Wednesday, May 20, 2015

Eye on Iran: Iran Indicates Nuclear Talks with Powers May Be Extended






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Fars (Iran): "Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokeswoman Marziyeh Afkham said her country would not stand against a potential extension of the nuclear talks with the world powers beyond the July 1 deadline if the need arises. 'We have said that if the path of drafting the text and reaching a possible agreement requires prolonging the talks, we won't have any problem and will be ready to do it,' Afkham told reporters in her weekly press conference in Tehran on Wednesday. 'Progress will show how the trend of talks and drafting of the text has been. If the trend of affairs leads to the point that makes the talks longer than the end of June, this needs to be done. The main job and the comprehensive agreement... is much more important than the timetable that many emphasize, and the important point is reaching a good agreement,' she added." http://t.uani.com/1EXEdtQ

Reuters: "Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said on Wednesday Tehran would not accept 'unreasonable demands' by world powers during negotiations over its disputed nuclear program, and ruled out letting inspectors interview its atomic scientists. The comments, broadcast live on state TV, were the latest in a series of forthright statements on inspections in the countdown to a June 30 deadline to resolve a decade-old standoff over Iran's nuclear work. 'We will never yield to pressure ... We will not accept unreasonable demands ... Iran will not give access to its (nuclear) scientists,' Khamenei said. 'We will not allow the privacy of our nuclear scientists or any other important issue to be violated.' Khamenei, who has the final say for Iran on any deal, last month ruled out any 'extraordinary supervision measures' over nuclear activities and said military sites could not be inspected... 'They say we should let them interview our nuclear scientists. This means interrogation,' Khamenei said. 'I will not let foreigners talk to our scientists and to interrogate our dear children ... who brought us this extensive (nuclear)knowledge.'" http://t.uani.com/1JzReAj

Bloomberg: "An Iranian aid ship headed toward Yemen and flanked by two warships will stop at Djibouti for international inspection, diminishing the risk of a showdown with the Saudi-led military coalition blockading Yemeni ports. The vessel will be inspected by the United Nations at Djibouti, less than 20 miles across the Gulf of Aden from Yemen, Fars news agency reported, citing its reporter on board. It will then continue its course onto the Yemen's Red Sea port of Hodeidah as initially planned, it said... Two Iranian warships joined up with the cargo ship late on Monday, U.S. Army Colonel Steve Warren told reporters at the Pentagon on Tuesday. He said the U.S. is monitoring their progress 'every step of the way' and isn't 'overly concerned.'" http://t.uani.com/1PwV41I

   
Nuclear Program & Negotiations

AP: "Experts from Iran and six world powers are launching a new round of negotiations focused on reaching a deal that curbs Iran's nuclear program. Diplomats said ahead of Wednesday's meeting that progress is being made but significant gaps remain on a main document and technical annexes ahead of an end-of-June deadline. Iran's team is led by Deputy Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi. EU official Helga Schmidt is heading the other side. Senior officials from the U.S., Russia, China, Britain, France and Germany may join in later." http://t.uani.com/1PWry0t

Times of Israel: "Israel and the US have reportedly been holding preliminary and unofficial talks over a 'compensation' package for Jerusalem that would include the delivery of advanced weapons in exchange for the Netanyahu government's quiet acceptance of the emerging nuclear deal with Iran. The package could include an increase in the number of F-35 fighter jets the US is to supply Israel, and additional batteries for Israel's anti-missile defense systems, according to reports in both Haaretz (Hebrew) and Yedioth Ahronoth this week. A senior Obama administration official told Yedioth that 'the White House is willing to pay a hefty price to get some quiet from the Israelis at this point. We are surprised the demand has not been made.'" http://t.uani.com/1KjIFL8

