Thursday, April 14, 2016

Eye on Iran: Should Italy Really Be Getting So Cosy with Iran?







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The Local (Italy): "Italian Prime Minister Matteo Renzi on Tuesday became the highest-ranking European leader to visit Iran since its nuclear deal with world powers, leaving some questioning his decision to take the lead... But as the two leaders met again on Tuesday, a host of Italian dignitaries, including former foreign minister Giulio Terzi, came together to warn Italy about doing business with the Iranian regime. In particular, they warned big companies such as Eni, Fiat and Finmeccanica, that the lucrative trade deals risked damaging their reputation.  'An environment of risk and uncertainty looms large for the shareholders and executives of Italian companies considering doing business in Iran,' they said in a joint statement issued by United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI), an organizing aimed at preventing Iran from having nuclear weapons. 'Their big bet could turn into a disastrous gamble given the enormous financial, legal, and reputational risks they would face in re-entering the Iranian market.' They also said Renzi must 'appreciate that both the American and Italian people share a deep suspicion of the Iranian regime, particularly given the heightened intensity of its threatening conduct', and that the Italian leader should instead focus his efforts on 'pressuring Tehran to halt its destabilizing and provocative activities, rather than prematurely rewarding the regime with lucrative business opportunities.'" http://t.uani.com/20Eh3FS

Bloomberg: "A top Treasury Department official argued against imposing new legislative sanctions on Iran after its ballistic missile tests last month, even as he said the Islamic Republic would remain blocked from the U.S. financial system. 'New mandatory non-nuclear sanctions legislation would needlessly risk undermining our unity with international partners,' Adam Szubin, Treasury's acting undersecretary for terrorism and financial intelligence, said at a conference Wednesday in Washington. 'It is important to make sure our sanctions tools remain effective and are not overused.' Republicans in Congress are still simmering over the nuclear accord with Iran that was completed last July and have criticized President Barack Obama for failing to punish the country for repeatedly defying a United Nations ballistic missile test ban. Republican Senators Marco Rubio of Florida and Mark Kirk of Illinois have introduced legislation to bar Iran from access to the U.S. financial system, including offshore U.S. dollar-clearing houses. The U.S. already has the ability to impose new sanctions on individuals and entities for ballistic missile violations, Szubin said, citing restrictions placed on 11 people after the nuclear accord was reached last year... While U.S. critics of the nuclear agreement said it would provide Iran with a windfall, the country's leaders, including Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, have complained that the benefits of sanctions relief remain elusive. European banks have been reluctant to establish lines of credit or finance investment in Iran due to concerns about the lack of transparency in the Iranian financial system and a fear of renewed U.S. sanctions. Szubin said Treasury had seen 'indications that some non-U.S. banks lack an understanding about the scope of U.S. sanctions with regard to Iranian funds that were formerly restrained.' ... 'We are in no way blocking Iran's access to these funds,' Szubin said at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies conference. 'We are not encouraging banks or other partners to do so.' However, the U.S. won't provide Iran access to the U.S. financial system, Szubin said, and there will be no restoration of the 'U-turn'' authorization, ­where transactions priced in U.S. dollars are cleared through a U.S. financial institution even though the money doesn't stay in the U.S. bank." http://t.uani.com/1Xxo5u9

WSJ: "Foreign auto companies seeking business in Iran will have to contend with U.S. export-controls rules that target the global supply chain, as well as an energized regulator on the beat, experts say. The Iranian auto industry is one of the many economic sectors Tehran hopes to revive in the wake of the implementation of the nuclear agreement it struck with global powers. The country's automotive sector, once one of the nation's top economic engines, had collapsed in the wake of U.S. sanctions. Although foreign auto companies weren't prohibited by international sanctions from doing business with Iran, U.S. secondary sanctions, which target foreign entities for conduct illegal under U.S. law, pushed some companies out of the country. Foreign auto companies seeking to do business there in the wake of the nuclear deal, though, will confront the combined forces of U.S. sanctions and export-control compliance, and the dance can be complicated, experts say. The nuclear agreement suspended the secondary sanctions on foreign firms on the sale or supply of goods and services to the Iranian auto sector. But it also maintained existing restrictions from the U.S. that bar both American and foreign automakers from exporting, or re-exporting, U.S.-origin vehicles or parts to Iran, according to an FAQ document posted in January on the U.S. Department of Treasury's website. Sourcing parts throughout the supply chain will be key for auto companies to comply with the terms of the agreement, experts said. 'Absent a license, nothing made here [in the U.S.] can make it there [to Iran],' said Zachary Brez, a New York-based partner at the law firm Ropes & Gray LLP... 'The largest challenge they're going to have is to what extent you can build a car these days without U.S. parts,' said Mr. Burns. 'That's going to be tough,' he said... It's 'quite impractical' to entirely avoid U.S.-origin parts, said Douglas Jacobson, an international trade expert at the firm Jacobson Burton Kelley PLLC, because of the interconnected supply chains that go into creating those parts in the first place." http://t.uani.com/1p0MFb5

