Monday, September 16, 2013

Eye on Iran: Obama Says Iran Shouldn't Misinterpret U.S. Response to Syria





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WashPost:
"President Obama declared that the United States is still prepared to act militarily to stop Iran from developing nuclear weapons despite the decision to pursue a diplomatic deal and not strike Syria over its alleged use of chemical weapons. He also acknowledged that his approach to the Syria crisis has been uneven, but defended it as producing the right results. Obama spoke in an interview broadcast Sunday on ABC's 'This Week With George Stephanopoulos,' taped Friday before the United States and Russia agreed on a plan to bring Syrian chemical weapons under international control in order to avoid military strikes. But Obama said Iran should not interpret the diplomatic response - coming after he threatened to use strikes - as suggesting that the United States wouldn't attack Iran to stop the development of nuclear weapons. 'I think what the Iranians understand is that the nuclear issue is a far larger issue for us than the chemical weapons issue, that the threat... against Israel that a nuclear Iran poses is much closer to our core interests,' Obama said. 'My suspicion is that the Iranians recognize they shouldn't draw a lesson that we haven't struck [Syria] to think we won't strike Iran.' Obama said, however, that what the Iranians should draw from this episode is that it is possible to resolve this type of disagreement diplomatically. 'My view is that if you have both a credible threat of force, combined with a rigorous diplomatic effort, that, in fact you can... strike a deal,' he said, confirming that he had communicated with Iranian President Hassan Rouhani by letter." http://t.uani.com/1glu6mT

WSJ: "At a base near Tehran, Iranian forces are training Shiite militiamen from across the Arab world to do battle in Syria-showing the widening role of Iran's elite Revolutionary Guard Corps in Syria's bloody war. The busloads of Shiite militiamen from Iraq, Syria and other Arab states have been arriving at the Iranian base in recent weeks, under cover of darkness, for instruction in urban warfare and the teachings of Iran's clerics, according to Iranian military figures and residents in the area. The fighters' mission: Fortify the Syrian regime of President Bashar al-Assad against Sunni rebels, the U.S. and Israel. Iran's widening role in Syria has helped Mr. Assad climb back from near-defeat in less than a year. The role of Iran's training camp for Shiite fighters hasn't previously been disclosed. The fighters 'are told that the war in Syria is akin to [an] epic battle for Shiite Islam, and if they die they will be martyrs of the highest rank,' says an Iranian military officer briefed on the training camp, which is 15 miles outside Tehran and called Amir Al-Momenin, or Commander of the Faithful." http://t.uani.com/16xcGlM

Algemeiner: "Iran has found a new home for its delegation during this month's UN General Assembly in New York City. According to United Against a Nuclear Iran (UANI), which describes itself as a non-partisan, broad-based coalition committed to preventing Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons, the ONE UN New York hotel (formerly known as the Millennium UN Plaza Hotel) plans to house Rouhani and other Iranian officials during their visit to New York City the week of September 22. In a letter to ONE UN General Manager Paul Wong and Wong Hong Ren, CEO of Millennium & Copthorne Hotels, which owns the hotel, UANI CEO, Ambassador Mark D. Wallace warned, 'UANI will publicly highlight [the]... irresponsible decision if you do not take action to refuse accommodation to the Iranian delegation.'" http://t.uani.com/1bm0s3h
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Nuclear Program

Reuters: "Iran wants to end the stand-off with global powers over its nuclear program swiftly but will not sacrifice its rights or interests for the sake of a solution, President Hassan Rouhani said on Friday... Rouhani, who was elected in June, has said Iran will be more transparent and less confrontational in talks with the six powers - the United States, Russia, China, Britain, France and Germany. But he made clear earlier on Friday he is only ready to go so far, indicating Iran would not give up its right to enrich uranium. 'I declare that only if there is political will, if there is mutual respect and mutual interest, and only if the rights of Iran's people are ensured, can we guarantee the peaceful character of Iran's nuclear program,' he said." http://t.uani.com/14RwLj7