Sanctions Relief


FT: "When western sanctions prevented PSA Peugeot Citroën from supplying cars to Iran three years ago, the French car manufacturer lost access to its second-largest market. Until then, the company had been selling nearly half a million vehicles in the country each year. The sale of Peugeot branded cars remained mysteriously strong, however. Around 300,000 Peugeot branded cars were registered last year alone in Iran, according to registration data and a person close to the company, as partners which had once constructed the cars locally from Peugeot kits appeared to source components from elsewhere... Peugeot last month signed a non-binding agreement with Iran Khodro for a 50:50 joint venture to produce cars together as soon as possible, people close to the French group have revealed... Elsewhere in the car market, Renault has already started a low-level supply of car kits to Iran, in compliance with certain recently relaxed sanctions." http://t.uani.com/1FnSFP9

Reuters: "Iranian trade negotiators have become more assertive with Indian counterparts as hopes rise of international sanctions on Tehran easing later this year, sources said, and Indian companies fear they may lose business as more countries bid for projects. The push back from the Iranians came as a surprise to India, which has enjoyed special dispensation from Tehran as one of only a handful of countries willing to do business with it while it faced Western economic sanctions. Under a tentative framework agreement reached between six major powers and Tehran in April, Iran agreed to limit its nuclear activity in return for sanctions relief. A final deal could be reached by June 30. That prospect appears to have emboldened Iran, said sources familiar with trade negotiations with India, including in its handling of a sizeable deal to import railway tracks. The $233 million contract, signed last October, was for India's State Trading Corp (STC) to facilitate exports of rail tracks from SAIL Ltd and Jindal Steel and Power Ltd to Iran's railways. But Iran told Indian negotiators that it had offers from other countries, including Turkey, to supply the equipment at a cheaper cost, the sources said." http://t.uani.com/1K0CaJT

Iraq Crisis

Defense One: "Iranian-fueled rumors that the U.S. is arming  the Islamic State, or ISIS, with weapons have resulted in at least one instance where anti-ISIS fighters fired on U.S. forces. Iran's Quds Force commander Qassem Suleimani, the most important military leader in Iran, and a man with tremendous influence over Iran's activities in both Iraq and Yemen, believes the rumor fully according to a key U.S. special operations forces commander in Iraq... The idea that the United States is effectively arming the Islamic State is a popular rumor, particularly on Iranian State-run media, but the extent of individuals who believe that mistruth reaches to the highest echelons of Iranian society, according to Crytzer. 'The Iranian Quds Force commander absolutely believes we're supplying Daesh,' Crytzer told Defense One. 'He's not trying to play on it. He actively believes it.'" http://t.uani.com/1c4EnIL

Syria Conflict

AFP: "Syria's President Bashar al-Assad on Tuesday praised Iran's support as a 'key pillar' in his fight against rebels, as a third Iranian official visited Damascus in less than a week. The visits come after several military losses for the Syrian government and as Tehran negotiates a key nuclear deal with the United States, which backs the rebels fighting Assad. 'The support given by Iran to the Syrian people constitutes a key pillar in the battle against terrorism,' official news agency SANA quoted Assad as saying during a meeting with Ali Akbar Velayati, foreign affairs adviser to Iran's supreme leader... Velayati meanwhile praised the 'strategic relations' between Damascus and Tehran, saying they 'constitute one of the essential pillars in confronting Western projects... and the illusions... of certain regional countries.' He said Iran would 'continue to support Syria by all means,' adding 'a small world war is being waged against Syria,' SANA said." http://t.uani.com/1LaPonz

Human Rights

IHR: "Five prisoners were hanged in two Iranian cities Tuesday morning May 19, reported Iranian state media. According to the official website of the Iranian Judiciary in Fars province (Southern Iran), one man was hanged publicly in the city of Shiraz this morning... The website of the 'Human Rights Activists News Agency' (HRANA) reported about execution of five prisoners in the Adelabad prison of Shiraz... These executions have not been announced by the official sources yet." http://t.uani.com/1c4C8oE

