Top Stories
WashPost: "Iranian
President Hassan Rouhani urged other world leaders Thursday to take
advantage of the opportunity for better relations with Iran that his
election represents, writing in The Washington Post that the 'age of
blood feuds' has passed. Rouhani, the only relative moderate among
candidates in Iran's presidential election in June, underscored the break
from the leadership of predecessor Mahmoud Ahmadinejad with an op-ed that
appears in Friday's Post. Rouhani immediately tweeted the article.
Rouhani offered Iran's services as a go-between in Syria's civil war and
invited talks about Iran's disputed nuclear program. 'Iranians embraced
my approach to domestic and international affairs because they saw it as
long overdue,' Rouhani wrote. 'I'm committed to fulfilling my promises to
my people, including my pledge to engage in constructive interaction with
the world.' ... The Iranian leader makes clear that he remains committed
to Iran's right to have what he called a peaceful nuclear energy program,
including the right to enrich uranium for fuel. That ability is the
sticking point in intermittent international negotiations over a program
that the United States, Israel and allies suspect is aimed at building a
nuclear bomb. 'To us, mastering the atomic fuel cycle and generating
nuclear power is as much about diversifying our energy resources as it is
about who Iranians are as a nation, our demand for dignity and respect
and our consequent place in the world,' Rouhani wrote." http://t.uani.com/15byfF4
Guardian:
"The White House has hinted at the possibility of a historic meeting
with Iranian president Hassan Rouhani during his visit to the United
Nations next week, praising what it called 'welcome rhetoric' from Iran
on nuclear weapons. In the latest sign of a thaw in relations between the
two countries, White House spokesman Jay Carney acknowledged 'dramatic'
shifts in Tehran's language but stressed the need to see it matched by
actions... 'We obviously notice a significant change in language and
tone, it's rather dramatic, but it's important we don't just take Iran's
word for it,' said Carney. 'The release of political prisoners is a
welcome action. The welcome rhetoric over nuclear weapons is just that.
Words are not a substitute for action and we need to see follow-through.'
... Carney again hinted this was possible, but insisted the US had always
been willing to talk to Iran about ending the alleged nuclear weapons
programme. Asked if the two leaders would meet in New York, he replied:
'We will see. It has always been possible.' He added: 'The president has
said all along that he would be willing to have that meeting providing
that Iran demonstrates its seriousness in dealing with its nuclear
weapons programme.'" http://t.uani.com/1dviUEQ
WSJ:
"As Iran seeks to improve relations with the West, the U.S. and its
allies hold an important trump card: The world isn't desperate for
Iranian oil. Iran's oil output has fallen by one million barrels a day
from 2010 levels, in large measure due to U.S. and European Union sanctions
on crude-oil sales. Countries that still buy from Iran under waivers from
sanctions have reduced volumes. The nation that holds the world's
fourth-biggest petroleum reserves and had ranked as the world's
sixth-biggest oil producer now barely makes the top 10, pumping less than
2.7 million barrels of oil a day. While Iran has shuttered wells amid
sliding sales, U.S. oil output has surged to 25-year highs, reducing
imports and leaving more supply in the market for Iran's former
customers. Saudi Arabia, the world's biggest oil exporter, has boosted
its flow to a three-decade high, helping to cover lost supply from Iran.
'As things stand right now, the market doesn't need Iran' to restore that
lost output, said Michael Wittner, head of commodities research in the
Americas for Societe Generale. 'There is no shortage of crude in the
sense that people can't get cargoes when they want them.' In other words,
Mr. Wittner said, the world's growing appetite for oil likely won't play
a role in any talks of easing sanctions." http://t.uani.com/1a9IPzP
Nuclear
Program
NYT:
"Only two weeks after Washington and the nation were debating a
unilateral military strike on Syria that was also intended as a forceful
warning to Iran about its nuclear program, President Obama finds himself
at the opening stages of two unexpected diplomatic initiatives with
America's biggest adversaries in the Middle East, each fraught with
opportunity and danger... 'The common thread is that you don't achieve
diplomatic progress in the Middle East without significant pressure,'
Benjamin J. Rhodes, a deputy national security adviser, said Thursday.