AFP: "Barack Obama has revealed an exchange of letters with Iran's new President Hassan Rowhani but warned his reluctance to strike Syria should not devalue US threats of force to thwart an Iranian nuclear bomb... Obama was asked on the ABC News 'This Week' program whether he had reached out to Rowhani, a moderate conservative elected in June. 'I have. And he's reached out to me. We haven't spoken-- directly,' Obama said. Asked by interviewer George Stephanopoulos whether the contact was via letters, Obama replied: 'Yes.'" http://t.uani.com/14UriNY

Reuters: "Iran's new atomic energy chief pledged increased cooperation with the U.N. nuclear watchdog on Monday, delivering a conciliatory message ahead of talks between the two sides this month over Tehran's disputed atomic activities. Ali Akbar Salehi also said Iran was optimistic about the outcome of broader diplomatic negotiations with major powers, should the parties enter 'with good intention and with the resolve to solving the ... issue based on a win-win approach'... 'There has always been a movement from the Iranian side. This time we are coming with a more full-fledged ... desire for this,' Salehi said, referring to the search for a peaceful settlement of the decade-old nuclear dispute... But, like Rouhani, Salehi stressed that Iran would never 'compromise' over what the Islamic state sees as its inalienable right to a civilian nuclear energy programme." http://t.uani.com/18rdMSN 

Sanctions

Trend: "UANI (United Against Nuclear Iran) group calls on Japanese car manufacturer Mazda and French Peugeot to end their business in Iran, UANI (United Against Nuclear Iran U.S. group) Communications Director Nathan Carleton told Trend. While a lot of car manufacturing companies have left Iran due to sanctions imposed on the Islamic Republic, according to Carleton despite the threat of sanctions, there are still some world-known car brands that do their business in Iran. Among them are Mazda and Peugeot. 'Mazda's ongoing business in Iran is egregious given that its vehicles are produced in Iran in partnership with the Bahman Group, a manufacturing conglomerate that is 45.5 percent owned by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC),' Carleton said. He went on to note that if Mazda does not end its Iran business, it should be sanctioned under presidential Executive Order 13645, which authorizes sanctions on entities 'knowingly engaged in a significant transaction for the sale, supply, or transfer to Iran of significant goods or services used in connection with the automotive sector of Iran.' Speaking of Peugeot, Carleton said that despite Peugeot's claims to have stopped its auto shipments to Iran, its vehicles are still being produced there." http://t.uani.com/18oaMAu

WSJ: "The U.K. government is in talks with the U.S. and the European Union over a possible exemption to Iranian sanctions that would allow BP PLC to restart a North Sea natural gas field partially owned by a Tehran-controlled company. The move comes as the U.S. and its allies have welcomed the elevation of a new Iranian president earlier this year as a possible opportunity to re-engage Iran in talks about its nuclear program. But the effort also comes amid increasing worry in the U.K. over Britain's natural gas supplies. Amid declining domestic gas output in Britain, prices have risen and the U.K. has boosted its imports. BP's Rhum field, in the North Sea, is 50% owned by an affiliate of Iran's state oil company. BP closed it in 2010 amid tightening U.S. and EU sanctions aimed at stopping Iran's nuclear program. It is unclear exactly what shape the possible exemption might take, or whether a deal will be reached in the end. But recent efforts stem from newly adopted EU regulations, which allow exemptions under specific conditions. 'The BP gas field could be exempted from sanctions under an EU Council Regulation adopted in December 2012 amending previous regulation on restrictive measures against Iran,' an EU spokeswoman said. The spokeswoman declined to comment on talks over the exemption." http://t.uani.com/17DscfE

Reuters: "South Korea's Iranian crude oil imports fell in August to a third of those a month earlier, helping Seoul to close in on its target of cutting imports in the June-November period by 15 percent to extend a U.S. sanctions waiver. The Asian country imported 272,090 tonnes of Iran crude last month, or 64,336 barrels per day (bpd), declining from 190,516 bpd in July and putting the total imports for June-August at 130,135 bpd, preliminary customs data and Reuters calculations show. The total means it is only an inch away from 125,814 bpd that South Korea aims to achieve in its six-month imports through November. It has vowed to slash Iranian oil imports by 15 percent from 148,016 bpd imported in December 2012 to May 2013, two sources told Reuters in June." http://t.uani.com/16w4mmv

