscule amounts of plutonium. The Iranians
would rather re-engineer it to produce less plutonium - but that process
is reversible, and therefore opposed by the Americans. The allegation
against Iran by an unnamed country, if true, would suggest that Tehran is
rejecting the U.S. reconfiguration into a light-water reactor. The
accusation was contained in a report to the Security Council sanctions
committee prepared by experts monitoring sanctions against Iran,
according to two diplomats familiar with the report. They spoke
anonymously because the report hasn't been made public." http://t.uani.com/1zP1Rbc
Reuters:
"Iran's oil minister has denied Tehran and Moscow are close to an
agreement on an oil-for-goods swap, the semi-official Mehr news agency
reported on Wednesday. Russia's Economy Minister Alexei Ulyukayev was
quoted on Nov. 30 as saying Russia hoped for an agreement soon on a deal
to supply grain and equipment to Iran in return for oil, but Iran Oil
Minister Bijan Zanganeh told Mehr there was no such plan in prospect.
'The idea of bartering Iranian oil in return for Russian commodities
(goods) is not true and such an agreement has never taken place between
the two countries,' he was quoted as saying. 'Iran and Russia have merely
agreed on bilateral cooperation in oil and gas industries, based on which
Iran will take advantage of Russian firms' technical and operational capabilities
in its oil and gas industries,' he said, according to Mehr. Russian and
Iranian sources told Reuters in January that the two sides were
discussing a barter deal worth up to $20 billion that would involve
Moscow buying up to 500,000 barrels a day of Iranian oil in exchange for
Russian equipment and goods." http://t.uani.com/1ByxD0f
Sanctions Relief
IRNA (Iran):
"The Second Iranian Auto Industry International Conference 2014,
held in Tehran on December 1, was attended by representatives of over 30
countries' automobile and auto spare parts production companies and
ambassadors of 17 states to Iran... Some of the foreign managers, experts
and officials present at the confab included Senior Vice President of
Renault Group and Chairman of Africa-Middle East-India Region Bernard
Cambier, Vice President of the European Association of Automotive
Suppliers Arnaud De David-Beauregard, Member of Managing Board of PSA
Peugeot Citroen Jean-Christophe Quemard, Deputy of FAW Group Lee Baoquan,
Managing Director of Obermeyer Holding Gmbh Maximilian Grauvogl, Managing
Director of Pininfarina SpA Silvio Pietro Angori, French Ambassador in
Tehran Bruno Foucher and Andreas Gerhard Goldmann, a German university
professor." http://t.uani.com/1yzUxhm
Trend:
"While Iran's targeted oil export revenues hasn't been realized, a
41 percent decrease in OPEC basket price compared to June has choked off
the country's economy and budget incomes. Falling OPEC oil basket price
from $107.89 in mid-June to $62.33 on Dec.9 was unexpected for Iran,
which had set its yearly budget based on $100/barrel prices. While,
according to its budget law, Iran should have exported 1.3 million
barrels per day of crude oil (including the natural gas condensate), the
statistics released by Reuters on Nov.29 reported that Iran's oil exports
to Asia stood at 1.11 million barrels per day during the ten months of
2014. Iran also has about 0.1 mbpd of oil export to Turkey, but the
Iranian Oil Ministry has confirmed that targeted 1.3 mbmpd oil export
hasn't been realized." http://t.uani.com/12tFcpR
Sanctions
Enforcement & Impact
Reuters:
"Standard Chartered will face another three years of scrutiny by
U.S. prosecutors for compliance with government sanctions against certain
countries, according to documents filed on Tuesday that also noted
another probe of the bank is underway. The original deferred prosecution
agreements, struck with the U.S. Justice Department and the Manhattan
district attorney over the bank's violations related to U.S. sanctions on
Iran and other countries, was due to expire on Wednesday. The agreement
to extend the deals means that the bank will face enhanced oversight for
a longer period of time and could be hit with harsher penalties. The
deferred prosecutions could be pulled back in the next three years and
criminal charges against the bank could be filed, said Joan Vollero, a
spokeswoman for the Manhattan district attorney. In a statement, the bank
said it agreed to the extension and would work with authorities to reach
the standard required." http://t.uani.com/1IA4nYM
Terrorism
AFP:
"A delegation of Hamas which controls Gaza arrived Monday for talks
with Iranian officials on repairing ties, local media reported. Tasnim
news agency said the team was led by Hamas political bureau member
Mohammed Nasr and included Ossama Hamdan, who is in charge of international
relations. The visit is aimed at clearing the way for a mission by Hamas
chief Khaled Meshaal, Amir Mousavi, the head of Tehran's Centre of
Strategic Research, said on the website of Hamas-linked Palestinian daily
Al-Ressalah." http://t.uani.com/1yyFdqz
Human Rights
Free Beacon:
"The Iranian regime has launched a nationwide social media campaign
called, 'We Love Fighting Israel,' which encourages Iranian children,
teens, and Internet users to photograph themselves alongside messages of
hate for the Jewish state. The movement has sprouted online in the last
few days across social media sites such as Twitter, Instagram, and other
platforms as a result of a recent call by Iranian Supreme Leader
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei rallying the nation to take on Israel... The
anti-Israel campaign now 'has gone viral on the web,' according to Iran's
