Tuesday, March 11, 2014

Eye on Iran: Iran Won't Rush Answers to Nuclear Questions








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WSJ: "Iran insisted it won't be rushed into addressing Western suspicions about past military work on its nuclear program. In an interview, Deputy Foreign Minister Majid Ravanchi said Iran stands by its pledge to address all Western concerns about its nuclear program eventually, insisting the country has 'nothing to hide.' However he said his government doesn't want to bring issues up front that should be dealt with at a later stage. Iran is currently engaged in two separate nuclear negotiations. One track is talks with six world powers aimed at a deal that would prevent Tehran from developing nuclear weapons in exchange for the lifting of international sanctions. A second track, led by the International Atomic Energy Agency, deals with concerns about past and present nuclear activities. It includes evidence provided by the United Nations nuclear watchdog indicating Tehran's program may have had a 'possible military dimension.' Iran pledged in November to start addressing those issues. 'We are prepared to implement the agreement reached with IAEA, but it takes some time,' Mr. Ravanchi said. 'We understand that there are sensitive issues...of concern to the other side, but you have to take one step at a time. You should not rush.'" http://t.uani.com/Ohn8bo

Daily Telegraph: "The Lockerbie bombing was ordered by Iran and carried out by a Syrian-based terrorist group, a former Iranian intelligence officer has admitted. Abolghassem Mesbahi, a defector to Germany, said Pan Am flight 103 was downed in 1988 in retaliation for a US Navy strike on an Iranian commercial jet six months earlier, in which 290 people died. He claims the Ayatollah Khomeini, who was Iran's Supreme Leader, ordered the bombing 'to copy exactly what happened to the Iranian Airbus'. Previously unseen evidence gathered for the aborted appeal hearing of Abdelbaset al-Megrahi, the former Libyan intelligence officer convicted of the bombing, supports Mr Mesbahi's claim and suggests that the bombers belonged to the extremist group the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine - General Command (PFLP-GC). Documents obtained by Al Jazeera television for a documentary called Lockerbie: What Really Happened? name key individuals said to be involved in the bombing, including the alleged bomb-maker, the alleged mastermind and the man who may have put the bomb on the doomed Boeing 747." http://t.uani.com/1fooE6i

WashPost: "Israel put on display here Monday a cache of long-range rockets and other artillery it seized last week from a shipment making its way up the Red Sea, allegedly destined for militant groups in the Gaza Strip. Glistening in the sunshine at Israel's largest naval base on the Red Sea were 40 M-302 surface-to-surface rockets with ranges of 50 to 100 miles, more than 181 mortar shells and about 400,000 rounds of ammunition, according to the Israeli military's count. The weapons, it said, had been concealed in large shipping containers with Iranian seals and hidden beneath bags of cement stamped 'Made in the Islamic Republic of Iran' - proof, officials said, that the Iranians had sent the illicit cargo. In an address to local and international news media gathered at the port, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said the rockets and other weapons on display were evidence that Iran could not be trusted. 'There are those who would prefer that we do not hold this news conference here today,' Netanyahu said. 'They feel uncomfortable that we show what is really happening inside Iran. They prefer that we continue to nurture the illusion that Iran has changed direction.' 'We now have hard facts, and it's important that the world gets this information,' he told reporters after the news conference." http://t.uani.com/1iwQUHa
     
Nuclear Program & Negotiations

AFP: "An official of Russia's state atomic energy agency is to visit Iran on Tuesday for talks on building a second nuclear power plant, Iranian media reported. Russia built Iran's sole existing nuclear power plant in the Gulf port of Bushehr and handed it over to Iranian engineers last September. Iran's ambassador in Moscow said last month that Russia could build a second nuclear power plant in Bushehr as part of a swap deal for oil that has sparked strong opposition in Washington because of its implications for Western sanctions on Iran's vital oil sector. 'Nikolai Spassky, Rosatom's deputy director general for international affairs, will arrive in Tehran on Tuesday to hold talks with Iranian officials about the construction of a new nuclear power plant,' Iranian Atomic Energy Organisation spokesman Behrouz Kamalvandi said. 'Our plan is to build up to four power plants in Bushehr. Of course, we will have to see how the talks progress,' Kamalvandi told the official IRNA news agency on Monday." http://t.uani.com/1i8DVbR

