Top Stories
AP:
"The U.N. atomic agency has found evidence at an underground bunker
in Iran that could mean the country has moved closer to producing the
uranium threshold needed to arm nuclear missiles, diplomats said Friday.
The International Atomic Energy Agency has found traces of uranium
enriched up to 27 percent at Iran's Fordo enrichment plant, the diplomats
told The Associated Press. That is still substantially below the
90-percent level needed to make the fissile core of nuclear arms. But it
is above Iran's highest-known enrichment grade, which is close to 20
percent, and which already can be turned into weapons-grade material much
more quickly than the Islamic Republic's main stockpile, which can only
be used for fuel at around 3.5 percent. The diplomats - who demanded
anonymity because their information is privileged - said the find did not
necessarily mean that Iran was covertly raising its enrichment threshold
toward weapons-grade level. They said one likely explanation was that the
centrifuges that produce enriched uranium initially over-enriched at the
start as technicians adjusted their output." http://t.uani.com/KfWZEQ
Reuters:
"Iran and world powers agreed to meet again next month to try to
ease the long standoff over its nuclear work despite achieving scant
progress at talks in Baghdad towards resolving the main sticking points
of their dispute. At its heart is Iran's insistence on right to enrich
uranium and that economic sanctions should be lifted before it shelves
activities that could lead to its achieving the capability to develop
nuclear weapons. Western powers insist Tehran must first shut down
higher-grade enrichment before sanctions could be eased. But both sides
have powerful reasons not to abandon diplomacy. The powers want to avert
the danger of a new Middle East war raised by Israeli threats to bomb
Iran, while Tehran also wants to avoid a looming Western ban on its oil
exports... The next meeting, the third in the latest round of talks that
began in Istanbul last month after a diplomatic vacuum of 15 months, will
be held in Moscow on June 18-19." http://t.uani.com/JYo0P2
Reuters:
"The United States will not ease sanctions on Iran before a third
round of talks between major powers and Iranian officials about Tehran's
nuclear program, U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said on
Thursday. 'As we lay the groundwork for these talks, we will keep up the
pressure as part of our dual-track approach. All of our sanctions will
remain in place and continue to move forward during this period,' she told
reporters in Washington hours after talks between Iran and world powers
concluded in Baghdad." http://t.uani.com/JxScMs
Nuclear
Program
AFP: "US Secretary of State Hillary
Clinton on Thursday put the burden on Iran to close the gaps with the
United States and five other world powers in talks over the Islamic
republic's nuclear program. Iran and the six powers closed two days of
'very intense' nuclear talks in Baghdad Thursday with little to show
except an agreement to meet again next month in Moscow after sharp
disagreements over the way forward. The talks that also involve Britain,
France, Germany as well as Russia and China 'were serious,' Clinton said
during a press conference with New Zealand Foreign Minister Murray
McCully. 'They were an opportunity for the (six powers) to engage on
substantive matters with the Iranians but there are clearly gaps in what
each side sees as possible,' Clinton said. 'We think that the choice is
now Iran's to work close the gaps,' the chief US diplomat added." http://t.uani.com/JxSMJZ
CSM:
"Iran has been desperate for years to acquire spare parts for its
aging fleet of civilian aircraft. But does it want those parts badly
enough to get them in exchange for giving up its prized stockpile of
20-percent-enriched uranium? Apparently not. Or at least, not so far.
That is one reason that talks between Iran and the US and other world
powers on Iran's nuclear program ended Thursday without any agreement -
except to reconvene the talks in Moscow next month. The two days of talks
in Baghdad failed to narrow differences between the two sides over how a
deal easing international tensions over Iran's nuclear program should
look. Iran wants a significant easing of the existing and looming
sanctions on its economy, including its life-blood petroleum industry, in
exchange for any concessions." http://t.uani.com/KZuWH9
AFP:
"Iran's lead nuclear negotiator had a rare 'chat' with the head of
the US delegation after talks between Tehran and world powers over the
Islamic republic's nuclear programme Thursday, officials said. The 'brief
encounter' came after Iran rebuffed a US offer of face-to-face
discussions between Wendy Sherman and her counterpart Saeed Jalili at the
last talks between Iran and world powers in Istanbul last month. 'Jalili
paused to chat with Sherman as they were leaving one of the plenaries,' a
US official said, speaking on condition of anonymity. A Western diplomat
added that there was a 'brief encounter as the session wrapped up and
people were heading out.'" http://t.uani.com/JxUECE
Sanctions
WSJ:
"A European Union ban on Iran's oil could have major consequences
for European oil companies in Asia, as little-understood provisions in
the sanction law could see them facing investigation despite their best
efforts to stay legal. EU oil companies and their overseas units cannot
buy, import into the EU or transport even tiny amounts of crude or
refined oil of Iranian origin under rules coming into effect on July 1.
