Monday, December 8, 2014

Eye on Iran: Kerry Predicts Iran Nuclear Talks Will be Settled Long Before June Deadline








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WashPost: "Secretary of State John F. Kerry predicted Sunday that a deal to limit Iran's nuclear capacity could be reached in three or four months, or even sooner... Kerry said it will become apparent, long before the new June 30 deadline, if an agreement is feasible. 'We're not looking at seven months,' Kerry said. 'I think the target is three, four months, and hopefully even sooner if that is possible.' ... 'Now why are we doing this?' Kerry asked. 'Because I believe, President Obama believes, the administration believes that it would be the height of irresponsibility, it would be against our own interests and those of our closest partners, to walk away from a table when and if a peaceful resolution might really be within reach.'" http://t.uani.com/1w6szLY

AP: "The Obama administration is telling members of Congress it has won significant concessions from Iran for extending nuclear talks, including promises by the Islamic republic to allow snap inspections of its facilities and to neutralize much of its remaining uranium stockpile. Those terms are included in a document that U.S. officials say represents the terms for a seven-month extension in nuclear negotiations between world powers and Iran, agreed to when the last deadline of Nov. 24 passed without an accord. A copy was obtained by The Associated Press... The officials have been presenting the Iranian concessions to lawmakers in the hopes of convincing them to support the extension and hold off on new economic sanctions that could derail the diplomatic effort. There is no proof Tehran has agreed to or will follow through on the steps outlined, and negotiators representing world powers and Iran offered few specifics on their progress when they agreed to extend negotiations until July. No signed agreement emerged from that understanding, but administration officials say Iran accepted important limits on its nuclear program in the discussions last month. The officials weren't authorized to speak publicly on the sensitive negotiations and insisted on anonymity." http://t.uani.com/1yvGutm

WashPost: "Jason Rezaian, a Washington Post reporter who has been detained in Iran for more than four months, was officially charged Saturday in a day-long proceeding in a Tehran courtroom, according to a source familiar with the case. The specifics of the charges are still unknown, at least to those not present in the courtroom. The court appearance came two days after word arrived in the West that Rezaian's detention has been extended until mid-January because the investigation against him is continuing. The charges were the first lodged since Rezaian, an Iranian American who holds dual citizenship, was arrested July 22. His family has hired a lawyer for him, but the attorney has not been permitted to visit him... The proceedings appear to dash any hope that Rezaian could be freed in the near future. It could take as long as a month for the charges to be delivered to the full court, which would then set a trial date, the source said." http://t.uani.com/1ytm612

   
Nuclear Program & Negotiations

Reuters: "U.S. Vice President Joe Biden said on Saturday there was a 'less than even shot' of a nuclear deal with Iran but that it was still worth pursuing. Biden, speaking at a forum on the Middle East at the Brookings Institution think tank, rejected calls for more sanctions against Tehran over its nuclear program because 'this is not the time to risk a breakdown when we still have a chance for a breakthrough.' Biden said the sanctions imposed by the United States and allies were working by slowing Iran's economy, as well as its nuclear program. 'It's frozen the program, it's given us a shot for a peaceful solution,' he said. 'I tell you, I think it's a less than even shot but it's a shot, nonetheless.'" http://t.uani.com/1yHADF0

Reuters: "Britain and other powers negotiating with Iran for a deal over its nuclear programme, which they suspect is aimed at building a bomb, must not make 'unwise concessions' for the sake of convenience, Foreign Secretary Phillip Hammond said on Saturday... 'We must choose persistence over convenience ... upholding our principle position on enrichment rather than succumbing to the temptation to make unwise concessions to get a deal done,' Hammond told a security conference in Bahrain... However, Hammond added that he believed that if a nuclear deal was concluded, it could help to reduce friction between Iran and other countries. 'There are many bases of mistrust between Iran and its neighbours in the Gulf, between Iran and the West, but the nuclear file is the key element here,' he said. 'If we can resolve that in a way that is satisfactory to Iran and satisfactory to the west, a series of things will then happen and they'll happen quite quickly which will change the dynamics and create an opportunity,' he added." http://t.uani.com/1yHBaac

AFP: "Israel had a critical role in stopping a deal with Iran on reining in its nuclear program from going ahead last month, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Sunday. The deal would have 'effectively left Iran as a threshold nuclear power,' he told a Washington think-tank in a recorded speech. 'Even though Israel isn't part of the P5+1 our voice and our concerns played a critical role in preventing a bad deal.' ... Calling it the most 'vital national security challenge we face,' Israel and its allies 'must use the time available to increase the pressure on Iran to dismantle its nuclear weapons capability,' Netanyahu said." http://t.uani.com/1zFqjvD