Sanctions Relief

Reuters: "India has to cut its Iranian oil imports by nearly two-thirds from the first quarter after the United States asked it to hold the shipments at end-2013 levels, in keeping with the nuclear deal easing sanctions on Tehran, Indian government sources said. India, with the increases already made in the January-March loading plans from Iran, has to cut its purchases of the crude to about 110,000 barrels per day (bpd) to drop its intake average to 195,000 bpd for the six months to July 20. Under the November 24 agreement between Iran and six world powers, the OPEC member was to hold oil exports at 'current volumes' of about 1 million bpd, and a message delivered by a top U.S. energy policy official to Indian ministries in February was the first clear sign of low tolerance for any increases. Since the interim deal was signed, purchases of Iranian oil by its top four buyers - China, India, Japan and South Korea - have been creeping up and together they have taken 1.25 million barrels per day (bpd) in January against a daily average of about 935,900 bpd for all of 2013... Tanker arrival data, meanwhile, compiled by Reuters put India's January intake of crude from Iran at 412,000 bpd, double the daily arrival average for December. The sources said the loading increases mean Indian refiners have to cut their buys of Iranian oil to about 110,000 bpd over the April 1-July 20 period to meet the ceiling of 195,000 bpd... Private refiner Essar Oil will be the biggest Indian buyer of Iran's oil this financial year, replacing state-owned Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemical. Essar will have lifted about 30 percent higher than its contract volume of 80,000 bpd, said another government source. A jump in Essar's Iran oil imports comes as Iran is giving India a discount on crude and offering free delivery. Essar has offered to take about 5.36 million barrels in March from Iran, taking its annual purchases to 105,000 bpd. MRPL's oil imports from Iran will average about 84,000 bpd this fiscal year versus contract levels of 80,000 bpd, the third government source said." http://t.uani.com/1iwOB6J

Terrorism

AFP: "Iran dismissed as farcical Tuesday Israel's highly publicised display of weapons it said it had seized from a vessel in the Red Sea bound for Gaza from Iran. The foreign ministry said a news conference given by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on Monday beside the alleged cargo was pure propaganda aimed at torpedoing Iran's growing rapprochement with the West. 'The claim is a farce,' foreign ministry spokeswoman Marzieh Afkham told reporters. 'This coincides with the (American Israel Public Affairs Committee) AIPAC meeting in the United States, and when Iran's place in the region and its interaction with different countries are improving.' She said the improved relations between Tehran and Washington had 'worried' Israel and prompted it to 'resort to its usual tactics.'" http://t.uani.com/1fROkJT

Press TV (Iran): "A high-ranking Iranian military commander has roundly dismissed the recent Israeli allegation that Tehran sought to send missiles to the blockaded Gaza Strip as a dirty psychological operation against the Islamic Republic. 'The Americans' and Zionists' move, which both the White House and Tel Aviv have acknowledged to be a coordinated and joint action, is a step intended for Iranophobia and was staged through filthy media campaign. It shows the unremitting falsehood, which is rampant in the culture of liberal democracy and Western-Hebrew propaganda,' Deputy Chairman of Iranian Armed Forces Chief of Staff Brigadier General Seyyed Masoud Jazayeri stated in Tehran on Sunday... 'Westerners should seriously reconsider their warmongering policies against freedom-seeking nations and the oppressed people of Palestine, and should renounce their terrorist and inhumane acts,' Jazayeri pointed out." http://t.uani.com/1h9BFi1

Syria Conflict

NYT: "Hezbollah's distracting and costly engagement in the Syrian civil war has offered some practical benefit to Israelis. It has also been a source of foreboding. On the one hand, Hezbollah, the militant Lebanese Shiite organization that fought a monthlong war against Israel in 2006, is preoccupied with shoring up the government of President Bashar al-Assad of Syria in its struggle against rebel forces, and is suffering losses. But Hezbollah is also acquiring battlefield experience, and the only way for Mr. Assad, a longtime Hezbollah ally, to repay the group is by supplying it with sophisticated weapons, according to Israeli military officials and experts - strengths that could eventually be used against Israel... Israel's leaders have said they will act to prevent transfers of sophisticated weapons to Hezbollah from Syria, such as accurate, long-range rockets and shore-to-ship or ground-to-air missiles. Israel is also concerned about Hezbollah's acquisition of unmanned aerial vehicles, more commonly known as drones or U.A.V.'s." http://t.uani.com/OhnRcN