However, the way many oil transactions are carried out in Asia mean they
could inadvertently break the rules, and even their best efforts to
comply will be further undermined by a widespread industry practice of
blending fuel oil from several sources. A major component of Iran's oil
exports is fuel oil, used to power ship engines or in power
stations." http://t.uani.com/KKYCIr
Human Rights
Guardian:
"America's annual human rights report describes 2011 as a
'tumultuous and momentous year' of change, from the Arab spring to the
dramatic political opening in Burma which may yet inspire what it calls
other closed societies - from Iran to North Korea and Eritrea - to open
up... The 2011 Country Reports on Human Rights Practices made strong
criticisms of the situation in China, Russia and several countries in
Africa. It had particularly harshly worded condemnation of Iran and
Syria, two countries where the US has made it clear it would like to see
a change of government." http://t.uani.com/JYlKHv
Foreign Affairs
NYT:
"Iran's eagerness to shower money on Lebanon when its own finances
are being squeezed by sanctions is the latest indication of just how
worried Tehran is at the prospect that Syria's leader, Bashar al-Assad,
could fall. Iran relies on Syria as its bridge to the Arab world, and as
a crucial strategic partner in confronting Israel. But the Arab revolts
have shaken Tehran's calculations, with Mr. Assad unable to vanquish an
uprising that is in its 15th month. Iran's ardent courtship of the
Lebanese government indicates that Tehran is scrambling to find a
replacement for its closest Arab ally, politicians, diplomats and
analysts say. It is not only financing public projects, but also seeking
to forge closer ties through cultural, military and economic agreements.
The challenge for Iran's leaders is that many Lebanese - including the
residents of Tannourine, the site of the proposed hydroelectric dam -
squirm in that embrace. They see Iran's gestures not as a show of good
will, but as a stealth cultural and military colonization." http://t.uani.com/MAMoDG
WSJ:
"Iran has signed an agreement to supply oil products during 2012 and
2013 to Ecuador, the Andean nation's Minister of Foreign Affairs, Trade
and Integration, Ricardo Patino, said Thursday in a press release. The
agreement was signed on Wednesday by Patino and Iranian Foreign Minister
Ali Akbar Salehi. Patino also met in Tehran with President Mahmoud
Ahmadinejad and other high-level officials from the Iranian government.
Patino was visiting Tehran to review the agreements signed in January
between the two countries." http://t.uani.com/JYqrRO
CNN:
"The tiny nation of Jordan may be one of the most important U.S.
allies in the Middle East, but these days trouble is brewing from growing
al Qaeda threats in the region. In several days of talking here with
senior U.S. military, diplomatic and Jordanian officials, the word most
often heard is 'instability.' What worries Jordan is that regional
stability could be shaken even more by unrest in neighboring Syria and
also by Iran's nuclear intentions. And the Syria and Iran problems
increasingly may be linked." http://t.uani.com/JYkcNK
Opinion &
Analysis
Aaron David Miller
in CNN: "The Baghdad talks over Iran's nuclear
program concluded inconclusively with a decision to continue negotiating
in Moscow next month. How could they have ended otherwise? Too much
suspicion, mistrust and too many complex issues to imagine an early
breakthrough. At the same time, the uncertainties reflect something else
too. Let me make a prediction. There will be no war with Iran in 2012 and
no comprehensive deal on the nuclear issue either. Sanctions have forced
the Iranians to alter the pace of its nuclear program but not to abandon
it. Right now it's in everyone's interest to defuse tensions, and to
paraphrase Winston Churchill, to jaw-jaw rather than wah-wah. Unless Iran
is prepared to give up its quest for nukes (and it isn't), we've averted
war but not eliminated the threat. Think 2013. For the past six months,
the relationship between Iran and the West has been defined by covert war
and much talk of an overt one. For the next six, the trope will be 'let's
make a deal.' The reasons aren't hard to divine. First, sanctions are
taking their toll and are on the verge of getting tougher. In early July,
the Europeans will impose additional oil sanctions. Second, the position
of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has been strengthened as a
result of parliamentary elections and mullah maneuvering. If he were
inclined to show flexibility, the decider-in-chief is in a better
position to do it now. And third, let's face it, nobody -- not the
Iranians, the Europeans, the Obama administration, not even the Israelis,
particularly if they have to do it alone -- wants a war. All of these
factors have combined to create an opening for that almighty and
much-revered diplomatic deus ex machina: the process. To be kind, that's
just another word for describing how to manage a problem you can't
resolve today. The desire to shift from talk of war to actual talk and
negotiations is both logical and understandable. In fact, given the
limited options right now, a process is much better than the alternative.
The hope is that negotiations can create an opening for a small deal on
the nuclear issue in which Iran would agree to enrich uranium at much
reduced levels, agree to inspections and perhaps even export its
stockpile of weapons-grade material out of the country in return for an
easing of some of the less onerous sanctions. This incremental approach,
tiny steps for tiny feet, would buy time and space to enhance confidence
and create trust. It might even pave the way for broader discussions on
other key issues that divide Iran and the West. Maybe even a grander
bargain might follow. The only problem with this approach is that its
chances of success are dubious. In coming weeks and months, the
negotiating process may well produce limited understandings. But it's
hard to see how these will turn into a sustainable deal that can convince
the West, let alone the Israelis, that Iran has given up its quest for
nukes. Three major realities will make it all the harder." http://t.uani.com/JrExtC
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Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against
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