Tuesday, March 19, 2013

Eye on Iran: Obama Urges Steps from Iran Over Nuclear Dispute









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AFP: "US President Barack Obama urged Iran on Monday to take 'immediate and meaningful steps' to move 'toward an enduring, long-term settlement' with the world over its disputed nuclear program. In a video message in honor of the Iranian Nowruz holiday, Obama said that if Tehran took such action 'the Iranian people will begin to see the benefits of greater trade and ties with other nations, including the United States.' ... In the message in honor of Nowruz -- the Persian New Year -- Obama appealed to ordinary Iranians, saying 'the people of Iran have paid a high and unnecessary price because of your leaders' unwillingness to address this issue. As I've said all along, the United States prefers to resolve this matter peacefully, diplomatically. Indeed, if -- as Iran's leaders say -- their nuclear program is for peaceful purposes, then there is a basis for a practical solution.' Obama delivered his first annual Nowruz address to Iran shortly after being sworn in in 2009 as part of a policy of engagement with Iran's leadership." http://t.uani.com/16GJeZZ

Reuters: "Six major powers gave Iran more details of their proposals to end a standoff over Tehran's nuclear program in talks in Istanbul on Monday, the European Union (EU) said. The EU's short statement on the expert-level talks between the six powers and Iran offered no clue how the proposals were received by the Iranian experts or whether any progress had been made. The two sides agreed to hold the technical discussions at a February 26-27 meeting between officials in the Kazakh city of Almaty, when the United States, China, Russia, Britain, France and Germany offered modest sanctions relief in return for Tehran curbing its most sensitive nuclear work... The statement by Michael Mann, a spokesman for EU foreign policy chief Catherine Ashton, reaffirmed that Monday's technical talks would be followed by another meeting at the political level in Almaty on April 5-6." http://t.uani.com/10csuH5

WashPost: "The Iranian new year arrives with the first moment of spring on Wednesday afternoon, and many here say they are happy to close the book on the past 12 months. This year - 1391 on the Persian calendar that Iran uses - was by many accounts the most financially difficult for Iranians since the 1979 inception of the Islamic Republic. Western-led sanctions over Iran's nuclear program have damaged the country's economy and contributed to a massive currency dive that has dented the purchasing power of ordinary people. So on the eve of a fresh start, many Iranians say they are both hopeful and fearful about the year to come, when the country is expected to face make-or-break decisions about its nuclear program and hold a presidential election, the first since the 2009 vote that led to protests and a violent state crackdown." http://t.uani.com/YR0ace
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Nuclear Program

NYT: "If President Obama's most obvious goal on his trip to Israel this week is to forge a connection with the Israeli people, his challenge behind closed doors is to persuade Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu that he can rely on the United States to take care of Iran. This time, some analysts said, he may have better odds of success than he has had in the past. Public disagreements between Mr. Obama and Mr. Netanyahu over how to deal with Iran have waned in recent months. This comes from a combination of the president's repeated warnings to Tehran; Iran's strategy of not crossing Israel's red lines while continuing to build its nuclear program; and changes in Israel's political landscape, which have weakened Mr. Netanyahu and made a unilateral military strike less likely." http://t.uani.com/145v5pq

Sanctions 

FT: "Iran is facing the loss of a significant chunk of its oil export revenues as some of its largest trading partners in Asia plan to reduce their imports because of the pressure of US and European sanctions. India, the second biggest buyer of Iranian crude after China, plans to stop importing Iranian oil from next month to avoid losing insurance coverage for its refineries, according to Asia-based oil traders. Japan and South Korea, two other big buyers, are set to further reduce their imports from April. The combination could force the Iran government, which depends on oil exports for half its revenues, to further cut oil production, which has already fallen to its lowest level in nearly 25 years. The drop in production, exports and revenues has contributed to the sharp drop of the Iranian rial against the US dollar." http://t.uani.com/XZnW9f

Reuters: "Iran's NITC has replaced Hamid Behbahani, a former minister and ally of President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, as head of the state tanker company, Mehr news agency reported, just over a year after he was appointed. National Iranian Tanker Company, which has a fleet with a carrying capacity of at least 72 million barrels of oil, has been blacklisted by the West as part of tougher sanctions against Iran over its disputed nuclear programme. Mehr on Saturday said: 'Hamid Behbahani was dismissed as the managing director of the National Iranian Tanker Company. Based on a decision by the managing board of the National Iranian Tanker Company, Ali Akbar Safa'ie has replaced Hamid Behbahani.' ... 'NITC was a well run company but it has increasingly become a puppet in a bigger oil game now,' a ship industry source said. 'As the shutters have closed, less is really known about what is happening inside NITC now.'" http://t.uani.com/YQQNcu

Bloomberg: "Affiliates of Glencore International Plc, the world's largest publicly traded commodity supplier, entered into sales contracts last year with entities controlled by Iran, according to Century Aluminum Corp. Non-U.S. affiliates of Glencore, Century's largest shareholder, entered into sales contracts for wheat and coal and sale and purchase contracts for metals and metal oxides, Monterey, California-based Century said today in filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission... Century was spun off from Glencore in 1996. Glencore owned 47 percent of Century as of Dec. 31, according to the filing." http://t.uani.com/16GHAHX