WSJ: "European Union foreign policy chief Federica Mogherini has asked Catherine Ashton, her predecessor, to stay on in the role as chief negotiator of the six powers in nuclear talks with Iran, a spokeswoman for Ms. Mogherini said. Ms. Ashton, who has chaired the six-power group since 2010, will report 'regularly' to Ms. Mogherini on the talks. 'To ensure continuity to the negotiations that require a full dedication, Ashton will facilitate the talks and she will report regularly to the High Representative,' the spokeswoman said. Ms. Mogherini will also attend the nuclear negotiations when there are future talks between Iranian Foreign Minister Javad Zarif and the foreign ministers of the six-power group." http://t.uani.com/1qk1h5d

AP: "A Chinese man conspired to export devices that can be used in nuclear production to Iran for what an alleged conspirator called 'a very big project and secret one,' according to a federal indictment. Sihai Cheng, also known as Alex Cheng, was brought to the United States Friday after being arrested in Britain earlier this year. He is expected to make an initial appearance in U.S. District Court in Boston on Monday. In a 2013 indictment, Cheng is accused of conspiracy, illegal exporting of U.S. goods to Iran and smuggling. Cheng allegedly established shell companies in China to receive pressure-measuring sensors known as 'pressure transducers' from the Shanghai subsidiary of Andover, Massachusetts-based MKS Instruments Inc., according to the indictment." http://t.uani.com/12i4siJ

Congressional Sanctions Debate

LAT: "Congress' passion for sanctions against Iran has united lawmakers of both parties and different political perspectives. But many lawmakers seem to be having second thoughts about their vows to immediately hit Iran with new economic penalties if Tehran's negotiators didn't agree to curb the nation's controversial nuclear program in negotiations that reached a one-year deadline last week. Instead, it appears that additional penalties probably will be delayed at least four months, which is the latest deadline for the negotiations between Iran and six world powers... Gary Samore, a former top White House nuclear advisor, told the committee the challenge was to devise legislation that would pressure Tehran 'without giving the Iranians an excuse to renege on the joint plan of action and blame it on the United States, which would jeopardize our ability to go back to a sanctions campaign.' ... Discussion in the committee is now about 'prospective sanctions should the deal not come together,' a Senate aide said. Those penalties would be 'down the road,' to be 'phased in over a period of time - calibrated and measured.'" http://t.uani.com/1w6B09Z

Iraq Crisis

WSJ: "Shiite militia leaders say their recent successes reflect their holy warrior zeal, superior training compared with Iraqi government troops, less corruption in the ranks and freedom from the legal, bureaucratic and human-rights restrictions on regular Iraqi forces. But some Sunni politicians, tribal leaders and human-rights advocates are worried that the take-no-prisoners tactics of many militia groups are turning them into a mirror image of the Sunni jihadists fighting on behalf of Islamic State. Militia groups have been accused of a plethora of human-rights violations, including mass shootings of prisoners and Sunni civilians and the forced displacement of Sunni families on a scale approaching ethnic cleansing. Shiite fighters boast about executing enemy soldiers after they surrender. In Jurf al-Sakher, some Al Qara'a members hurried out of a meeting with a reporter for The Wall Street Journal to deliver the severed head of an Islamic State fighter to relatives of a slain militia member before his funeral ended." http://t.uani.com/1yvJBBB

Human Rights

AFP: "Iran's telecommunications minister has said his technicians are developing a system to identify any Internet user in the country at the moment of log-on, the ISNA news agency reported Saturday. 'Because of our efforts, in future when people want to use the Internet they will be identified, and there will be no web surfer whose identity we do not know,' Mahmoud Vaezi said, without elaborating on how this would technically be done. Last month, he said the Islamic republic would have 'smart filtering' within six months to weed out Internet content the authorities deem offensive or criminal. 'The first phase of smart online filtering will be ready within a month, a second phase within three months and a third within six months', ISNA reported him as saying on November 14." http://t.uani.com/1ytnD7e

