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Fox
News:
"Some of President Obama's closest Democratic allies are joining
Republicans in calling on the administration to reverse course and
sanction Iran for illicit missile tests. The White House had notified
Congress of looming sanctions last week and then abruptly pulled back,
without offering a specific explanation for the delay. Republicans
swiftly slammed the decision as a weak-kneed response to an increasingly
belligerent regime, but top Democrats including party Chairwoman Debbie
Wasserman Schultz are now joining in -- urging the administration to act
'immediately' to penalize Tehran. 'The United States and our allies must
take immediate, punitive action and send a clear message to Iran that
violating international laws, treaties, and agreements will have serious
consequences,' Schultz, D-Fla., and six other House Democrats wrote in a
letter Wednesday to Obama. They urged the administration to act on the
sanctions 'without further delay' and issued a stark warning about the
risk of holding back in light of the nuclear deal. 'Inaction from the
United States would send the misguided message that, in the wake of the
[nuclear deal], the international community has lost the willingness to
hold the Iranian regime accountable for its support for terrorism and
other offensive actions throughout the region,' they wrote. The lawmakers
pointed to several Iranian missile launches - including a test in October
deemed a violation of a U.N. Security Council resolution, and another in
November that the U.N. has not yet ruled on. They also cited reports last
week that an Iranian rocket came within 1,500 feet of a U.S. aircraft
carrier in the Strait of Hormuz. 'Such aggressive and destabilizing
behavior is deeply troubling, particularly preceding implementation of
the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), and demands a U.S.
response,' they wrote. In the wake of those aggressions, the
administration last week had notified Congress of plans to impose
financial penalties on companies and individuals tied to Iran's missile
program. But then the administration held back, reportedly citing
'evolving diplomatic work.' ... On Monday, White House Press Secretary
Josh Earnest insisted sanctions would be imposed. 'Ultimately, we will
impose those financial penalties -- we'll impose those sanctions at a
time and place of our choosing when our experts believe they would have
the maximum impact,' he said. 'And those decisions are not subject to
negotiation by the Iranians -- or anybody else for that matter.'" http://t.uani.com/1PQ9c5i
Reuters: "The deputy head of Iran's powerful Revolutionary
Guards (IRGC) told Saudi Arabia on Thursday it would 'collapse' in coming
years if it kept pursuing what he called its sectarian policies in the
region... 'The policies of the Saudi regime will have a domino effect and
they will be buried under the avalanche they have created,' the IRGC's
second-in-command, Brigadier General Hossein Salami, was quoted as saying
by the Fars news agency. 'If the Saudis do not correct their path, their
regime will collapse in coming years.' Salami compared Saudi policies
with those of Saddam Hussein, the Iraqi president overthrown by U.S.
forces in 2003. 'The path the Saudi regime is taking is like the one
Saddam took in the 1980s and 90s. He started a war with Iran, executed
prominent clerics and top officials, suppressed dissidents and ended up
having that miserable fate.'" http://t.uani.com/1OORAYw
AP: "Iran on Thursday accused the
Saudi-led coalition battling Shiite rebels in Yemen of hitting its
embassy in the capital, Sanaa, in an overnight airstrike, but there were
no visible signs of damage on the building... On Thursday afternoon,
Iran's state-run news agency said a Saudi-led airstrike the previous
night hit the Iranian embassy in Sanaa, citing Iran's Foreign Ministry
spokesman. However, an Associated Press reporter who reached the site
just after the announcement saw no damage to the building... On Thursday,
Somalia joined Saudi allies such as Bahrain and Sudan and entirely cut
diplomatic ties with Iran. The Somali Foreign Ministry said it recalled
its acting ambassador to Tehran and ordered Iranian diplomats to leave
Somalia within 72 hours." http://t.uani.com/1O6VhoZ
Embassy
Attack
Reuters: "Qatar recalled its ambassador
to Iran on Wednesday, state news agency QNA said, after allies Saudi
Arabia and Bahrain cut their ties with Tehran following attacks on Saudi
missions by Iranian protesters... Earlier on Wednesday Djibouti cut ties
with Iran and Jordan summoned Iran's envoy in Amman to condemn Sunday's
attack on the Saudi embassy in Tehran by protesters angered at the
execution of cleric Sheikh Nimr al-Nimr. 'The ministry summoned this
morning Qatar's ambassador to Tehran against the backdrop of attacks on
the embassy of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia in Tehran,' QNA quoted Khalid
Ibrahim Abdulrahman Al-Hamar, the director of the Asian Affairs
Department, as saying. Qatar's foreign ministry called the embassy attack
a 'violation of international charters and norms that ensure the security
and protection of diplomatic missions and their members.'" http://t.uani.com/1PQ3Uqk
Reuters: "President Hassan Rouhani asked
Iran's judiciary on Wednesday to urgently prosecute the people who
attacked the Saudi embassy in Tehran in protest at the kingdom's
execution of a prominent Shi'ite cleric. Rouhani's comments appear to
show his determination to reduce tension with Iran's Sunni Gulf neighbors
and continue his attempts to normalize ties with world powers by speaking
out on a practice that has become a challenge for the Islamic Republic's
foreign policy... 'By punishing the attackers and those who orchestrated
this obvious offense, we should put an end once and forever to such
damage and insults to Iran's dignity and national security,' Rouhani was
quoted as saying in a letter published on the state news agency IRNA.
