Wednesday, September 4, 2013

Eye on Iran: Iran is Key to Obama's Case For Syria Strikes







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ABC:
"Iran has increasingly become one of the Obama administration's top talking points in the case for military action against Syria. 'Iran is hoping you look the other way,' Secretary of State John Kerry bluntly told members of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee today. 'Our inaction would surely give them a permission slip for them to at least misinterpret our intention if not to put it to the test.' In his Rose Garden remarks on Saturday, President Obama did not mention Iran a single time in announcing his decision to take action, only indirectly referencing the message that will be sent to 'governments who would choose to build nuclear arms.' Today, however, Kerry mentioned Iran four times in his brief opening statement before the committee, repeatedly tying U.S. action in Syria to deterrence of Iran's nuclear threat. He said a U.S. strike against the Bashar al-Assad regime would send a clear signal about the seriousness of American opposition to weapons of mass destruction. Asked directly whether the Obama administration might use congressional authorization to target Syria's WMD to also confront threats in other countries, such as Iran's nuclear program, Kerry said explicitly 'no.' Still, influencing Iran is clearly becoming a top objective of supporters of U.S. military action in Syria. 'Our refusal to act would undermine the credibility of America's other security commitments, including the president's commitment to prevent Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapon,' testified Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel." http://t.uani.com/1eemzba

FT: "Comments by a former Iranian president and pillar of the country's political establishment have shone a light on possible disagreements within the country's elite over its support for President Bashar al-Assad's regime in Syria. In a hotly disputed statement posted on the internet, Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani, Iran's former president, accused Mr Assad's government of using chemical weapons against the Syrian people in what analysts saw as a warning to the government to rethink its support for its main Arab ally. 'God bless the people of Syria... they were subject to chemical weapons by their own government and now they have to expect a foreign invasion,' Mr Rafsanjani, who heads the powerful Expediency Council, said last week at an event in the northern province of Mazandaran... Mr Rafsanjani's speech also referred to thousands of Syrians who had been thrown into prison, painting a dire picture of human rights under the Assad regime and reflecting what some say is widespread Iranian sympathy for the Syrian uprising against Mr Assad. 'Mr Rafsanjani has said what millions of Iranians believe in their heart but they either do not dare to express it or they face censorship [by Iran's regime],' said Sadegh Zibakalam, a reform-minded political scientist." http://t.uani.com/15ttHcS

Reuters: "President Hassan Rouhani will attend the yearly United Nations General Assembly in New York later this month, Iranian media reported on Wednesday, an event his predecessor used to make incendiary statements on the world stage. A relatively moderate cleric, who has said he wants to ease tensions with the West, Rouhani will give three speeches there, Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif was quoted as saying. Rouhani's predecessor, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's speeches at the General Assembly included questioning the Holocaust and the U.S. account of the September 11, 2001 attacks. Western envoys typically walked out of his speeches in protest." http://t.uani.com/17ts3HW
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Sanctions

Financial Express (India): "Amid indications that it maybe looking at Tehran for crude, New Delhi on Tuesday made it clear that it only subscribed to UN sanctions on the country and not the US. 'We don't subscribe to the US sanctions, we subscribe to the UN sanctions. We were party to the UN sanctions, to the UN resolution and voted for it,' external affairs minister Salman Khurshid said in response to a question on what India plans to do to circumvent US sanctions on importing oil from Iran. 'There are issues of availability of insurance and vessels for carrying oil and of a banking system active and ready to be used for payments.' He was talking on the sidelines of the FICCI-organised 3rd National Conference on Energy Security here." http://t.uani.com/13dtvB2 

Syria Conflict

AP: "A senior commander of Iran's powerful Revolutionary Guards is warning the United States against attacking Syria, saying such a move would be a 'dangerous mistake.' Gen. Hossein Salami, acting commander of the Guards told a group of students on Tuesday that an attack against the regime of Bashar al-Assad would spread the 'spirit of jihad' among Muslims and encourage animosity toward the West. Gen. Salami said Syria is not 'alone.'" http://t.uani.com/14j4jM8

Free Beacon: "The Iranian Navy unveiled on Tuesday a new warship equipped with 'advanced weapons and radar systems' and warned that Israel would be the 'main loser' if America decides to launch a military strike in Syria, according to regional media reports... The announcement of these new military capabilities was accompanied by threatening rhetoric against Israel and the United States. A senior Iranian lawmaker said on Tuesday morning that Israel would be the 'first loser' following a U.S. attack on Syria. 'The first loser of this crisis will be the Zionist regime,' Alaeddin Boroujerdi, chairman of the Iranian parliament's National Security and Foreign Policy Commission, was quoted as saying by Fars. 'We hope that as the U.S. President has avoided a hasty move on Syria, the U.S. congress will also act logically in this regard,' Boroujerdi was quoted as saying following a meeting with Lebanon's foreign minister." http://t.uani.com/19i9oT8

AFP: "A senior Iranian official warned in Damascus on Sunday that US interests in the region would be at risk if Washington launched a military strike against his country's ally Syria. Iranian officials have issued stern warnings against US-led military action targeting Syria and the latest came from the chairman of the foreign policy committee of Iran's parliament. 'I hope that the United States will not undertake any precipitated and irrational action, due to the sensitive situation in the region,' Allaeddine Boroujerdi told reporters. 'The Americans cannot threaten the countries of the region and expect that their own interests will not be threatened,' he said, a day after talks with Syrian President Bashar al-Assad... 'If the United States carry out a foolish act, our response will be decisive,' said Boroujerdi, in remarks translated from Farsi into Arabic by an interpreter." http://t.uani.com/17zgzXN

