Wednesday, March 14, 2018

Eye on Iran: Tillerson Sacking Spells Doom for Iran Nuclear Deal





   EYE ON IRAN
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TOP STORIES


In explaining his decision to fire Tillerson, Trump said they had disagreed on many topics, but he specifically singled out one dispute: Whether or not to stay in the Iran pact. "When you look at the Iran deal. I thought it was terrible. He thought it was OK," Trump said. "I wanted to either break it or do something, he felt a little differently. So we were not really thinking the same." On May 12, in exactly two months, the US leader is to pronounce on the fate of the Iran deal. If sacking Tillerson is any indicator of Trump's decision on the issue, it suggests the accord is in trouble.
  

"America's top military commander in the Middle East told Congress today that President Bashar al-Assad's recent gains in the Syrian civil war will enhance Iran's ability to support proxy groups in the region. Chief of US Central Command Joseph Votel told the Senate Armed Services Committee that the intervention by Iran and Russia has proven decisive in bolstering the embattled Syrian leader. 


In his year leading the agency, Pompeo approved new authorities to target through intelligence operations leaders of Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps. Inside the cabinet, Pompeo argued against certifying Iranian compliance with the nuclear deal while Tillerson made the case for not rocking the boat. To get a flavor of how Pompeo approaches the nuclear pact, look no further than his work as a member of Congress... After the agreement was completed in 2015, Pompeo worked tirelessly as a member of Congress to meet with European bankers, diplomats and CEOs to make the case that investing in Iran was not as safe as they were hearing from John Kerry, who was secretary of state at the time.

NUCLEAR DEAL


It is unclear how Mike Pompeo becoming U.S. secretary of state may affect the Iran nuclear deal given that there is only one voice that counts in President Donald Trump's administration: his own.


Secretary of State nominee Mike Pompeo's strong connection with President Donald Trump means he would be able to speak to foreign governments with more authority on thorny global issues. But the addition of a like-minded secretary of state, coming as the U.S. is approaching a critical juncture for two pressing nuclear dilemmas, could also present risks.  


Reactions in the Middle East on Wednesday to the firing of U.S. Secretary of State Rex Tillerson reflect the volatile divide between Iran, where many fear his departure heralds the demise of the 2015 nuclear deal, and Gulf Arab nations hoping for a more hawkish U.S. stance toward Tehran and Qatar.


A top U.S. general on Tuesday signaled support for the Iran nuclear deal, saying the agreement, which President Donald Trump has threatened to withdraw from, has played an important role in addressing Iran's nuclear program.


Mike Pompeo, a foreign policy hawk tapped by President Donald Trump to be the next Secretary of State, may push U.S. diplomacy sharply to the right. Here is what the CIA director and former Kansas congressman has said about global hot spots from Iran to North Korea. "My critique of the Obama administration's JCPOA commitment was that they left the Iranians with a breakout capacity. They had a short time frame that these would -- these restrictions would remain in place." --March 11 on CBS's "Face the Nation" "I look forward to rolling back this disastrous deal with the world's largest state sponsor of terrorism." --Nov. 17, 2016, on his personal Twitter account, which was de-activated once he became head of the CIA.

CONGRESS & IRAN


I recently returned from the Middle East, where I visited Jordan and Israel. I have been to the region many times, and this was the most unnerving visit I've taken in a long time. With the help of Vladimir Putin and Bashar Assad, Iran is winning. Sunni Arabs, Israel and the U.S. are on their heels.

HUMAN RIGHTS AND INTERNAL DISCONTENT
  

A prominent Iranian academic was given an 18-month jail sentence on Tuesday after giving an interview to German news organization Deutsche Welle, according to a press release from DW. Sadegh Zibakalam, a political science professor at Tehran University, was charged with giving an interview to a foreign news organization in the Persian language and "propaganda against the order of the Islamic Republic and spreading false information," the release said.  

FOREIGN AFFAIRS


Iran's foreign minister has wrapped up a trip to Pakistan in which he made a surprise offer to let Islamabad take part in a major port project partly funded by Pakistan's archrival India. 

IRANIAN INTERNAL DEVELOPMENTS


Iran Tuesday jailed Hamid Baghai, a vice president under former hardliner Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, following his conviction for corruption, media reports said.







Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email press@uani.com.

United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) is a non-partisan, broad-based coalition that is united in a commitment to prevent Iran from fulfilling its ambition to become a regional super-power possessing nuclear weapons.  UANI is an issue-based coalition in which each coalition member will have its own interests as well as the collective goal of advancing an Iran free of nuclear weapons.

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