Tuesday, September 3, 2013

Eye on Iran: Drawing a Line on Syria, U.S. Keeps Eye on Iran Policy







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NYT:
"As the Obama administration makes a case for punitive airstrikes on the Syrian government, its strongest card in the view of some supporters of a military response may be the need to send a message to another country: Iran. If the United States does not enforce its self-imposed 'red line' on Syria's use of chemical weapons, this thinking goes, Iran will smell weakness and press ahead more boldly in its quest for nuclear weapons. But that message may be clashing with a simultaneous effort by American officials to explore dialogue with Iran's moderate new president, Hassan Rouhani, in the latest expression of Washington's long struggle to balance toughness with diplomacy in its relations with a longtime adversary... Those hopes may well be premature: even if Mr. Rouhani and his foreign minister are eager for a deal ending the dispute over the future of Iran's nuclear program, it is far from clear that they would be able to deliver one. Negotiations have been stalled since last year, and final authority on foreign policy rests with Ayatollah Khamenei. The Iranian president's hand, whatever his politics, is weakened further during national security crises, analysts say, and hard-liners are likely to be empowered." http://t.uani.com/14mluaj

Bloomberg: "Glencore Xstrata Plc (GLEN), the largest publicly traded commodities supplier, is conducting business with Iran even as competitors abandon the country, potentially drawing scrutiny from regulators. Documents filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission by Century Aluminum Co. (CENX), in which Glencore owns 41.8 percent, show non-U.S. affiliates of Glencore 'entered into sales contracts for agricultural products as well as purchase contracts for metals with Iranian entities' last quarter. 'You can be sure the U.S. is watching very closely what this company is doing on this issue,' Thomas Biersteker, the Curt Gasteyger chair in international security and conflict studies at the Graduate Institute in Geneva, said in an interview. 'They will use pressure on affiliates, on transactions and on access to the U.S. market.' Foreign companies have abandoned Iran after the country's nuclear program prompted U.S., European Union and United Nations trade sanctions. Glencore competitors Trafigura Beheer BV and Vitol SA have halted crude-oil purchases from Iran as regulators move to end transactions with the Islamic republic. The Iranian entities conducting business with affiliates of Glencore were either fully or majority owned by the government, according to the SEC filing, which was first reported by American Metal Market. Glencore said it's not violating laws." http://t.uani.com/1cBRVqA

RFE/RL: "A video has surfaced that shows former Iranian President Ali Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani clearly blaming Damascus for chemical attacks, despite the Iranian government's claim that the media had wrongly reported his remarks. The video, posted on the website Bolaghnews.com, shows Rafsanjani speaking last weekend in Savad Kooh in Mazandaran Province. He says, 'People are being subjected to chemical attacks by their own government and also have to wait for American bombs to fall.' Rafsanjani's remarks were first quoted verbatim by the semiofficial Iranian Labor News Agency on September 1. The news agency later amended its report to remove Rafsanjani blaming Damascus. Iran's Foreign Ministry claimed on September 2 that the original quote had been 'distorted.'" http://t.uani.com/17BAZ0a
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Sanctions

Reuters: "Iran's top four oil clients slightly reduced imports from the sanction-hit nation in July and purchases remain down about a fifth for the year, as the United States keeps pressuring buyers to take less and less of the crude. Asia may start to feel pinched, however, from the already deep cuts in the Iranian imports as the supply outlook for some of the alternative grades worsens... In July, the four major Asian buyers imported 796,047 barrels per day (bpd) of Iranian crude in July, down from 798,400 bpd a year ago, according to official government data and tanker arrival schedules given to Reuters. Between January and July, they imported 936,981 bpd, down 20 percent from the same seven months in 2012." http://t.uani.com/1a2fdVA

WSJ: "India's oil minister is considering a plan to reduce the country's ballooning current-account deficit that includes holding its oil imports from Iran steady, according to a letter he sent to the prime minister. Veerappa Moily said in the letter to Manmohan Singh, reviewed by The Wall Street Journal, that India could save as much as $8.5 billion by importing a further 11 metric tons of crude from Iran on top of the 2 million tons it has imported so far in the fiscal year that began April 1. This would be on par with the country's 13.11 million tons, or 263,000 barrels a day, of Iranian oil imports, in 2012-13. Failing to reduce the amount would put India in jeopardy of losing an exemption from U.S. sanctions against countries that do business with Iran. The savings in foreign-exchange outflow would be achieved thanks to a barter arrangement that India has with Iran. It purchases oil from the Islamic Republic by depositing rupees into a bank account, and then Iran imports Indian goods, potentially including food, drugs, consumer products and auto parts, debiting rupee amounts from the same account." http://t.uani.com/137n5mQ