Human Rights

Bloomberg: "Iran criticized European Union foreign policy chief Catherine Ashton for meeting women's rights activists during her trip to Tehran, calling the move 'undiplomatic' and unhelpful for relations with the West. The Islamic Republic's foreign ministry, which was hosting Ashton's first visit to the nation, said it wasn't consulted about the meetings and has formally complained to the Austrian Embassy in Tehran, where the encounter took place. Ashton met activist Narges Mohammadi and the mother of blogger Sattar Beheshti, who died in 2012 while in police custody, the state-run Fars news agency reported. 'This type of behavior does nothing to help the relationship between Iran and the West,' ministry spokeswoman Marzieh Afkham said in comments broadcast on Iranian state television. 'The Austrian ambassador has been called upon and has been notified about this undiplomatic' step." http://t.uani.com/1luByAl

Domestic Politics

ICHRI: "A new report by the World Justice Project indicates Iran's ranking at 82 among 99 countries measured for what citizens think of their justice system. The WJP Rule of Law Index measures how the rule of law is experienced in everyday life around the globe. The ranking reflects both household surveys and expert surveys held for Iran in the cities of Tehran, Mashhad, and Isfahan. With an overall score of .44, Iran ranked 82 among 99 countries, last among countries in the region. According to the WJP, 'The rule of law is a system of rules and rights that enables fair and functioning societies.'" http://t.uani.com/1g4MejX

Al-Monitor: "401 Iranian journalists signed an open letter protesting a controversial plan to require journalists to be licensed through the Culture Ministry. The letter, addressed to Culture Minister Ali Jannati, acknowledges some positive steps in favor of the media taken by the ministry. However, it said that other decisions by Deputy Minister for Press Affairs Hossein Entezami 'are not only not in this framework, but an obstacle for these plans.' The letter explained that Entezami's 'insistence on implementing the journalist licensing, which in various eras - from before the revolution until today - has been pursued by those against freedom of speech,' creates an obstacle for the stated policies of President Hassan Rouhani. The 'journalist licensing' procedure would require journalists to periodically present their work to the Culture Ministry for evaluation of quality. Upon approval, the journalist can resume working. This gives the ministry control over which journalists can work and which cannot. Most journalists believe that licensing for their profession should be conducted through the journalists guild, which, incidentally, was dissolved under former President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. The journalists wrote that this licensing requirement conflicts with the two plans that the Rouhani administration said it would focus on: creating a two-way relationship between the administration and journalists and the importance of non-government organizations and guilds as the real representatives of the people." http://t.uani.com/1kJySS1

Opinion & Analysis

David Albright & Andrea Stricker in The Iran Primer: "In any nuclear deal, Iran will have to limit the number of centrifuges it uses to enrich uranium, a process that produces fuel for both peaceful nuclear energy and the world's deadliest weapon. But the exact number is likely to be one of the most contentious issues during the six-month negotiations that finally get into real substance when talks resume in mid-March. Past positions reflect the controversies in brokering a future accord that ensures Tehran does not produce a bomb. Iran currently has about 19,000 centrifuges installed at the two pivotal enrichments sites-Natanz, which is near Kashan, and Fordo, which is deep in the mountains near the religious center of Qom. The new cap in a deal with the world's six major powers will almost surely have to be a small fraction of Iran's current capability-probably somewhere between 2,000 and 4,000 IR-1 centrifuges. IR-1 is the first generation of centrifuges. The most telling negotiations about centrifuges took place in 2005, as the international community tried to convert a temporary suspension of Iran's enrichment program, which had begun in 2003, into a long-term deal. Iran proposed to the three European powers-Britain, France and Germany-an initial cap of 3,000 IR-1 centrifuges. But Tehran also insisted that it be allowed to continue increasing the number of its centrifuges after a relatively short time. Iran's proposal called for stages:
*    Stage 2 -3,000 centrifuges in operation, a cap that would only be in place temporarily.
*    Stage 3 -installation of 50,000 centrifuges, the number envisioned for Natanz, then the only enrichment site.
*    Stage 4 -operation of all 50,000, alongside the parliament's approval of the Additional Protocol, which allows complementary inspections by the International Atomic Energy Agency and makes hiding nuclear activities and facilities more difficult.
The Europeans rejected Iran's proposal. The European Union had instead offered to supply a power reactor and all the enriched uranium fuel, which would nullify the need for any centrifuges at Natanz. In July 2005, Tehran indicated it might modify its offer, but it would not budge on the key issue of synchronizing the number of centrifuges at Natanz to the domestic production of enough enriched uranium for a large nuclear power reactor-another way of increasing the number of centrifuges to 50,000. The deadlock over numbers ultimately contributed to a breakdown in talks. When President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad took office in August 2005, Iran ended the suspension of its program. It then resumed centrifuge installation and operation. Tensions soon mounted with the international community, producing four U.N. resolutions and a host of other unilateral sanctions by the United States, the European Union and other Western governments. The danger today is déjà vu. The new talks center on the same issues explored nine years ago. Although Tehran has engaged in the most serious diplomacy to date, its rhetoric today mirrors its position in 2005. The chief negotiator in 2005 is today Iran's new president, Hassan Rouhani. The talks today involve more players, including the United States, Russia and China, and tougher terms in light of Iran's advances in the intervening decade. Washington, with European backing, not only wants a cap on the number of centrifuges. It also wants the cap to last far longer-more like 20 years. Their argument is that Iran has no need to produce any fuel. It already has produced enough for the small Tehran Research Reactor, which makes isotopes for cancer treatment and other medical uses. In other words, the world's six major powers believe Iran's ambitions far exceed its current needs. Iran only has one nuclear reactor for energy at Bushehr, which was built by Russia. The enriched uranium that fuels the Bushehr reactor also is provided by Russia. In general, any nuclear deal would also allow Iran to more economically and reliable obtain the fuel it might need from abroad for additional reactors. Any meaningful deal will almost certainly require that Iran accepts limits on its centrifuges-in terms of number and the quality of uranium they enrich-that will in turn increase the so-called break-out time. Break-out time is the timespan required to produce enough weapon-grade uranium to produce a weapon. Currently, the estimated breakout times are dangerously short." http://t.uani.com/1oIMYk1