state-controlled Mehr News Agency, 'getting more and more boost from
individuals who post photos reading similar sentences, [and] sharing the
#Fightingthezionists hash tag.' ... One picture in particular has caught
the eye of Iran critics on the web and prompted a harsh response to the
anti-Israel campaign. The photo shows a young child decked out in
military gear and holding a sign that translates from Farsi as, 'I love
fighting against Zionists.' ... It is not the only photo to depict young
children as participating in the campaign to fight Israel... The American
nonprofit group United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI), which works to
prevent Tehran from obtaining a nuclear weapon, expressed disgust at the
campaign on its Twitter account. UANI lashed out at the Iranian regime
for promoting 'vile hate' and the 'indoctrination of hate children.'
Additionally, Matan Shamir, UANI's director of research, called on social
media sites to immediately take steps to remove the Iranian campaign.
'The Iranian regime's brazen exploitation and indoctrination of innocent
children to hate and commit violence is utterly deplorable,' Shamir said.
'Instagram and its parent company Facebook must enforce their own
guidelines prohibiting hate speech and incitement to violence, and remove
such propaganda immediately.' Shamir went on to criticize Iran for its
own domestic human rights abuses, such as preventing average citizens
from accessing the Internet. 'It is intolerable that while the regime
blocks its own citizens from accessing many popular social media
platforms, it uses them to advance its own crude and hateful ideology,'
he said." http://t.uani.com/1zPbEOy
AFP:
"Award-winning Iranian human rights lawyer Nasrin Sotoudeh was arrested
on Wednesday on unknown charges, her husband said, weeks after she was
barred from practising for three years. The couple's car was surrounded
by intelligence agents on a highway in Tehran, Reza Khandan wrote on his
Facebook page. 'Nasrin and I were arrested. I was freed but Nasrin is
still in detention,' he said, describing it as 'their gift for World
Human Rights Day' which was being marked on Wednesday. Sotoudeh, who won
the European parliament's prestigious Sakharov rights prize in 2012, was
released from jail last year halfway through a six-year sentence for
'actions against national security' and spreading 'propaganda against the
regime'. In September a Tehran court barred her from practising for three
years." http://t.uani.com/1yyC7mi
RFE/RL:
"An animal rights activist who was detained in Iran on December 4
has been released by authorities in Tehran. Ali Tabarzadi was released
during the weekend without being formally charged. Authorities have not
provided a reason for his arrest on December 4. One of Tabarzadi's
relatives told RFE/RL's Radio Farda that he was interrogated about his
activities as an animal rights activist. Tabarzadi's brother, Hossein
Tabarzadi, said eight security agents searched the family's house in
Tehran on December 4 and took away computers and other personal items.
Tabarzadi, the son of well-known political prisoner Heshmatollah
Tabarzadi, was detained ahead of a rally planned to protest the
mistreatment of animals." http://t.uani.com/1vEih1T
Domestic
Politics
Al-Monitor:
"At an anti-corruption conference, Iran's President Hassan Rouhani
railed against corruption and according to many observers, took an
indirect shot at the dominance of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps
(IRGC) in military, economic and media matters. During the Dec. 8 speech
Rouhani said, 'We have to eliminate the consolidation of power. With the
consolidation of power in one institution corruption is created,
regardless of what you do. If the guns, the money, the newspapers, the
websites is gathered in one place, certainly there will be
corruption.'" http://t.uani.com/1vEi6Un
Guardian:
"'Not only have they increased the price, they've reduced the
weight, though don't tell anyone I told you,' laughs a young baker, no
more than 25, who speaks quickly and works even faster in a bakery just
off Khayyam street, near south Tehran's Mowlawi avenue... Bakeries, not
usually a place of much excitement, have been the scene of heated
conversations these past days after prices went up on 1 December by
30%." http://t.uani.com/1vEiUZg
Foreign Affairs
Reuters:
"The Houthis deny they are copying the Iranian-backed Hezbollah
movement, the most powerful force in Lebanon. But similarities in
tactics, such as blocking the airport road and setting up protest camps
in the capital, have prompted accusations that the Houthis get support
from Iran. Salah al-Sammad, a Houthi who advises the president, says the
group only assumed control to root out corruption, and will leave once
the government can provide security in Sanaa. That assertion is greeted
with some scepticism, and a senior security official told Reuters that
Iran sent weapons and money to the Houthis, whose leaders had traveled to
Iran and Lebanon. Sammad denied receiving Iranian support. But a large
bomb at the Iranian ambassador's residence last week, claimed by AQAP,
appeared also to be a message that the Houthis have outstayed their
welcome. It is hard to see how Yemen can avoid sectarian conflict between
the Houthis and al Qaeda. The bomb at the Iranian envoy's house may just
be the beginning." http://t.uani.com/1yzSNot
Al-Monitor:
"Israel has launched at least four airstrikes on Syrian military
sites since the start of the Syrian civil war, but the attack on Dec. 7
was the most extensive in terms of the number of targeted sites...