'In Syria, it was the serious threat of a military strike; in Iran it was
a sanctions regime built up over five years.' ... Skeptics - and there
are plenty in the National Security Council, the Pentagon, America's
intelligence agencies and Congress - are not so optimistic. They think
Mr. Obama runs the risk of being dragged into long negotiations and
constant games of hide-and-seek that, ultimately, will result in little
change in the status quo. They argue that the president's hesitance to
pull the trigger on Tomahawk strikes on Syria nearly two weeks ago, and
the public and Congressional rebellion at the idea of even limited
military strikes, were unmistakable signals to the Syrian and Iranian
elites that if diplomacy fails, the chances of military action ordered by
the American president are slight." http://t.uani.com/1dvjgLH
NYT:
"Iran's leaders, seizing on perceived flexibility in a private
letter from President Obama, have decided to gamble on forging a swift
agreement over their nuclear program with the goal of ending crippling
sanctions, a prominent adviser to the Iranian leadership said Thursday.
The adviser, who participated in top-level discussions of the country's
diplomatic strategy, said that Mr. Obama's letter, delivered to Iran's
new president, Hassan Rouhani, about three weeks ago, promised relief
from sanctions if Tehran demonstrated a willingness to 'cooperate with
the international community, keep your commitments and remove
ambiguities.' The text of the letter has not been made public, but the
adviser described its contents in an interview in his office on Thursday.
A senior American official did not dispute the general outlines of the
letter as described by the longtime adviser and Iranian political expert,
Amir Mohebbian. But the official said Mr. Obama had not promised Iran
quick relief from sanctions, and had steered clear of any detailed
proposal... The leadership is also desperate to escape the withering
financial sanctions imposed in recent years, particularly the ban on
Iranian money transfers through the Swift system. It can live without oil
sales, analysts have said, but not without the ability to transfer money.
Mr. Mohebbian said Iran is hoping the White House will lift some sanctions
as a gesture to show its seriousness about the talks. 'We particularly
want to be readmitted to the Swift system,' he said." http://t.uani.com/1fhlz6E
Reuters:
"Israel said on Thursday a U.S. television interview in which
Iranian President Hassan Rouhani pledged that Tehran would never develop
nuclear weapons was an Iranian attempt to deceive the world. 'One must
not be fooled by the Iranian president's fraudulent words,' said a
statement issued by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's office. 'The
Iranians are spinning in the media so that the centrifuges can keep on
spinning,' it said, referring to Iranian uranium enrichment that Israel
believes is aimed at developing nuclear weapons... The Israeli statement
said Iran was out to achieve a deal in which it would agree to give up an
'inconsequential' part of its nuclear program while moving ahead with
other activities that would enable it to build a bomb quickly from the
moment it decides to do so." http://t.uani.com/19nurlm
Reuters:
"Iran's clerical leadership has told security hardliners to stay out
of politics, in effect instructing them not to wreck the new centrist
government's attempt to solve an intractable nuclear dispute with West.