Syrian Uprising

AFP: "Baghdad is 'looking the other way' as Iran sends military equipment through Iraqi airspace to Syrian President Bashar al-Assad's regime amid the ongoing conflict in Syria, a US official said. The official, who spoke on condition of anonymity, called on Iraq to randomly search Iranian planes flying to Syria, and said Washington had complained to 'all levels of the Iraqi government' about the lack of inspection. 'It's reasonable to stop the planes and inspect them,' the official said. 'At least do some randomly and legitimately to see. They (Iraq) have cause to be suspicious. Instead, they are suspending their disbelief, looking the other way, and averting their gaze.' 'If they really wanted to find out they would stop flights randomly, periodically, and actually look at them. And we are confident that they would find, and we have told them this, military equipment and weapons, ammunition, those type of things.'" http://t.uani.com/10cy0JO

Domestic Politics

Reuters: "Iran's supreme leader may have helped Mahmoud Ahmadinejad to win two presidential elections, but he is now bent on stopping his turbulent protege from levering his own man into the job. Time was when even reformist presidents would defer to Ayatollah Ali Khamenei as the ultimate authority in the Islamic Republic's clerical system. Ahmadinejad changed all that. Ahmadinejad's relentless quest for power and recognition has led him into direct confrontation with Khamenei, the man to whom he arguably owes his second term, if not his first. And as Iran's first non-clerical president since 1981, he has not stopped short of challenging the power of the clergy. Even though he cannot stand for a third term, Ahmadinejad is widely seen as determined to extend his influence by backing his former chief of staff Esfandiar Rahim Mashaie for president." http://t.uani.com/145uODa

Opinion & Analysis


Simon Henderson & Gabriel Scheinmann in WSJ: "It is useful, then, to consider how the world would look with a nuclear Iran. Even today, without a bomb, Iranian leaders already boast regularly of their intention 'to wipe Israel off the map.' While many non-Israelis consider this scenario implausible, Iran's ambitions don't end with Israel. Tehran wants to dominate the Middle East, playing for regional hegemony, energy resources and cultural supremacy. As a double minority in the region-Iran is Persian and Shiite, while the rest of the region is Arab and mostly Sunni-Tehran seeks to tilt the balance of power by projecting influence deep into Arab and Sunni lands. Iran has used the disorder of the Arab revolutions to advance its influence in areas with large Shiite populations under Sunni rule. Already influential in Syria (through its support for the heterodox Alawite Assad regime), Lebanon (through its proxy Hezbollah) and Iraq (where Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki's government maintains strong Iranian ties), Tehran has exacerbated the chaos in several other countries directly across the Persian Gulf. Bahrain, an island kingdom with a Shiite majority but a Sunni royal family, is wobbling under daily riots by Shiites. Saudi Arabia, which sent forces to neighboring Bahrain to help put down the antiregime protests in March 2011, has also experienced a spike in popular demonstrations, especially in its Shiite-populated and oil-rich eastern province. In Yemen, authorities recently seized an arms shipment originating in Iran. The Gulf region looks today like Central and Eastern Europe in the late 1940s, at the dawn of the Cold War. At that time, Soviet control over the 'Eastern Bloc' wasn't yet absolute. Washington outmaneuvered Moscow's attempt to isolate Berlin, and Harry Truman stared down Stalin in Iran, leading to the withdrawal of Soviet troops. Greece and Turkey were salvaged and remained in the Western camp. Then Stalin tested his first atomic bomb in August 1949. Soviet dominance became total in the Eastern Bloc, with dreadful consequences. Riots in East Germany in 1953, protests in Poland and the invasion of Hungary in 1956, the erection of the Berlin Wall in 1961, the invasion of Czechoslovakia in 1968-all left the West standing on the sidelines. Once the Soviets possessed nuclear weapons, it was inconceivable to risk trading Moscow, Prague or Budapest for Washington, New York or Los Angeles. Stalin and then Khrushchev even made supposedly strong U.S. allies waver about lining up firmly behind Washington. Think of the opposition in West Germany to the stationing of U.S. tactical nuclear weapons on that country's soil, or of Austria's neutrality and absence from NATO. Finland, despite having been invaded by the Soviet Union during World War II, adopted a policy of coerced neutrality-giving rise to the term 'Finlandization.' After Moscow went nuclear, virtually half of Europe was abandoned to Stalinism. An Iranian bomb would engender a similar crisis in today's Middle East. Iran would dominate the small, energy-rich Gulf states, and it would cause tremors among supposedly staunch U.S. allies such as Saudi Arabia and Turkey. The larger nations in the region, if they deem that America has lost its will to defend them from Iranian encroachment, may also fall into line. If the U.S. allows Iran to go nuclear, it risks the 'Finlandization' of the Persian Gulf. The period of Soviet terror and domination over Europe lasted more than 40 years. How long would Iran's endure in the Gulf?" http://t.uani.com/16GKvAf

Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email Press@UnitedAgainstNuclearIran.com

United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) is a non-partisan, broad-based coalition that is united in a commitment to prevent Iran from fulfilling its ambition to become a regional super-power possessing nuclear weapons.  UANI is an issue-based coalition in which each coalition member will have its own interests as well as the collective goal of advancing an Iran free of nuclear weapons.

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