While embassies are often a focus of protests worldwide, Iran still
celebrates the anniversary of the 1979 takeover of the U.S. embassy in
Tehran every year and refers to it as the Second Revolution. Since then,
Iranians have attacked several embassies in Tehran, including those of
Kuwait in 1987, Saudi Arabia in 1988, Denmark in 2006 and Britain in
2011, most of which have led to a breach in diplomatic relations... 'This
has been always a paradox in the Islamic Republic,' said Hossein Rassam,
a former political adviser at the British embassy in Tehran. 'While the
revolutionary state condones or supports such attacks to capitalize on
their revolutionary momentum, the administration dismisses them as it
should deal with their diplomatic consequences,' he added." http://t.uani.com/1ISJawK
Reuters: "Iran and Saudi Arabia took
further steps to sever commercial ties on Thursday, intensifying a feud
between the regional rivals, as Tehran announced a ban on imports from
Saudi Arabia and Saudi groups called for boycotts of Iranian products.
Iran's government said it had forbidden imports from Saudi Arabia after a
cabinet meeting chaired by President Hassan Rouhani on Thursday morning,
according to state news agency IRNA. The cabinet also reaffirmed a ban on
Umrah pilgrimages to Mecca - which are both lucrative for Saudi Arabia
and important to Muslims - first imposed in April in response to an
alleged sexual assault on two male Iranians by Saudi airport guards.
Trade between Saudi Arabia and Iran is small compared with the size of
their economies, but tens of thousands of Iranians travel to the kingdom
every year to complete the haj as well as Umrah pilgrimages made outside
of haj season." http://t.uani.com/22MYqSs
AP: "Iran's president is accusing
Saudi Arabia's government of fanning strife between Shiite and Sunni
Muslims and creating 'an Islamaphobic atmosphere' in world opinion,
according to Iran's U.N. Mission. In a press release, Hassan Rouhani
accused the Saudis of supporting terrorism and obstructing 'the victory
of Iraqi and Syrian governments,' and heightening tensions in the
region." http://t.uani.com/1PLSIci
Nuclear
Program & Agreement
WashPost: "As President Obama focused
intently on locking in a high-stakes nuclear deal with Iran, his
administration pursued a decidedly less clear strategy on containing
North Korea, a rogue state that already possesses an atomic weapon. This
week, Pyongyang rattled the United States and its Asian allies by
claiming to have successfully tested a hydrogen bomb, an act that, if
confirmed, would represent a major step for that nation's nuclear
arsenal. Even if the bomb turns out to be less powerful than advertised, the
test alone highlighted a conundrum for a president who has made nuclear
disarmament a cornerstone of his foreign policy agenda... The difference
between the level of U.S. engagement with Iran and with North Korea led
some Asia analysts to conclude that the administration had downgraded the
latter country as a national security priority." http://t.uani.com/1UzfzsT
Congressional
Action
Al-Monitor: "The Obama administration tells
Al-Monitor that it 'strongly opposes' an Iran sanctions bill that is
scheduled for an initial vote this week, setting the scene for the first
of what promises to be a long list of showdowns over Iran policy in 2016.