If the message to the Revolutionary Guards from Supreme Leader Ayatollah
Ali Khamenei and new President Hassan Rouhani was meant as an admonition,
however, it was a friendly one. The request was delicate since the
military force has accumulated great economic and political power in
recent years and is omnipresent in the life of the nation. Such is the
Guards' influence in political, social and economic affairs that they
could disrupt any rapprochement with the West if they felt this would
damage their interests." http://t.uani.com/18HCFUo
Sanctions
Reuters:
"The United States and its allies are clamping down on suspected
Hezbollah activity in West Africa, which Washington says is a major
source of cash for the Lebanese group as its patron Iran feels the pinch
of sanctions... '(West Africa) is more important in the sense that what
they're getting from Iran is squeezed. Iran's capacity to fund Hezbollah
has been impaired,' said David Cohen, U.S. treasury undersecretary for
terrorism and financial intelligence. 'There's reason to think Hezbollah
is not just collecting money but it is also using these outposts as
places where they can plan and conduct activities,' he added. Nigeria,
with support from Israel, says it has uncovered a Hezbollah cell and arms
cache and arrested has locals it accuses of spying for Iran." http://t.uani.com/19k6yMG
Reuters:
"India's imports of Iranian oil shot up in August to more than four
times the volume taken in July as one refiner resumed purchases after a
four-month break, but the average annual pace of shipments is still far
below last year's levels. India's intake of Iranian oil to date in 2013
is down over 40 percent on the year because international sanctions aimed
at curbing Tehran's nuclear programme have made it difficult to insure
refineries and ships involved in the trade and forced some oil payments
to be made in rupee. Even though Indian oil minister M. Veerappa Moily
says he wants Iranian oil imports near last fiscal year's rate of 260,000
barrels per day (bpd) - which he says would save $8.5 billion in foreign
exchange and help curtail India's current account deficit - daily
shipment rates are much lower than that. Industry sources also told
Reuters there would likely be no great import resurgence despite the
government putting together a new reinsurance package for refineries
processing Iranian oil. India imported 151,000 bpd of Iranian crude in
August versus 35,500 bpd in July, when only Essar Oil bought from Tehran,
data compiled by Reuters from trade sources shows...Only two refiners -
Essar Oil and state-owned Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemical Ltd -
bought Iranian oil in August. MRPL, which used to be Iran's top Indian
client, bought its first oil from the sanctions-hit nation since April,
the data shows. MRPL resumed the imports after securing local reinsurance
for claims up to 5 billion rupee ($79 million)." http://t.uani.com/18fCC5T
Reuters:
"Iran plans to invest around 8.5 billion euros ($11.4 billion) in
its aluminium industry as part of plans to nearly quadruple production by
2025, an official at mining group Imidro said on Thursday. Iran is the
20th largest producer of aluminium in the world, according to the Iranian
Mines and Mining Industries Development and Renovation Organisation
(Imidro), and needs the extra supplies to meet demand which is growing by
10 percent a year. Aluminium is a lightweight metal used widely in
transport, packaging and construction. It can also be used to make tubes
for uranium enrichment gas centrifuges... Geramishoar said higher prices
for alumina imports have already contributed to a rise in the cost of
aluminium production to over $2,000 a tonne... The United States
tightened sanctions on raw and semi-processed materials, such as alumina,
to Iran at the start of July this year as part of a campaign to target
Iran's nuclear program." http://t.uani.com/16e1Rrw
UN
General Assembly
Free
Beacon: "A former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations is
calling on a prominent New York City hotel to deny accommodations Iranian
President Hassan Rowhani and his political delegation, which will be in
the city next week for the United Nations General Assembly meeting.
Rowhani and a team of top Iranian diplomats will purportedly be lodging
at the ONE U.N. hotel in downtown New York City, according to former U.N.
Ambassador Mark Wallace, who currently serves as CEO of United Against
Nuclear Iran (UANI), a watchdog group. It is inappropriate for the U.S.
hotel to play host to a delegation that has denied the Holocaust,
threatened to kill U.S. soldiers, and is secretly pursuing nuclear arms
that would likely be used to strike America and Israel, Wallace and UANI
wrote in a letter to the hotel's management. 'Certainly the ONE U.N. is
aware that President Rowhani is the public face of a brutal regime that
is a sworn enemy of the United States, and which is under strict
sanctions by the U.S. government and the international community,'
Wallace wrote to ONE U.N. General Manager Paul Wong and Wong Hong Ren,
the CEO of Millennium & Copthorne Hotels." http://t.uani.com/1fhhdN3
Reuters:
"U.N. Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon on Thursday commended efforts by
Iranian President Hassan Rouhani's government to engage with the
international community and praised Tehran for releasing several
prominent prisoners. Ban met with Iranian Foreign Minister Javad Zarif
earlier on Thursday and said he plans to meet with Rouhani on the sidelines
of the U.N. General Assembly in New York next week. Rouhani is due to
address the United Nations on Tuesday. Since Rouhani was elected
president in June, the centrist cleric has called for 'constructive
interaction' with the world, a dramatic shift in tone from the strident
anti-Western rhetoric of his predecessor, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. 'I told
Minister Zarif that I commend the efforts of the new government in Iran
in promoting dialogue with the international community,' Ban told
reporters. 'I'm going to meet President Rouhani next week ... (to)
discuss all the matters of regional concern very closely.'" http://t.uani.com/1aYNmK2
Reuters:
"France's president, Francois Hollande, said on Thursday he would
meet Iranian President Hassan Rouhani on the sidelines of the U.N.