Domestic Politics

AFP: "Iran can no longer sustain the billions of dollars needed to pay cash handouts enacted by former president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, a top official said Tuesday, signalling plans to halt them. Since coming to power in 2013, Hassan Rouhani, Ahmadinejad's successor, has sought to put Iran's economy back in order after it plunged into recession and was hit hard by inflation. Tackling the handouts -- a partial replacement after subsidies on staples such as electricity, gas, water and bread were cut -- has proved politically difficult. But Ali Rabii, Rouhani's minister of labour and social welfare, wrote in an open letter that change was needed as the bill for the individual monthly payments of 455,000 rials (about $15) was too high." http://t.uani.com/1FvKyRS

Opinion & Analysis

Michael Doran in Mosaic: "Obama has presented this deal as an effort to solve, through entirely peaceful means, the most consequential dispute in the Middle East. At the same time, he is signaling that his Iran gambit heralds much more than that. It is nothing less than the birth of a new vision of the American role in the world-an antidote to the military approach that allegedly characterized our foreign policy for decades. This vision, however, is a fiction. Just as Robert Gates could see clearly in February 2011 that ousting Mubarak would deliver chaos and not democracy, it is clear to sober observers on all sides that the agreement with Tehran will fail to establish the elementary conditions for preventing the regime's development of a nuclear bomb. Yet most people still do not appear to regard the president as either the cause of this disaster or as the solution to it. Will they ever? The emerging deal with Iran has three obvious defects that will be impossible to solve in the final round of negotiations. First, instead of phasing out, over a decade's time, the existing diplomatic and economic sanctions on Iran, the deal, practically speaking, will lift the sanctions immediately. Second, the president's assurance that sanctions will 'snap back' in the event of Iranian misbehavior is absurd on its face. Re-imposition of sanctions will require concerted action by the United Nations Security Council, a body that no one has ever accused of being either speedy or efficient. Finally, Iranian leaders have asserted, repeatedly and explicitly, that they will never allow the United States and its partners to conduct the kind of 'anywhere, anytime' inspections that the Obama administration has disingenuously claimed are part of the deal; without such a guarantee, international inspectors will be incapable of verifying Iranian compliance. Thanks to these core deficiencies, the deal will enable the Iranians to pocket enormous benefits-diplomatic, economic, and military-up front. And once they have enriched themselves by playing nice, there will be nothing to prevent them from beginning to cheat again. Does the president believe otherwise? If so, he must assume that just by signing the deal, the Islamic Republic will be transformed into something other and better than the aggressively hostile and repellent regime we have come to know over the last 36 years. This is like the legitimate businessman who assumes that his new Mafioso partner will abandon his criminal ways once he develops a taste for honest profit. Even if the businessman manages to get out of the deal alive, it will be only after an arsonist's flames have engulfed his shop and he's been fleeced of the insurance money. And yet, no matter how tortured and implausible the president's claims may be, many respected public figures seem willing to set aside common sense and endorse them." http://t.uani.com/1Llmthp

Leon Panetta & Stephen Hadley in WSJ: "The United States faces a startling array of global security threats, demanding national resolve and the resolve of our closest allies in Europe and Asia. Iran's moves to become a regional hegemon, Russia's aggression in Ukraine, and conflicts driven by Islamic terrorism throughout the Middle East and North Africa are a few of the challenges calling for steadfast commitment to American democratic principles and military readiness. The pathway to achieving U.S. goals also can be economic-as simple as ensuring that allies and friends have access to secure supplies of energy. Blocking access to these supplies is the ban on exporting U.S. crude oil that was enacted, along with domestic price controls, after the 1973 Arab oil embargo. The price controls ended in 1981 but the export ban lives on, though America is awash in oil. The U.S. has broken free of its dependence on energy from unstable sources. Only 27% of the petroleum consumed here last year was imported, the lowest level in 30 years. Nearly half of those imports came from Canada and Mexico. But our friends and allies, particularly in Europe, do not enjoy the same degree of independence. The moment has come for the U.S. to deploy its oil and gas in support of its security interests around the world. Consider Iran. Multilateral sanctions, including a cap on its oil exports, brought Tehran to the negotiating table. Those sanctions would have proved hollow without the surge in domestic U.S. crude oil production that displaced imports. Much of that foreign oil in turn found a home in European countries, which then reduced their imports of Iranian oil to zero. The prospect of a nuclear agreement with Iran does not permit the U.S. to stand still. Once world economic growth increases the demand for oil, Iran is poised to ramp up its exports rapidly to nations whose reduced Iranian imports were critical to the sanctions' success, including Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, Turkey, India and China. U.S. exports would help those countries diversify their sources and avoid returning to their former level of dependence on Iran. More critically, if negotiations fail, or if Tehran fails to comply with its commitments, the sanctions should snap back into place, with an even tighter embargo on Iranian oil exports. It will be much harder to insist that other countries limit Iranian imports if the U.S. refuses to sell them its oil... Too often foreign-policy debates in America focus on issues such as how much military power should be deployed to the Middle East, whether the U.S. should provide arms to the Ukrainians, or what tougher economic sanctions should be imposed on Iran. Ignored is a powerful, nonlethal tool: America's abundance of oil and natural gas. The U.S. remains the great arsenal of democracy. It should also be the great arsenal of energy." http://t.uani.com/1AeTuuK