The House Foreign Affairs Committee on Jan. 7 is set to mark up
legislation from Rep. Steve Russell, R-Okla., that would restrict the
administration's ability to lift sanctions on Iranian financial
institutions as called for under the Iran deal. Administration officials
say the bill is a transparent attempt to derail the Joint Comprehensive
Plan of Action (JCPOA). 'We're aware of this draft legislation, and as we
have long said, we are opposed to any legislation that interferes with
the implementation of the JCPOA,' a senior administration official told
Al-Monitor via email. 'From what we have seen of this bill, it would
interfere with the implementation of the JCPOA, and therefore, the
administration strongly opposes it.' The bill would require the
administration to certify that Iranian financial institutions have not
knowingly helped fund Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, foreign
terrorist organizations and several other entities before they can be
removed from the Treasury Department's list of specifically designated
nationals. The Iran deal requires that the United States cease its
nuclear-related sanctions on those banks as part of its obligations under
Annex II of the deal... The committee counters that the bill's goal is to
'ensure the administration does not lift sanctions against individuals
involved in Iran's ballistic missiles program or terrorism,' according to
a markup schedule." http://t.uani.com/1Rllft2
Sanctions
Relief
Reuters: "India's oil imports from Iran
fell by about a quarter in 2015 as refiners slowed purchases early in the
year to keep imports within the limits of sanctions, preliminary tanker
arrival data obtained by Reuters shows. Western sanctions against Iran's
controversial nuclear programme limit the Gulf country's oil exports to
1-1.1 million barrels per day (bpd), with buyers such as India curbing
annual purchases to 220,000 bpd. The annual decline came as imports in
December surged nearly 70 percent from the previous month to 233,100
barrels per day (bpd)... India's December oil imports from Iran were the
highest in six months... Indian refiners, including Reliance Industries,
have shown interest in raising imports from Iran, Mohsen Qamsari, director
general for international affairs of the National Iranian Oil Company
(NIOC), told Reuters. Reliance, which operates the world's biggest
refining complex in India, halted imports of Iranian oil in 2010 under
pressure from sanctions." http://t.uani.com/1OOTOqN
Platts: "Japanese refiner Cosmo Oil is
looking at the possibility of buying more crude from Iran once sanctions
on the Islamic republic are lifted and is also 'actively' looking into
crude imports from the US, company president Hisashi Kobayashi told
Platts in an interview Tuesday. Speaking to Platts on the sidelines of a
New Year reception hosted by the Petroleum Association of Japan in Tokyo,
Kobayashi said economics will be key for any increase in the refiner's
Iranian crude oil imports and imports from the US, but added that 'it is
possible' it will increase crude imports from Iran in 2016 after the
lifting of sanctions... Kobayashi said that Cosmo Oil is likely to renew
sometime soon its annual term contract with Iran for the April 2016-March
2017 period at the same volume as the previous year... In October 2014,
Cosmo Oil became the first Japanese refiner to import US shale condensate
when it took a 300,000-barrel cargo at its Yokkaichi refinery in central
Japan." http://t.uani.com/1mIrREr
Human
Rights
IHR: "Three prisoners were
reportedly hanged in the city of Nazarabad on drug charges. Four men and
one woman were reportedly hanged at Tabriz Central Prison on murder and
drug charges." http://t.uani.com/1VMl60t
IHR: "Five prisoners sentenced to
death on murder charges were reportedly hanged at Karaj's Rajai Shahr
Prison on the morning of Wednesday January 6." http://t.uani.com/1ISI1Wd
RFE/RL: "A professional Iranian soccer
player has been jailed after photographs published on social media showed
him together with several women not wearing the Islamic hijab, as
required by Iranian law. Sosha Makani, a 29-year-old goalkeeper who has
competed with Iran's national team, was arrested on January 4 and jailed
following a complaint by private plaintiffs, Iranian media reported. The
Mizan news agency, which is affiliated with Iran's judiciary, quoted a
judiciary source as saying that one of the plaintiffs had withdrawn his
complaint. But the source added that Makani will remain in jail pending
an investigation for 'publishing pictures that lead to the spread of
corruption and prostitution in society.' ... In the images, Makani is
seen sitting or standing next to two or three young women. In one
photograph, he is seen holding hands with one of the women, while in
another he appears to be dancing... Tehran prosecutor Abbas Jafari Dolatabadi
on January 6 warned athletes and artists against sharing images deemed
anti-Islamic on social media. 'In recent weeks, pictures that are
inappropriate and against Islamic principles have been published on
social media resulting in judicial cases,' Dolatabadi was quoted by
Iranian media as saying." http://t.uani.com/1OR40bX
ICHRI: "The mother of a student who
has not been heard from since soon after his arrest in Tehran in 1999 has
dismissed the Iranian Judiciary's claim that there was no evidence he was
ever arrested. Saeed Zeinali was last seen by his family in 1999 when he
was arrested amidst widespread student protests in Iran that year, and he
has not been heard from since a brief phone call three months after his
arrest. Yet Iranian officials are now denying the then-22-year-old
student was ever arrested and they claim no knowledge of the case. In an
interview with the International Campaign for Human Rights in Iran, Akram
Neghabi, Zeinali's mother, reacted to a statement made by Judiciary
Spokesman Gholamhossein Mohseni Ejei on January 3, 2016, that 'so far no
document has been found that shows [Saeed Zeinali] was arrested.' 'Has
any family gotten a receipt when a member was arrested for security
reasons during the past 36 years? Was I, the mother of Saeed Zeinali, too
stupid not to get a receipt? Seventeen years [after Saeed's
disappearance] what sort of document should I be producing Mr. Ejei?' ...