General Assembly next week, the first meeting between presidents of the
two countries since 2005. France has been a strong advocate of sanctions
to pressure Iran over its nuclear program but has been cautious since
Rouhani, a relative moderate, was elected earlier this year. Hollande
said he had accepted an invitation to meet with the new Iranian leader.
'There is a plan to meet with the Iranian president at his request,'
Hollande told reporters before leaving Bamako, where he was attending a ceremony
to mark the swearing-in of Mali's new president." http://t.uani.com/15ad7US
AP:
"Iran's only Jewish lawmaker said Thursday that he will be part of
President Hasan Rouhani's delegation to the United Nations next week, a
first for the Islamic Republic. Siamak Moreh Sedgh, who represents Iran's
Jewish community in the country's parliament, told The Associated Press
that he will accompany Rouhani on his visit to New York. Moreh Sedgh said
he is just waiting for his U.S. visa. Moreh Sedgh, 48, has represented
his community in parliament since 2012. This represents the first time
the Iranian president will be accompanied by a Jewish lawmaker to the
U.N." http://t.uani.com/18FMRTl
Human Rights
IHR:
"Two prisoners were hanged in Tonekabon (northern Iran) today
Thursday September 19, reported Iranian state media. According to the
Iranian state broadcasting one of the prisoners was hanged in the
Shiroudi Square of Tonekabon while the other prisoner was hanged in the
prison of Tonekabon located in Noshtaroud." http://t.uani.com/1gHJZEt
Opinion &
Analysis
Ray Takeyh in LAT:
"In an autumn ritual, an Iranian president is once more coming to
New York for the United Nations' annual meeting of the heads of state.
Media frenzy is likely to follow, as the smiling visage of President
Hassan Rouhani dominates the airways next week. Beyond vague pledges of
cooperation and lofty rhetoric about turning a new page, the question
remains how to assess the intentions of the new Iranian government. The
early indications are that Rouhani has put together a seasoned team that
seeks to both advance and legitimize Iran's nuclear program. One of the
peculiarities of the Islamic Republic is that at times it seemingly
floats its strategies in the media. On Sept. 3, a long editorial titled
'A Realistic Initiative on the Nuclear Issue' appeared in Bahar, an
Iranian newspaper with ties to the more moderate elements of the
country's elite. The article stressed that former President Mahmoud
Ahmadinejad's confrontational policies and reckless rhetoric had caused
the international community to perceive Iran as threatening and
dangerous. In that context, Iran's quest for nuclear empowerment was
bound to be resisted by the great powers. And cleverly manipulated by the
United States and Israel, the United Nations censured Iran and imposed
debilitating sanctions on its fledgling economy. The editorial went on to
say that to escape this predicament, Iran had to change its image. A
state that is considered 'trustworthy' and 'accountable' is bound to be
provided with some leeway. Iran can best achieve its nuclear aspirations
not by making systematic concessions on the scope of its program but by
altering the overall impression of its reliability as a state. It appears
that Rouhani is carefully following this script. One of his first acts as
president was to appoint as his foreign minister Javad Zarif, an urbane
diplomat unwisely purged by Ahmadinejad. Zarif's superb skill as a
negotiator, his easy access to Western power-brokers and his pragmatism are
bound to impress Iran's skeptical interlocutors... The new government's
soothing words have not lessened its determination to forge ahead with
its nuclear program. Rouhani has stressed, as reported on state radio
this month, that Iran 'will not withdraw an iota from the definite rights
of people.' That message was reinforced by the appointment of Ali
Shamkhani to the powerful position of secretary of the Supreme National
Security Council. Shamkhani is a creature of the security services, one
of the founding members of the Revolutionary Guard and a former defense
minister. Throughout his career, Shamkhani has been involved with the
nation's nuclear program, procuring technologies for it and defending it.