Elliot Abrams in CFR: "This week marks a landmark in the Islamic Republic of Iran's crimes against that country's small Baha'i community: Seven years ago this week the regime imprisoned seven peaceful Baha'i leaders. What is the true nature of Iran's clerical regime? The answer is visible in its continuing brutal treatment of this religious minority, just 300,000 people in a nation of 70 million-less than one half of one percent of the population. From its early days the Islamic Republic has singled out the Baha'i for discrimination and then persecution. They are seen as apostates from Islam, because their faith originated in Iran in the 19th century. The existence of the Baha'i international headquarters and shrine in Haifa, Israel have led to repeated accusations of spying and treason. Hundreds of Baha'i were killed and thousands imprisoned in the early decades of theocratic rule after the revolution in 1979. Baha'i institutions were all closed in 1983; Baha'i marriages are not recognized; Bahai's are discriminated against in employment; their holy places have been destroyed; and Baha'i children are kept out of universities. The UN's 'Special Rapporteur on the situation of human rights in the Islamic Republic of Iran,' in his March 2015 report, noted one emblematic and shameful incident: when roughly one million students took the national math exam in 2014, a Baha'i student placed 113th in the entire country. But he was nevertheless barred from attending a public university... The persecution continues to increase-including since the election of the supposed reformer Hassan Rouhani as president in 2013. For example, there were 57 Baha'is in prison in 2011, but by January 2014 the number had reached 136 (in addition to hundreds more awaiting trial or sentencing). The UN Special Rapporteur's report notes additional arrests last Fall. And state-controlled media have greatly increased their attacks on the Baha'i: instead of once every day or two in previous years, last year attacks were running an amazing average of 400 per month... The Baha'i have no clergy and are self-governing communities with ad hoc leaders. The informal leadership group in Iran, the 'Yaran-i-Iran' or 'friends of Iran,' were arrested in May 2008 and sent to Tehran's notorious Evin prison. These seven men and women remain in prison today, seven years later. They've been charged with espionage, cooperation with Israel, and 'spreading corruption on earth.,' among other crimes. They were tried in closed sessions in 2010. One of the lawyers who tried to represent them, Nobel Prize laureate Shirin Ebadi, says there was no evidence against them-nor did they get a fair trial. But all seven were sentenced to 20 year terms. On this seventh anniversary of their incarceration, it's worth remembering the viciousness and the deceit with which the Iran continues to treat its peaceful Baha'i citizens. The truth about life in the Islamic Republic is revealed not by the smooth diplomats it sends abroad for international negotiations, but by the suffering of these peaceful and vulnerable citizens." http://t.uani.com/1GpcTdp
         

Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email Press@UnitedAgainstNuclearIran.com

United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) is a non-partisan, broad-based coalition that is united in a commitment to prevent Iran from fulfilling its ambition to become a regional super-power possessing nuclear weapons.  UANI is an issue-based coalition in which each coalition member will have its own interests as well as the collective goal of advancing an Iran free of nuclear weapons.

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