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USA Today:
"Iran is moving ahead with a nuclear program that U.S. officials
said would be frozen, and it is now clear the USA and other world powers
are willing to accept an Iranian enrichment program that Iran refuses to
abandon, say analysts. Iran has continued research and development on
new, far more efficient machines for producing uranium fuel that could
power reactors or bombs, and its stockpile of low enriched uranium has
actually grown, according to a report by Institute for Science and
International Security. The Iranian regime has also trumpeted recent
tests of new ballistic missiles that could be used to deliver a future
warhead while its pariah economy has begun a modest recovery. Analysts
watching the movements say the U.S. easing of economic sanctions against
Iran to induce it to make compromises on a long-term nuclear agreement
may not be having the desired effect. 'If Iranians believe they can erode
the sanctions without making additional nuclear concessions, then the
improvement in the economy makes a comprehensive deal less likely,' said
Gary Samore, a former principal arms control adviser to President
Obama." http://t.uani.com/1n1sLqH
Politico:
"As the world watches Russia's intervention in Ukraine, Congress
wants to ensure Iran relations remain on the mind of President Barack
Obama. Capitol Hill must have an outsize role to play in Iran no matter
the result of ongoing nuclear talks, a bipartisan group of six senators
say in a letter to Obama released Sunday by the American Israel Public
Affairs Committee. Congress will need 'to rapidly and dramatically expand
sanctions' against Iran if global negotiations to scale back the
country's nuclear program fail, the senators said. And if Iran does agree
to a permanent deal, the lawmakers said it will be up to them to offer
long-term economic relief to Iran. 'We need to work together now to
prepare for either eventuality,' the senators said. 'Iran must clearly
understand the consequences of failing to reach an acceptable final
agreement. We must signal unequivocally to Iran that rejecting
negotiations and continuing its nuclear weapon program will lead to much
more dramatic sanctions, including further limitations on Iran's exports
of crude oil and petroleum products.' The letter is being led by Sens.
Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.), Robert Menendez (D-N.J.), Chris Coons (D-Del.),
Mark Kirk (R-Ill.), Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.) and Kelly Ayotte (R-N.H.).
Congressional sources expect more senators to join them by the time the
letter arrives at the White House." http://t.uani.com/1i6SQWE
Bloomberg:
"The U.S. is ready to impose additional sanctions on Iran if talks
about limiting the nation's disputed nuclear activities collapse, U.S.
Treasury Secretary Jacob J. Lew said. 'We have sent the very clear signal
to the leadership in Tehran that if these talks do not succeed, then we
are prepared to impose additional sanctions on Iran,' Lew said at the
2014 Policy Conference of the American Israel Public Affairs Committee,
the biggest pro-Israel lobbying group, in Washington today. 'All options
remain on the table to block Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon.' ...
'You may hear some say that the very narrow relief in the interim
agreement has unraveled the sanctions regime or eased the chokehold on
Iran's economy,' Lew said today. 'Nothing could be further from the
truth.' Iran will lose about $30 billion in oil sales alone from the
sanctions that remain in place during the six-month period of relief, Lew
said. 'As President Obama recently said, if anyone, anywhere engages in
unauthorized economic activity with Tehran, the United States will -- and
I quote -- come down on them like a ton of bricks,' Lew said." http://t.uani.com/1hYcShB
Nuclear Program & Negotiations
Reuters:
"Iran is reducing its most proliferation-prone nuclear stockpile as
required by its landmark deal with world powers but much work remains to
be done to resolve all concerns about Tehran's activities, the U.N.
atomic watchdog chief said on Monday. Among measures Iran is taking since
the interim agreement took effect on January 20 is the dilution of its
stock of higher-enriched uranium to a fissile concentration less suitable
for any attempt to fuel an atomic bomb. Yukiya Amano, director general of
the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), indicated that Iran had
made sufficient progress in this regard to receive a scheduled March 1
installment of $450 million out of a total of $4.2 billion in previously
blocked overseas funds... 'As of today, measures agreed under the Joint
Plan of Action are being implemented as planned,' Amano said, referring
to the November 24 agreement struck in Geneva between Iran and the United
States, Germany, France, Russia, China and Britain. These included 'the
dilution of a proportion of Iran's inventory' of 20 percent uranium gas
to a lower enrichment level, which 'has reached the halfway mark', he
told the IAEA's 35-nation board, according to a copy of his speech...
'The measures implemented by Iran, and the further commitments it has
undertaken, represent a positive step forward, but much remains to be
done to resolve all outstanding issues,' the veteran Japanese diplomat
said. He said clarification of all issues related to the possible
military dimensions to Iran's nuclear program is 'essential.'" http://t.uani.com/1fCaVUD
AP:
"Iran's president said the Islamic Republic has decided not to
develop nuclear weapons out of principle, not only because it is
prevented so by treaties. Hassan Rouhani told Defense Ministry officials
Saturday that, if Iran wanted weapons of mass destruction, it would be
easier for it to make chemical or biological weapons. Rouhani was
reiterating a police set by Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei,
who issued a religious decree banning the production and use of nuclear
weapons. He has said holding such arms is a sin as well as 'useless,
harmful and dangerous.' 'We are not after weapons of mass destruction.