Human Rights

Iran Human Rights: "Three prisoners were hanged in three different Iranian cities according to the Iranian state media. According to the Iranian state broadcasting one boy was hanged in the Karoun Prison of Ahwaz (southwestern Iran) today. The prisoner who was identified as Samir (age unknown) was convicted of murder, said the report. The state broadcasting also reported about public hanging of a prisoner in Khomeini Shahr (Isfahan Province, central Iran) on September 1, and another prisoner in the Adelabad prison of Shiraz on August 31." http://t.uani.com/19ibbYl 

Domestic Affairs

Al-Monitor: "Iranian Interior Minister Abdulreza Rahmani Fazli spoke today about the financial condition of Iran's municipalities. In regard to 'problems from the ninth and tenth governments [President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's two terms] with payments in Tehran municipality, especially in public transportation,' Rahmani Fazli said that 'Because revenues did not cover the costs, 70% of the country's municipalities are bankrupt.' With the exception of Tehran, the mayors of Iran's cities are appointed by the interior minister... According to a Mehr poll, 43% of Tehran's residents have someone in their family who is unemployed. The report stated that official figures by the Ahmadinejad administration indicated that unemployment was 10% and that 3 million people were looking for work. However, unofficial reports put unemployment at above 20%, meaning that 5 million people were looking for work. According to President Hassan Rouhani's economic minister, Iran 'will soon face 8 million people who are looking for work.' According to labor specialist Hamid Haj Ismaili in an interview with Mehr, 'The financial mess of the country has caused the employment measures taken by the government to not be objective.'" http://t.uani.com/1783UKr

Trend: "Iran's inflation hit 35.1 per cent in the fifth calendar month of the current year (July 22 - August 21), which is 1.2 per cent more than its preceding month, the Statistical Centre of Iran announced on Sunday... Head of Majlis Research Center Kazem Jalali said in July that the inflation rate is really alarming and the officials should try to find a solution as soon as possible... Iran's average monthly inflation rate was 25.4 percent during the previous Iranian calendar year, which ended on March 20. In April, the International Monetary Fund reported that Iran's economy contracted by 1.9 percent in 2012 and is expected to shrink by 1.3 percent this year." http://t.uani.com/1cFLfHX

Foreign Affairs

Reuters: "A U.N. team said on Tuesday it had counted 52 bodies in a makeshift morgue at an Iranian dissident camp, most with gunshot wounds and some with their hands tied, two days after violence that it decried as an 'atrocious crime'. The dissident Mujahadin-e-Khalq (MEK) group blamed the Iraqi army for Sunday's bloodshed, but an adviser to Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki, whose government is close to Iran, dismissed the accusation as baseless. Following a visit to Camp Ashraf on Monday, the U.N. team said most of the corpses had gunshot wounds to the head and upper body. It said several buildings in the camp were also damaged, including one which was burnt out. 'I call on the Iraqi government to ensure that a thorough, impartial and transparent investigation into this atrocious crime is conducted without delay and that the results of the investigation are made public,' Gyorgy Busztin, acting U.N. envoy to Iraq, said in a statement." http://t.uani.com/1dOSpOi

Opinion & Analysis

Ali Alfoneh in HuffPo: "The election of Iranian President Hasan Rouhani has created an atmosphere of hope and optimism, both at home and abroad, not seen since Mohammad Khatami's landslide victory in 1997. Ignoring the ill fate of Khatami and his reformist movement, Iranian voters dream of bread and freedom with Rouhani at the helm of the executive branch, while Iran's neighbours and Western statesmen hope the Rouhani cabinet will be the harbinger of a responsible foreign policy and a negotiated solution to the nuclear crisis. Such optimism may be unwarranted. After all, the history of the Islamic Republic is one of shattered dreams and broken promises, and the fate of Khatami and the reform movement, should serve as a warning for what may be in store for Rouhani. The first signals from Tehran are not promising. As Rouhani presented his cabinet to the parliament on August 4, 2013, it became clear that his team is composed of one cleric, 10 technocrats, three former members of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC), and four Ministry of Intelligence and National Security (MOIS) veterans, one of whom is a cleric by training. The strong technocratic presence in Rouhani's proposed cabinet follows a general trend from the founding of the Islamic Republic in 1979. A relatively strong presence of Intelligence Ministry veterans, however, is unprecedented. So is the sharp drop in the presence of IRGC veterans, whose officers were in charge of half of the cabinet portfolios under Ahmadinejad. Replacing IRGC veterans with former Intelligence Ministry officials may be Rouhani's, and even Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's, attempt at containing and counter-balancing the Revolutionary Guards, whose power was unbridled under Ahmadinejad, but it does not bode well for prospects of reform in Iran. Nor does the absence of Khatami era reformists in the cabinet despite reformist support for Rouhani's election campaign. Rouhani has also continued the sad tradition of ignoring Iran's religious minorities in his cabinet. Women too are also notably absent, which makes Rouhani less progressive than Ahmadinejad, who appointed the first woman cabinet minister in the Islamic Republic. This means Rouhani either did not wish to include reformists, religious minorities, and women in his cabinet or was prevented from doing so... Such a cabinet does not bode well for Rouhani's will or ability to 'deliver' on reform, which will be hampered by these figures in key areas such as political and economic liberties, human rights, and the nuclear issue. Worse, Rouhani may become another Khatami: The smiling and humane mask covering the grim face of an inhumane regime." http://t.uani.com/14qjhur  

Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email Press@UnitedAgainstNuclearIran.com

United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) is a non-partisan, broad-based coalition that is united in a commitment to prevent Iran from fulfilling its ambition to become a regional super-power possessing nuclear weapons.  UANI is an issue-based coalition in which each coalition member will have its own interests as well as the collective goal of advancing an Iran free of nuclear weapons.

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