Concerning the impact of the Israeli raids on the situation in Syria,
retired Brig. Gen. Hafez Nabil told Al-Monitor, 'The recent Israeli
strikes are in no way linked to the military or political situation in
Syria. ... The Israeli operation is mainly targeting the batches of arms
sent to Hezbollah.' 'Israel is not quite interested in what is happening
in Syria, with the exception of the border area in the occupied Golan
Heights. The raids carried out on Sunday [Dec. 7] were targeting a new
batch of Iranian weapons heading to Lebanon - following the batch of
Iran-made Fateh 110 advanced missiles - especially since the political
and security chaos in Syria made the smuggling of advanced weapons easy,'
he added." http://t.uani.com/1ukHMoD
Tasnim (Iran):
"Iran's First Vice President Eshaq Jahangiri likened the country to
the island of stability in a Middle East which he said is facing the
threat of extremist groups. Today, everybody admits that 'Iran is the
island of stability in the Middle East region,' Jahangiri said in the
western city of Hamedan on Wednesday." http://t.uani.com/1siHyyp
Opinion &
Analysis
David Gardner in
FT: "The Saudis have never abandoned the use of
petrodollars for political ends; it is its principal diplomatic weapon.
But now they and their Gulf allies appear to be using the oil price
itself as a political weapon - aimed principally at Iran. The practice of
hosing socio-political problems with money has been especially visible
since the chain of Arab uprisings began four years ago. In early 2011,
King Abdullah fired a $130bn welfare broadside at his Saudi subjects. But
this traditional model of buying loyalty was quickly exported to
neighbouring countries under stress. Within hours of the 2013 Egyptian
coup against the Muslim Brotherhood - a rival Pan-Islamic brand - Saudi
Arabia and the United Arab Emirates had a $12bn aid package ready for the
generals, almost 10 times annual US aid to Egypt's military. But the more
threatening regional rival to the House of Saud and its absolutist brand
of Sunni Islam is Iran - which, since the 2003 US-led Iraq invasion
installed a Shia government there, has forged an Arab Shia axis from
Baghdad to Beirut, with influence, too, in Saudi neighbours Yemen and
Bahrain. Wahhabi Saudi Arabia's visceral hatred of the Shia - as well as
its rivalry with the Persian and Shia Islamic Republic for hegemony in
the Gulf and the Levant - should be factored into the oil price equation.
Riyadh, sitting on foreign exchange reserves of more than $750bn, can
ride out lower oil revenues. Iran, which needs the price to be twice the
current level to make ends meet, is haemorrhaging. Already economically
hobbled by sanctions, Tehran is by some estimates spending $1.5bn a month
supporting its allies in Syria and Iraq. Iran, of course, is aligned if
not allied with the US and its European and Arab partners, including
Saudi Arabia, in the fight against the Islamic State of Iraq and the
Levant. And President Barack Obama continues to pursue a rapprochement with
Tehran through negotiations over its nuclear ambitions. But the US cannot
be in any doubt about Saudi sentiments towards Shia Iran and the idea of
a regional thaw. According to a well-placed Arab figure, a senior Saudi
official told John Kerry, US secretary of state, while he was talking to
Sunni Arab leaders this summer about a coalition against the jihadis:
'Isis is our [Sunni] response to your support for the Da'wa' - the
Tehran-aligned Shia Islamist ruling party of Iraq. Markets of course
influence oil prices; but so do viscera." http://t.uani.com/1zvsB2a
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Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against
Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear
Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the
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email Press@UnitedAgainstNuclearIran.com
United Against Nuclear
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