The case resurfaced on social media after Zeinali's father was detained
with a group of civil activists who were protesting in front of Evin
Prison on November 22, 2015." http://t.uani.com/1O6OJqr
Opinion
& Analysis
Chicago
Tribune Editorial: "Last Wednesday morning, the Obama administration notified
Congress that it was about to slap new economic sanctions against Iran
for conducting ballistic missile tests that violated a United Nations
ban. The Treasury Department announcement, set for 10:30 a.m., was
abruptly delayed. And delayed again. By Wednesday evening, the sanctions,
targeting nearly a dozen companies and individuals in Iran, Hong Kong and
the United Arab Emirates that had roles in Iran's ballistic missile
program, had evidently vanished into the political ether. Administration
officials told lawmakers the sanctions were delayed because of 'evolving
diplomatic work,' The Wall Street Journal reported. A week later,
nothing. It appears that President Barack Obama couldn't bring himself to
call the bluff of Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who had
threatened to walk away from the nuclear weapons deal reached with the
U.S. and other nations. Khamenei said sanctions targeted to the ballistic
missile tests would violate the nuclear agreement. As the U.S.
backpedaled, the Iranians pressed their advantage: Iranian President
Hassan Rouhani proclaimed on Thursday that he was so incensed by proposed
U.S. sanctions that he had instructed the military to expand Tehran's
missile program 'in terms of range and accuracy.' You don't like two
missile launches? How about 20? Days later, the Iranian Navy launched
rockets within 1,500 feet of an American aircraft carrier and a French
frigate in the Strait of Hormuz. This development has been overshadowed
by another Mideast crisis. Saudi Arabia executed a prominent Shiite
cleric on terrorism charges, which prompted Iranian protesters to torch
the Saudi embassy in Tehran, which prompted the Saudis to toss out
Iranian diplomats and recall their own representatives. Underlying the
rising tension is the sense among U.S. friends and foes that the U.S.
won't assert itself in any way in the Middle East, even diplomatically. A
dangerous pattern is developing with the Iran nuclear deal: Iran provokes
and the West looks the other way. The precedent is being set that Iran
will not be expected to live by the terms of the agreement... The U.S.
and its partners have only one chance to establish that strict compliance
from Iran will be expected through the course of this nuclear deal. That
chance comes right now, before sanctions are lifted, before millions of
dollars flow into Tehran's economy. The U.S. should impose those sanctions
for the missile tests. Iran won't walk from the deal. It desperately
needs that sanctions relief. And if it does walk away, that will serve
notice that Iran never did intend to comply. The Western wink and a nod
now invites more trouble soon." http://t.uani.com/1kPc3hM
Phillip
Smyth in FP:
"Riyadh rang in 2016 with the executions of 47 people, its largest
mass execution in over 35 years. Amid detainees accused of supporting al
Qaeda was one figure with a far different pedigree: Sheikh Nimr Baqir
al-Nimr, a dissident Saudi Shiite cleric, who had been imprisoned by
Riyadh since July 2012. His death has already rocked the fragile
geopolitical order in the Persian Gulf: While the Saudis have likely used
this crisis to push their own cynical goals, Iran is also attempting to
reap the benefits of Nimr's execution. Understanding how Tehran plays a
role in fostering crises of this nature is important. The Islamic Republic
sees itself as engaged in a long-term struggle for control of the
region's Shiite community, which represents a tool for Iran to counter
its main Sunni regional foes and promote its theocratic absolute
velayat-e faqih, which forms the basis of Iran's clerical rule, and
so-called 'Islamic Resistance' ideologies. So how did a Saudi Shiite
sheikh who was a 'second-tier political player,' in the words of one U.S.
diplomat, become the centerpiece of a regional crisis with sectarian
dimensions? And how did his detention and execution come to assist
Tehran? After Nimr's arrest by Saudi authorities on terrorism charges
that included seeking 'foreign meddling,' and particularly following his
2014 death sentence, Iran and its proxies regularly issued threats to the
Saudis, vowing dire consequences if they killed him. Iran's elevation of
a cleric who found most of his support among radical youths helped
legitimize radical policy options in line with existing Iranian strategy.