Bloomberg: "India is increasing imports of crude oil from Iran as policy makers risk flouting U.S. trade sanctions in their scramble to halt the slump in the rupee.  Mangalore Refinery & Petrochemicals Ltd. (MRPL), India's biggest buyer of Iranian crude, plans to buy five cargoes of 85,000 metric tons each this month, compared with three in August, Managing Director P.P. Upadhya said in an interview. Shipments from the world's only producer that accepts rupee payments for oil are estimated to rise to 4 million tons in the year ending March 31, versus 3.9 million tons in the previous 12 months... Mangalore Refinery and Hindustan Petroleum Corp. (HPCL), the nation's third-biggest state refiner, and Chennai Petroleum Corp. (MRL) halted crude purchases from Iran in April after Indian insurers declined coverage. India's government is preparing a 20 billion-rupee insurance fund for future purchases, Financial Services Secretary Rajiv Takru said Aug. 19... Iran's Naftiran Intertrade Co. owns 15.4 percent of Chennai Petroleum, making it the second-biggest holder, according to data compiled by Bloomberg." http://t.uani.com/15Tvprq

FT: "New York's leading financial services regulator has called on Lloyd's of London to provide it with fresh information about the insurance market's supposed links with companies that do business in Iran. Lloyd's had acknowledged to the state's Department of Financial Services that some of its members had contracts with two companies that had done business in the Islamic republic, said people with knowledge of the matter. The regulator, led by Benjamin Lawsky, has asked Lloyd's to provide it with details of enquiries the market has made about its members' compliance with Washington's intensified sanctions against the country. The department has been probing alleged links of non-US insurers with Iran after President Barack Obama signed new rules into law this year that restrict companies' dealings." http://t.uani.com/17IVXhs

Fairfield Sun: "State Rep. Tony Hwang joined fellow legislators and the Jewish Federation of Connecticut (JFACT) to champion passage of legislation to prevent entities with investments in Iran from doing business with Connecticut. The goal is to fight against international terrorism through business and social intervention. Public Act 13-162 prohibits state and quasi-public agencies from entering into, renewing, or amending a large state contract with any "entity" that fails to certify that it has not directly invested $20 million or more in Iran's energy sector or certifies that it has made, renewed or increased such an investment. 'On behalf of JFACT and all the other organizations, including UANI (United Against Nuclear Iran), who are concerned about Iran marching forward to become a Nuclear nation, I applaud Rep. Tony Hwang for joining this critical bi-partisan effort in CT,' said Bob Fishman, JFACT executive director. 'To make a clear statement that those business entities cannot do business with the great state of Connecticut if they continue doing business with the government of Iran.'" http://t.uani.com/14nfMFa

Commerce

Reuters: "Iran's new oil minister has ordered the revision of energy project contracts to make them more attractive to foreign investors, a National Iranian Oil Company (NIOC) executive told oil ministry news service Shana. Iran's long insistence on paying contractors with oil made projects unattractive to foreign investors long before Western sanctions made it almost impossible to work in the isolated Islamic republic. Tehran began offering more attractive production sharing contracts (PSCs) to some Indian companies earlier this year in the hope they would help revive its decaying energy sector. Oil Minister Bijan Zanganeh has ordered a wider review of Iran's oil contracts because the buy-back deals are particularly unsuitable for the enhanced oil recovery projects NIOC needs to attract investors to revive its ageing oil fields." http://t.uani.com/17GY2KO  

Syria Conflict

WSJ: "The White House is girding for more than a week of battle with Congress over President Barack Obama's plan to launch limited military strikes against the Syrian regime for its alleged use of chemical weapons last month. To back the administration's position, Secretary of State John Kerry said Sunday that the U.S. had obtained new blood and hair samples from inside Syria that confirmed President Bashar al-Assad's regime used sarin, a powerful nerve agent, against civilians in an Aug. 21 attack on an eastern Damascus suburb... 'If the United States is unwilling to lead a coalition of people who are prepared to stand up for the international norm with respect to chemical weapons that's been in place since 1925, if we are unwilling to do that, we will be granting a blanket license to Assad to continue to gas,' Mr. Kerry said on ABC's 'This Week.' 'We will send a terrible message to the North Koreans, Iranians and others who might be trying to read how serious is America.'" http://t.uani.com/15zzHzZ