That's our red line,' he said. 'If Iran was after weapons of mass
destruction, it would build chemical weapons. Those are easier to make.
It would build biological arms, which are even easier than making
chemical weapons.'" http://t.uani.com/1i6WfEX
Sanctions
Relief
Trend:
"Spanish companies are willing to cooperate with Iran especially in
the oil sector, Spain's Foreign Minister Jose Garcia Margallo said on
March 2. 'We are making our utmost efforts to enhance ties with Iran,' he
said. He made the remarks at a joint press conference with Iranian
Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif in Tehran. 'We seek to promote our
ties with Iran,' Margallo said, adding that lifting of sanctions can
facilitate relations with Iran." http://t.uani.com/1krh1PE
Haaretz:
"The visit here [to Tehran] of Poland's foreign minister this past
weekend came three months after Iran signed an interim nuclear deal with
the international community in Geneva. 'Iran is an important partner for
us. We hope that Tehran will find the way to convince the world that its
nuclear program serves peaceful purposes and [that] the final agreement
will be signed,' said Radoslaw Sikorski after meeting his Iranian
counterpart, Mohammad Javad Zarif, in this city on Saturday... During
their meeting, marking the first time a high-ranking Polish official has
visited Iran in over a decade, the two ministers agreed to boost
bilateral economic cooperation, mainly in the realms of pharmaceuticals,
petrochemicals and the food industry. There are many branches of the
economy which are not affected by the international sanctions, and Poland
wants to take advantage of this, one diplomat explained, speaking off the
record with journalists... Foreign Minister Sikorski also came with more
than 20 business leaders, but their meetings in Tehran were cancelled
after cutting short their visit due to the turmoil in Ukraine... Radoslaw
Sikorski's visit on Saturday was widely publicized in the Iranian media
in recent days. For one, the Polish ambassador to Tehran, Juliusz Gojlo,
gave many interviews to local outlets. 'Poland has always tried to serve
as a bridge between Iran and the European Union,' he said in an interview
with The Tehran Times." http://t.uani.com/1n1AJA2
Trend:
"The research department of Iran's Oil Ministry has signed a deal
with Austrian AVL to develop energy saving projects in the Iranian oil industry,
IRNA quoted the research department's head, Amir Abbas Hosseini as saying
on March 1. The main part of the research department's activities is
related to the export of technical and engineering services in the oil
industry's upstream sector, he added." http://t.uani.com/NncD6r
Press TV (Iran):
"Iran has called for Italian companies to participate in the
implementation of the Islamic Republic's new projects in the mining
industry sector. In a meeting with the board members of Italy's Fata
industrial and engineering group in Tehran, Mehdi Karbasian, the head of
the Iranian Mines and Mining Industries Development and Renovation
Organization (IMIDRO), pointed to Tehran's plans to implement new
projects in mining and metal industries, including aluminum, steel and
copper, as well as other non-metal industries, calling for the presence
of European, particularly Italian, firms in those projects. Chairman of
the Fata Board of Directors Ignacio Moncada, for his part, said the
company is keen to participate in aluminum and power plant projects in
Iran, and called for the setting up of working groups to set the stage
for cooperation in that area. On February 22, an Italian business
delegation, headed by Chairman of the Italy-Iran Chamber of Commerce
Rosario Alessandro, travelled to Iran on a four-day visit to explore
investment opportunities in the Islamic Republic." http://t.uani.com/MIm6UE
Trend:
"Chinese investment delegation has visited Iran to attend the
groundbreaking ceremony for construction of an oil refinery in Chabahar
Free Trade Zone in Iran's south eastern province of Sistan and
Baluchestan, Iranian IRIB news agency reported on March 1. Chinese side
holds 49 percent of Iranian-Chinese PetroChina Pars Company's share which
has undertaken construction of the ultra-heavy oil refinery in
Chabahar... The refinery's capacity will stand at 40,000 barrels per day
(bpd) and will be able to conduct exports to China, Afghanistan and
Pakistan." http://t.uani.com/1jM91WI
Human Rights
IHR:
"The execution wave continues in Iran- 153 executions have been
reported since the beginning of 2014. 82 of the executions have been
reported by the official sources. Iran Human Rights (IHR) believes the
execution numbers have reached beyond the alarming level and urges the international
community to react... Seven people have been executed in the prison of
Rasht (Northern Iran) during the past few days." http://t.uani.com/1gMWAau
IHR:
"Four prisoners were hanged in Bandar Abbas (Capital of the province
of Hormozgan, Southern Iran) early this morning, reported the Iranian
state media. According to the official website of the Iranian Judiciary
in Hormozgan, the four prisoners were convicted of armed drug trafficking
of 966 kilograms of opium." http://t.uani.com/1cnGvv0
Domestic Politics
Reuters:
"President Hassan Rouhani urged Iran's military leaders on Saturday
to let diplomacy prevail in dealing with potential foreign threats, in a
clear reference to efforts to end the nuclear dispute and decades of
hostile relations with the West. 'It is very important to formulate one's
sentences and speeches in a way that is not construed as threat,
intention to strike a blow,' Rouhani said in a meeting with Iran's top