Domestic Politics

AFP: "Iran unveiled a draft budget Sunday for next year based on oil prices remaining around $70 per barrel, with President Hassan Rouhani saying the country would become less dependent on crude... Rouhani admitted the budget for the fiscal year starting in March 2015 'would be under pressure' given the big fall in oil prices in recent months, from above $100 to less than $70. 'Such a drop is unprecedented,' he said in a speech to parliament carried live on state television, noting that the government had been cautious in its forecasts. 'In the short term, we will have a decrease in our revenues. Our economy must move towards non-oil exports. The oil price drop is a new opportunity to accelerate this.' ... Rouhani said oil revenues earmarked for the budget would be $24 billion next year, down from $27.5 billion, meaning less than half the government's income would come from exported crude... Next year's non-oil-based revenues will constitute more than half the government's total income, rising to 53 percent from the current 47 percent, according to forecasts. Total spending will rise 8.5 percent." http://t.uani.com/1w6w5G5

Reuters: "Iranian President Hassan Rouhani will hike military spending by more than a third in the next fiscal year despite presenting a 'cautious, tight' budget to parliament on Sunday in response to falling oil prices and punishing sanctions arising from the country's disputed nuclear program... The 2015 general budget will be six percent above this year's, Rouhani said, although inflation means this will be a cut in real terms and will tighten spending in some areas. Yet defense expenditure will rise 33.5 percent to about 282 trillion rials, most of which will be assigned to the elite Revolutionary Guards. The Guards' budget will increase by about half to 174 trillion rials." http://t.uani.com/1A8ru6O

AP: "Iranian President Hassan Rouhani criticized widening corruption in the Islamic Republic in unusually blunt terms Monday, saying money once 'given under the table now is being given on the table.' ... Speaking at an anti-corruption conference, Rouhani said Iranians 'should apply all our power in fighting corruption.' 'In the past, (money) was said to be given under the table now is being given on the table,' the president said in comments aired live on state television. 'The continuation, the deepening and the expansion of corruption is endangering ... the Islamic Revolution.'" http://t.uani.com/1zikHJw

Opinion & Analysis

UANI Outreach Coordinator Bob Feferman in Algemeiner: "Last year, much attention was paid to President Obama's decision not to launch airstrikes against Bashar al-Assad's brutal dictatorship in Syria. Lost in much of the debate over 'red lines' and global national security was the fact that Iran has long considered Bashar al-Assad's Syria to be a loyal client state of Tehran, providing Damascus with extensive military and economic aid. The result? A 21st century problem from hell that will only be solved when the international community recognizes the nefarious role the Iranian regime has played in enabling Assad's carnage. The recent CBS News 60 Minutes segment on Syrian refugees should have been a wakeup call and moved citizens of the world to action. In the report, we learned that the regime of Bashar al-Assad has resorted to a new military tactic to subdue the popular uprising: mass starvation. As the international community seeks to negotiate a deal with Iran over its nuclear program, we must not give Iran a free pass on its support for Bashar al-Assad. If we fail, we may as well admit that we have learned nothing from history. The shocking images of starving children we saw in the 60 Minutes report were reminiscent of the Nazi Holocaust. As CBS reporter Scott Pelley said, 'Starvation is a weapon in the war that began as an uprising against the dictator Bashar al Assad.' According to the report, the situation was so bad in one Syrian city, '...The people had eaten the dogs and the cats and were running low on leaves and grass.' The one thing not mentioned in the CBS report is the central role that Iran has played in the Syrian tragedy. Today, there are 200,000 dead Syrians and millions of refugees for two reasons: Iran and Hezbollah. Since the outbreak of the conflict, Iran has provided massive economic and military support to assist Bashar al-Assad in the brutal repression of the uprising. In the meantime, an indifferent world remains silent, especially over what amount to crimes against humanity. We can't say that we don't know what Iran has been doing in Syria. Last year, the New Yorker published an in-depth profile of General Qassem Suleimani, Commander of the Quds Force of Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps. In the article, author Dexter Filkins described the pivotal role that Iran is playing in Syria under the leadership of Suleimani. He wrote, 'Suleimani began flying into Damascus frequently so that he could assume personal control of the Iranian intervention. 'He's running the war himself,' an American defense official told me. In Damascus, he is said to work out of a heavily fortified command post in a nondescript building, where he has installed a multinational array of officers: the heads of the Syrian military, a Hezbollah commander, and a coördinator of Iraqi Shiite militias, which Suleimani mobilized and brought to the fight.' The facts are sufficient to indict Iran for its role in the murder of innocent Syrian civilians. The question remains: what will the world do with these facts?" http://t.uani.com/1vERnvS
    

Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email Press@UnitedAgainstNuclearIran.com

United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) is a non-partisan, broad-based coalition that is united in a commitment to prevent Iran from fulfilling its ambition to become a regional super-power possessing nuclear weapons.  UANI is an issue-based coalition in which each coalition member will have its own interests as well as the collective goal of advancing an Iran free of nuclear weapons.

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