Sen. John Barrasso (Wyoming) in Roll Call: "Russia's invasion of Ukraine proved once again that the world is a very dangerous place. While the Obama administration continues to respond to this crisis, America cannot afford for the president to take his eye off the ball on a pressing issue of national security: Iran's illicit nuclear program. The president and some of his Democratic allies continue to weaken America's hand in ongoing negotiations with Iran. The most recent example occurred last month. Sen. Harry Reid, the Democratic leader of the Senate, blocked a bipartisan attempt to hold Iran accountable. Last November, President Barack Obama announced an interim agreement with Iran regarding its nuclear program. He said, 'if Iran does not fully meet its commitments during this six-month phase, we will... ratchet up the pressure.' In the State of the Union address this year, he repeated his threat. The president said that if Iran did not 'seize this opportunity' during the interim period to negotiate a final agreement on its nuclear program, 'then [he would] be the first to call for more sanctions.' Republicans introduced an amendment to give the president more authority to ratchet up the pressure on Iran. It would give the president increased sanctions power against Iran if negotiations stall. An earlier attempt to provide the same authority garnered 59 Senate co-sponsors, including 16 Democrats. Now Reid refuses to allow the Senate to consider this amendment or the original bill. The amendment simply carries out Obama's stated policy on Iran. It provides new sanctions authority to the president, and holds that authority until the expiration of the six-month interim deal. As Obama has said, it gives Iran a chance to seize this diplomatic opportunity while providing consequences if it does not. Reid, of course, is doing the bidding of the White House. Obama has threatened to veto any legislation that gives him the sanctions authority he claims to want. Now the president argues that the amendment violates the interim agreement. The president is wrong. The agreement says, 'the U.S. Administration, acting consistent with the respective roles of the President and the Congress, will refrain from imposing new nuclear-related sanctions' during the interim period. The legislation is consistent with that language. It specifically authorizes the president to suspend the implementation of additional sanctions while the interim deal is in effect and a final agreement is being negotiated. No new sanctions would be imposed on Iran during the interim agreement... The Obama administration appears to have conceded that Iran can maintain a uranium enrichment capability under a final agreement. The bipartisan amendment corrects this error by stating that Iran must dismantle its enrichment capabilities. These are the sorts of policy debates we need to have in public, not behind closed doors. The No. 2 Democrat in the Senate, Richard J. Durbin, has said on many occasions that if you don't want to fight fires, don't become a firefighter; and if you don't want to vote on tough issues, don't run for Congress. As a medical doctor, I would add, 'physician, heal thyself.' Let the American people, through the senators they elect, express their position on whether to hold Iran to its nuclear promises." http://t.uani.com/OhqUl3

Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email Press@UnitedAgainstNuclearIran.com

United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) is a non-partisan, broad-based coalition that is united in a commitment to prevent Iran from fulfilling its ambition to become a regional super-power possessing nuclear weapons.  UANI is an issue-based coalition in which each coalition member will have its own interests as well as the collective goal of advancing an Iran free of nuclear weapons.





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