WSJ: "In recent meetings, South Korean officials told their U.S. counterparts that continued White House inaction in Syria could embolden North Korea to use its own chemical weapons against its southern neighbor. Similar messages were relayed by Turkish, Israeli and Saudi officials in recent days, telling President Barack Obama he must respond to Syria's alleged use of chemical weapons, current and former U.S. and Middle Eastern officials said. Failure to act, these allies said, could convince Iran that Washington isn't serious about halting its pursuit of nuclear weapons... Secretary of State John Kerry has been advocating a harder line against Mr. Assad for months. In Situation Room meetings, Mr. Kerry has argued the stakes were broader than Syria and specifically cited the strategic implications should Iran doubt 'our seriousness about red lines,' a senior administration official said." http://t.uani.com/1cBTDZ2

WSJ: "Residents of western Afghanistan are bracing for the possible fallout from a U.S. strike on Syria, worried America's entry into conflict could disrupt their trade ties with neighboring Iran-or expose them to potential Iranian retaliation. Iran is a close ally of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, and the commander of Iran's elite Revolutionary Guard Corps warned this week that the consequences for an attack 'would not be limited to Syria.' Such war talk has raised anxieties in Herat, Afghanistan's historic trade hub, just an hour's drive from the Iranian border. Khalil Ahmad Yarmand, the head of the Herat Chamber of Commerce and Industries, said a wider conflict could interrupt the flow of goods to Afghanistan from the Iranian port of Bandar Abbas." http://t.uani.com/17AGa0y

RFE/RL: "In an unprecedented move, Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif has initiated a debate over the alleged use of chemical weapons in Syria on Facebook. On August 30, Zarif posted some questions and thoughts, first in Persian and later in English, that prompted hundreds of reactions and comments from his more than 95,000 Facebook followers.The issues Zarif raised reflect Iran's official stance regarding the current crisis, including its condemnation of chemical weapons and opposition to a military intervention against its main regional ally... Zarif's airing of his views on Facebook has given Iranians a unique chance to discuss their thoughts about the situation in Syria, including Iran's support for Assad, which has come under criticism. Citizens in Iran are rarely, if ever, given the opportunity to interact with their public officials. The debate that Zarif sparked on Facebook offered a rare glimpse into their diverse views on an international crisis that is likely to impact their country. 'Do you think it's fair for Iranians to be pressured because of [Tehran's] support for [Assad]? What do you get from Syria in return for all of your support?' one user asks." http://t.uani.com/18mgGnE

Human Rights

Bahá'í World News Service: "From the available information it is now clear that the murder in Iran of Mr. Ataollah Rezvani was religiously motivated. It is understood that Mr. Rezvani was shot in the back of his head and that his body was found in his car near the railway station on the outskirts of Bandar Abbas, the city where he resided with his family. Information received thus far points to the possibility that his assailants had forced him to drive to that location. His body was discovered following a search when he failed to return home. Mr. Rezvani was well-known as a Baha'i and was loved and respected by the people of Bandar Abbas for his honesty and helpfulness." http://t.uani.com/17wKcZM

Reuters: "Six out of eight Slovak citizens detained in Iran since May on suspicion of spying after taking photographs while paragliding have been released and returned home, Prime Minister Robert Fico said. Iran media said they were detained on suspicion of taking photographs of restricted areas. Slovak news website www.sme.sk said the group was detained near the central Iranian city of Isfahan, where there is uranium conversion facility. Speaking at a news conference attended by the released Slovaks, Fico said the government also had a plan how to proceed to secure the release of the remaining two." http://t.uani.com/15RWkUp 

Domestic Affairs

BBC: "Iran's Assembly of Experts - ostensibly one of the most powerful institutions in the Islamic Republic - is holding its biannual session in Tehran. The body has the authority to appoint and remove the country's Supreme Leader - a prospect which would naturally lead one to expect to see the Supreme Leader defending his policies before assembly members as they assess his performance on every state-related issue that he is responsible for - which is just about everything. In reality, the functions and membership of the assembly are largely irrelevant to Iranian politics and the members are far from being vigilant, critical monitors of the Supreme Leader. There are 86 clerics in the assembly, most of them very old. Twice a year, they take a few days off from other activities to convene as the top body." http://t.uani.com/174q54h 

Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email Press@UnitedAgainstNuclearIran.com

United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) is a non-partisan, broad-based coalition that is united in a commitment to prevent Iran from fulfilling its ambition to become a regional super-power possessing nuclear weapons.  UANI is an issue-based coalition in which each coalition member will have its own interests as well as the collective goal of advancing an Iran free of nuclear weapons.

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