Syria Conflict

NYT: "In a whirlwind trip to allied capitals, Secretary of State John Kerry sought to send the message that the agreement struck Saturday to eliminate Syria's chemical weapons did not signal a weakening of the Obama administration's stance on Iran. When Mr. Kerry appeared before Congress earlier this month, he argued that if the United States did not carry out a military strike to punish the Syrian government for the Aug. 21 chemical weapons attack near Damascus, it would embolden Iran to proceed with its nuclear program. 'Iran is hoping you look the other way,' Mr. Kerry told the Senate Foreign Relations Committee on Sept. 3. But speaking in Jerusalem on Sunday, Mr. Kerry asserted that an agreement that would disarm Syria's chemical arsenal without the use of American force sent an equally strong message. 'If we achieve that, we will have set a marker for the standard of behavior with respect to Iran and with respect to North Korea,' Mr. Kerry said after meeting with Benjamin Netanyahu, the Israeli prime minister." http://t.uani.com/1eDEL0B

AP: "The head of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard's elite Quds Force says the West's hostility toward the Syrian government comes over Israel. A state television report broadcast Saturday quoted Gen. Ghassem Soleimani as saying his country's support of Syria secures 'Iran's real national interests.' Iran considers Syria and Lebanon's Hezbollah - as well as Palestinian militant groups - as part of a 'resistance axis' against Israel. Soleimani said the West knows that a 'powerful position of resistance relies on Syria.' Last week, Soleimani promised that Iran would support Syria 'until the end.'" http://t.uani.com/195dVHz

AFP: "UN humanitarian chief Valerie Amos urged Tehran at the end of a visit on Sunday to use its influence with ally Syria to allow greater aid access to the country. 'I asked the foreign minister (Mohammad Javad Zarif) to use Iran's influence with the (Syrian) government to continue to press for greater access for humanitarian organisations,' she told a news conference." http://t.uani.com/17ZzwTu

Human Rights

IHR: "An 18 year old boy was hanged publicly in the town of Ghaemshahr (northern Iran) this morning... Depending on Erfan's exact date of birth, there is a possibility that he was under 18 years of age at the time of committing the alleged crime. Iran Human Rights is currently investigating this matter." http://t.uani.com/14Upg08

Domestic Affairs

AFP: "The Facebook page of Iran's foreign minister was taken over briefly by unidentified hackers who protested against the crackdown on protesters after the disputed 2009 presidential election, media reported Saturday. 'My Facebook page was pirated by someone who changed the password, but the problem has since been sorted,' Mohammad Javad Zarif was quoted as saying by state news agency IRNA. 'If this happens again, I may have to stop having a Facebook page,' he added." http://t.uani.com/17ZzRpg

AFP: "Mohammad Javad Zarif, Iran's media savvy foreign minister, has become the first Iranian official to have a verified account on Twitter, although no one inside the country can legally read his tweets. In fact technically it is illegal for Zarif to have a Twitter account at all... However Zarif's tweets can only be read inside Iran by people who have illegal VPN software that get past a systematic filtering mechanism set up by the authorities. Under the system, Iran blocks access to Twitter, Facebook, YouTube and numerous other sites, including blogs and pornographic hubs, as it tries to stop its population from surfing content authorities see as undermining the Islamic regime, or as being immoral." http://t.uani.com/16bsRC5

Foreign Affairs

Reuters: "Britain said on Sunday it would be happy to set up a meeting between British Foreign Secretary William Hague and Iranian President Hassan Rouhani, but denied a suggestion from Tehran that such a meeting had already been arranged... A spokeswoman for the British Foreign Office said a meeting between Hague and Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif in New York had long been scheduled, but she was not aware that a meeting with Rouhani was going to happen." http://t.uani.com/16btUlA