military echelon. 'We must be very careful in our calculations. Launching
missiles and staging military exercises to scare off the other side is
not good deterrence, although a necessity in its proper place,' the
official IRNA news agency quoted him as saying. 'A misfire could burst
into flames and wreak havoc to everything.' ... 'Our forefathers primed
us for the final epic battle,' said the chief commander of the
Revolutionary Guards, Mohammad-Ali Jafari last month." http://t.uani.com/Nngwbh
AFP:
"Iran will not be able to keep up forever its ban on legal access to
Internet hubs such as Facebook, which has four million Iranian users,
Culture Minister Ali Janati said Sunday... 'Four million Iranians are on
Facebook, and we have restricted it,' said Janati. 'We cannot restrict
the advance of (such technology) under the pretext of protecting Islamic
values,' said the minister. Access to the popular social networking site
-- along with others which Iranian authorities regard as un-Islamic,
immoral or undermining the Islamic establishment -- is obstructed by a
massive filtering mechanism. But tech-savvy Iranians have resorted to
measures, known as anti-filters, to circumvent the restrictions. Janati
drew a parallel with a ban on fax machines and video tapes and players
imposed the 1979 Islamic revolution. 'If we look back, we see many of the
actions we took after the revolution were ridiculous.'" http://t.uani.com/1hBrvJr
Opinion &
Analysis
Yuval Steinitz in
WashPost: "A final deal that allows Iran to retain
centrifuges for uranium enrichment ultimately would allow the development
of nuclear weapons in Iran, encourage a Sunni-Shiite arms race in the
Middle East and weaken counterproliferation efforts worldwide. Iran
already possesses ballistic missiles suited to carry nuclear warheads and
advanced knowledge of weaponization. Given that the production of fissile
material - whether by enriching uranium in centrifuges or extracting
plutonium from nuclear reactors - is the principal stage in the process
of making a nuclear weapon, acquiescing to Iranian enrichment is
tantamount to legitimizing Iran's status on the nuclear threshold.
Proposals for the final agreement to restrict the number of centrifuges
are almost irrelevant. Even if Iran were forced to reduce its number of
centrifuges to only 3,000, its stockpile of uranium enriched to 3.5 percent
would allow the production of enough fissile material for a nuclear bomb
within six months. If forced to start from scratch with 3,000
centrifuges, Iran could still produce enough fissile material to make a
nuclear weapon within one year. The chances of Iran developing the bomb
as a 'threshold country' are considerable: North Korea did so after
signing a similar deal in 2007. Becoming a nuclear power was the
ayatollahs' initial objective and the reason Tehran invested around $50
billion in this project. Yes, there are other countries on the nuclear
threshold, but unlike Germany and Japan, Iran is unlikely to maintain its
threshold status. The ayatollahs' regime poses a threat to its Sunni
neighbors. Tehran calls for the annihilation of the Jewish state and
sponsors terrorist groups such as Hezbollah and Islamic Jihad, all of
which sparks fear in other countries. Sooner or later, Tehran's anxiety
over potential retaliatory actions against its regime, including its
nuclear project, would increase pressures within Iran to dash toward a
fait accompli nuclear weapon... Even if Iran kept its commitment to avoid
the bomb, allowing it to retain centrifuges could have grave global
implications. Should the final compromise include de facto recognition of
Iran's 'right to enrich,' the international community would find it
difficult to insist later that other problematic regimes concede that
'right.' Unfortunately, the interim agreement has already linked Iran's
hypothetical future enrichment to its civilian 'practical needs.'
Practical needs is interpreted mainly as enrichment needed to fuel
nuclear power stations. Such a civilian purpose demands more centrifuges
than are in Iran's inventory. In other words, it seems to allow for even
more centrifuges than are militarily needed for the annual production of
several nuclear bombs... More than 20 countries produce electricity in
nuclear reactors, and dozens more are planning to do so. If Iran were
ultimately allowed to enrich, how would the United States justify its demand
that, say, Egypt, Jordan or South Korea eschew uranium enrichment for
peaceful civilian purposes? How would U.S. officials argue that what the
deal concedes to the ayatollahs' regime, after a decade of flagrant
violations of six U.N. Security Council resolutions and their commitments
under the Non-Proliferation Treaty, is forbidden for more responsible
countries? How could the United States cast greater legitimacy on the
previously clandestine centrifuge facilities in Qom and Natanz than on
those that would be aboveboard from the outset? Inevitably, multiple
countries, including some rogue states, would insist on their own
enrichment facilities. With centrifuges equally capable of enriching
uranium for nuclear energy or nuclear bombs, such a deal might generate
many new threshold states. Under such circumstances, local disputes or
changes in government eventually would push some countries across the
threshold. Ironically, a deal intended to prevent the nuclear armament of
one dangerous country, Iran, could plant the seeds for the wholesale
sprouting of many nuclear powers." http://t.uani.com/1cnJfZl
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