During his time as defense minister, he even subtly suggested the utility
of nuclear arms in Iran's contested regional environment. 'We have
neighbors who, due to international competition, have gained nuclear
weapons.... We have no other alternatives but to defend ourselves in view
of these developments,' Shamkhani said in 2000. If Zarif's appointment is
designed to placate the international community, Shamkhani's selection is
a signal to the hard-liners at home that Rouhani intends to preserve
Iran's nuclear prerogatives. Rouhani's attempt to refashion Iran's image
and temper its rhetoric should be welcomed. After eight years of
Ahmadinejad provocations that often unhinged the international community,
a degree of self-restraint is admirable. However, judge Tehran by its
conduct and not its words. It is not enough for Rouhani to condemn the
use of chemical weapons in Syria. Is he prepared to withdraw the
Revolutionary Guard contingents that have done much to buttress Assad's
brutality? It is not sufficient for Rouhani to speak of transparency; he
must curb Iran's troublesome nuclear activities and comply with the U.N.
Security Council resolutions. And it is not enough for Rouhani to speak
of a tolerant society unless he is prepared to free his many former
comrades and colleagues who are languishing in prisons under false
charges. Rouhani's reliability has to be measured by his actions, not by
his speeches or tweets." http://t.uani.com/18FPowP
Patrick Clawson in
FP: "The moment of truth is coming. All the optics
from Tehran -- even from Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei -- indicate that
Iran is gearing up for a new attempt at a nuclear deal. If a deal can't
be made in the next few months, it's hard to see another opportunity when
the chances would ever be this good again. If Iran's recent political
history holds true, Rouhani has a unique window of opportunity to win
sanctions relief. The last three Iranian presidents before him were able
to influence policy in their first year before their powers faded. Each
came into office with a strong agenda: Ali Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani's
goal was economic liberalization; Mohammad Khatami aimed for a cultural
opening, and Mahmoud Ahmadinejad peddled a populist message. And all
three were successful in making progress at the start of their terms --
though they all ran into strong resistance from the supreme leader as
their tenure dragged on, which reversed their policies. Rouhani is even
better placed than his predecessors to have real influence. He enjoys
support from a broad swath of the Iranian political spectrum -- from
hard-liners to reformists -- in no small part because of the lessons each
camp is drawing from developments across the region. Hard-liners realize
that the 'resistance policy' advocated by the previous team has not
worked well. Resistance has brought Iran only more sanctions, led Syrian
President Bashar al-Assad to the brink of disaster, and lost Hezbollah
the broad public support it once commanded across the region. They see
Rouhani's strategy as a new approach toward the same goals, and they are
willing to give it a try... Rouhani's book, National Security and Nuclear
Diplomacy -- which made the case that the deals negotiated with European
powers in 2003 and 2004 preserved Iran's options while forestalling
international pressure -- may serve as a blueprint for his current
strategy. It would be a smart move by Khamenei -- indeed, smarter than
his usual practice -- to send Rouhani out to see what kind of a nuclear
deal he can get from the United States. From Khamenei's perspective, it's
a win-win scenario: If his president can get a good deal which preserves
Iran's nuclear options, fine. If no deal is reached, Iran will still have
gained many months in which its nuclear program can progress." http://t.uani.com/19nAV3w
David Albright
& Christina Walrond in ISIS: "President Hassan
Rouhani in an important NBC Nightly News interview September 18, 2013
stated: 'We have never pursued or sought a nuclear bomb. We are not going
to do so. We are solely seeking peaceful nuclear technology.'
Unfortunately, the available evidence provides little reason to believe
him. If President Rouhani wants the world to believe Iran will not
build nuclear weapons in the future, the Iranian government should
reconsider its blanket denials of ever seeking nuclear weapons in the
past. As demonstrated by the South African experience, transparency
regarding past nuclear weapons development is integral to solving the
nonproliferation concerns related to the Iranian nuclear program and
creating the level of confidence and cooperation necessary for the
lifting of sanctions and t
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Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against
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