Opinion & Analysis

UANI Advisory Board Member Avi Jorisch in Forbes: "India has launched a bold initiative to bolster its influence throughout Southeast and Central Asia. The Indian government is investing significant capital in Iran's Chabahar free-trade zone and the surrounding infrastructure to secure its economic interests throughout the region, reduce Pakistan's sphere of influence and compete with China. While this policy seems attractive in the short term, this course of action is fraught with unanticipated dangers. Investing in Chabahar not only allows Iran's rogue regime to fill its coffers with the hard currency it needs to repress its people and facilitate terrorism, but may also harm India's strategic relationship with one of its most important allies, the United States. Traditionally, the relationship between India and Iran has revolved around trade. In 2010, the two countries conducted $14 billion worth of business, mostly in oil and gas. India's decision to invest $100 million in Chabahar, a port in the Sistan-o-Balochistan province on the southeastern tip of Iran, is part of this relationship... Iran is looking to use Chabahar to develop its infrastructure and levy sizable duties, and India's investment serves as a critical lifeline for Iran in the face of international sanctions. For India, however, despite Chabahar's financial advantages, there is more to lose than gain by doing business with the world's most notorious state sponsor of terrorism. India's relationship with the United States is very important to it. Bilateral trade currently stands at around $106 billion annually - over 10 times India's trade with Iran - and there are current negotiations to enter into a free-trade agreement.Whether increased investment in Iran, a country targeted by American sanctions, will hurt the U.S.-India alliance remains to be determined, but it certainly cannot help... India should consider whether potential loss of access to the U.S. market, instability in Afghanistan and Chabahar and support for a state sponsor of terrorism is worth the bang for the buck. It should cease investing in Iran's infrastructure so long as the Islamic Republic continues it march towards nuclearization, oppresses its people and proliferates terrorism." http://t.uani.com/15xtWaJ

David Albright & Christina Walrond in ISIS: "On Thursday, September 12, 2013, the head of the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran Ali Akbar Salehi announced that Iran had reduced its stockpile of 20 percent low enriched uranium (LEU) 'from around 240 kilograms to around 140 kilograms' by converting it into fuel for the Tehran Research Reactor (TRR). Salehi noted that Iran had 'converted a remarkable part to fuel rod' (sic) and indicated that Iran would eventually convert the rest. Unfortunately, this announcement is misleading based on how little LEU Iran has actually converted to fuel. Based on the International Atomic Energy Agency's (IAEA) August 2013 safeguards report on Iran, Iran had converted no more than 30 kilograms of near 20 percent LEU, or 45 kilograms of near 20 percent LEU hexafluoride, into fuel assemblies for the TRR. This represents approximately 12 percent of Iran's total stock of 19.75 percent enriched uranium, or only about 25 percent of the amount of LEU Iran has sent to Esfahan for conversion. Salehi's statement refers to the entire amount of uranium sent to its conversion facility, not the amount of uranium converted to TRR fuel. Unless the near 20 percent LEU oxide is converted to fuel assemblies and irradiated, it can easily be reconverted to uranium hexafluoride suitable for further enrichment. Even if Iran began rapidly producing fuel assemblies for the TRR, due to the small size of the research reactor, Iran cannot realistically irradiate this fuel. As such, this action cannot be seen as a significant confidence building measure. Even so, Iran should be commended for taking measures to convert its uranium to uranium oxide at the Esfahan facility. Iran has been careful to convert sufficient 19.75 percent uranium hexafluoride to keep its total stockpile of this material under one weapon's worth of material. As Iran's stockpile of this material increases, even in uranium oxide form, it decreases the amount of time required for Iran to further enrich it to weapons-grade uranium (WGU). Although conversion of uranium hexafluoride into uranium oxide and fabrication into fuel elements does limit Iran's ability to quickly use this material in a breakout scenario, the only iron-clad way to prevent further enrichment is for an outside country to hold this material in escrow prior to irradiation. Capping the number and type of Iran's centrifuges remains an even more important variable when considering its capability to produce WGU. As Iran continues to install both IR-1 and IR-2m centrifuges, the international community should not be placated by an Iranian effort to only decrease its 19.75 percent enriched uranium stockpile. Capping Iran's total enrichment capacity must remain a high priority in any negotiations or confidence building measures." http://t.uani.com/18XC039  



Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email Press@UnitedAgainstNuclearIran.com

United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) is a non-partisan, broad-based coalition that is united in a commitment to prevent Iran from fulfilling its ambition to become a regional super-power possessing nuclear weapons.  UANI is an issue-based coalition in which each coalition member will have its own interests as well as the collective goal of advancing an Iran free of nuclear weapons.

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