In much the same way that the defense of the Sayyidah Zaynab shrine south
of Damascus, Syria, has been used as a religious legitimation for Iran to
pull in Shiite jihadis to preserve the rule of Syrian President Bashar
al-Assad, Nimr's imprisonment was cast as the cause célèbre for the Islamic
Republic's campaign against Riyadh... Understanding how Tehran plays a
role in fostering crises of this nature is important. The Islamic
Republic sees itself as engaged in a long-term struggle for control of
the region's Shiite community, which represents a tool for Iran to
counter its main Sunni regional foes and promote its theocratic absolute
velayat-e faqih, which forms the basis of Iran's clerical rule, and
so-called 'Islamic Resistance' ideologies. So how did a Saudi Shiite
sheikh who was a 'second-tier political player,' in the words of one U.S.
diplomat, become the centerpiece of a regional crisis with sectarian
dimensions? And how did his detention and execution come to assist
Tehran? After Nimr's arrest by Saudi authorities on terrorism charges that
included seeking 'foreign meddling,' and particularly following his 2014
death sentence, Iran and its proxies regularly issued threats to the
Saudis, vowing dire consequences if they killed him. Iran's elevation of
a cleric who found most of his support among radical youths helped
legitimize radical policy options in line with existing Iranian strategy.
In much the same way that the defense of the Sayyidah Zaynab shrine south
of Damascus, Syria, has been used as a religious legitimation for Iran to
pull in Shiite jihadis to preserve the rule of Syrian President Bashar
al-Assad, Nimr's imprisonment was cast as the cause célèbre for the
Islamic Republic's campaign against Riyadh... These messages are part and
parcel of Tehran's geopolitical strategy - a way of asserting that it can
and will protect its Shiite coreligionists. The fact that the factions of
the Shiite 'Islamic Resistance' across the Middle East acted as one
further demonstrates Iranian power and the Islamic Resistance's ability
and willingness to project power on behalf of Iran's regional goals.
Saudi Arabia's Eastern Province, which sits on the Persian Gulf and is a
vital economic hub for Saudi Arabia, plays a major role in Iran's
sectarian vision. This is the region where the kingdom pumps most of its
oil - and even relatively limited strife there, or an attack on its oil
facilities, could represent a significant threat to the Saudi economy.
The area was Nimr's home, and its Shiite majority has suffered various
forms of discrimination by Saudi Arabia's Sunni state. Shiites of this
region also often link themselves historically and socially to Bahrain's
Shiite community. Like the Saudi Shiites, Bahrain's Shiites have also
protested their Sunni-led government and have suffered discrimination under
the rule of the Khalifa family, which is closely allied with Riyadh.
These populations' sense of being oppressed, both real and imagined,
represents a win-win situation for Iran. Harsher Saudi or Bahraini
repression of their Shiite populations will mean a greater chance that
more Saudi and Bahraini Shiites will eventually come to view the Islamic
Republic as a true partner or protector. Even before Nimr's execution, he
had become a symbol for radical Shiite Bahraini militants - who,
according to the U.S. intelligence community's 2014 Worldwide Threat
Assessment, received aid from Iran - and a symbol to justify their
violent tactics. Still, Iran's use of Nimr's case also had other
ideological goals beyond basic power projection and winning over Shiite
communities in Saudi Arabia and Bahrain. While stoking deep-seated
notions of Shiite oppression, Iran simultaneously aims to counter its
Shiite competition. Tehran has worked hard to usurp and utilize the
influence of other religious leaders - for example, exploiting Grand
Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani's words and images to acquire Shiite recruits to
fight in Syria or support Iran's proxy militia efforts in Iraq, despite
Sistani's opposition to embroiling Iraqis in Syria's war and
disagreements with the basic tenets of Iran's regime. Nimr, rather than
being a radical cleric who completely toed Tehran's line, also offered
some differing opinions on major issues. Now, it serves Iran's purposes
to posthumously anoint him a 'martyr' to its cause... Events like Nimr's
imprisonment and execution have a profound effect on local Shiite
populations. But Saudi Arabia and Iran are viewing these situations from
on high, in the context of a regional struggle for power. The Islamic
Republic aims to use this crisis to bolster the state's ideology, expand
its influence over regional Shiite communities it hopes to lead, and
showcase its ability to project power." http://t.uani.com/1Rc6Hvn
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Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against
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