U.S.-Iran Relations

AP: "Stop us if you've heard this one. Three guys walk into ... the Iranian Interests Section in Washington. They're Republican congressmen and they did actually march into the office that represents Tehran's only official government presence in Washington to apply in person for visas to travel to Iran. That was more than two months ago and they still don't have an answer. So they fired off a letter to Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif asking him what gives. 'If you reject our visa applications, please provide an explanation,' wrote GOP Reps. Mike Pompeo of Kansas, Lee Zeldin of New York and Frank LoBiondo of New Jersey in the letter to Zarif released Wednesday. All three lawmakers opposed the landmark international nuclear deal with Iran. The congressmen have outlined what amounts to a Republican fantasy trip, which may account for what they called the 'ridicule and delay' their request has generated inside Iran. They want to visit American hostages held by the Iranians and get briefings on the detention in January of 10 American sailors who strayed into Iranian territorial waters. They're also pushing for trips to three Iranian nuclear sites and to get information about Iran's recent ballistic missile tests that many Republicans contend violate a U.N. resolution." http://t.uani.com/2635DiO

Free Beacon: "Treasury Department officials are moving to reassure Congress that Iran will not be granted access to U.S. financial markets following comments by top Obama administration officials suggesting such a plan was under consideration, according to correspondence obtained by the Washington Free Beacon and conversations with congressional sources. The administration had promised Congress that Iran would not be granted access U.S. financial markets as a result of the recently implemented nuclear agreement. However, top officials from the State Department had recently discussed the possibility of granting Iran unprecedented access to U.S. dollars when conducting foreign transactions. The statements triggered a backlash from lawmakers in both parties, necessitating what some described as a cleanup campaign by top Treasury officials. The interagency tension is coming to light as Obama administration officials have sparred over a recent decision to avoid classifying Iranian ballistic missile tests as a violation of the United Nations resolution governing the nuclear deal, which the Free Beacon reported on Tuesday. Asked by senior congressional officials last week to explain the discrepancy in the administration's statements over the dollar issue, the Treasury Department vowed that Iran would not be granted access to the dollar, according to a copy of the exchange obtained by the Free Beacon. 'We aren't planning on allowing access to the U.S. financial system or making sure that Iran gets U.S. dollars,' the Treasury Department wrote. 'We aren't planning on issuing the general licenses [to foreign banks] that have been described' in media reports. However, officials will instruct foreign banks on how to release billions of dollars in frozen assets to Iran that have been freed up as a result of the nuclear agreement." http://t.uani.com/1NpQmxa

Business Risk

Al-Monitor: "Iranian officials and media have hailed the trip of Italian Prime Minister Matteo Renzi to Iran as a new era in economic and diplomatic cooperation between Iran and Europe. However, despite the positive reception and billions in economic agreements signed, there are still people in the country who feel visits by European leaders have failed to produce tangible benefits... Media close to the administration also covered the trip between Renzi and Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei favorably. The headline in Iran Newspaper focused on Khamenei's positive assessment of Iran-Italy ties. What the headline omitted and what media critical of Rouhani's outreach to the West did cover in their headlines was Khamenei's criticism that the trips by European leaders have so far had no tangible benefits. 'Some European countries and companies are traveling to Iran and negotiating [business deals], but the outcome of these negotiations until now cannot be sensed,' Khamenei told Renzi. He added, 'Some people put the blame of this issue on the shoulders of the Americans.' Khamenei's reference was to the remaining US sanctions preventing Iran from conducting business in US dollars; this has caused many European businesses to hesitate about doing business with Iran. There is still confusion in Iran about these sanctions. On April 13, four Iranian parliamentarians asked Valiollah Seif, the head of Iran's Central Bank, to clarify precisely which banking sanctions have been removed.  Khamenei's comments, and the focus that a number of conservative and hard-line media such as Kayhan and Vatan-e Emrooz placed on them, show that despite the victorious tone of Reformist media, the Rouhani administration is still facing serious economic challenges domestically." http://t.uani.com/1YvgQTR

Sanctions Relief

Reuters: "Italy on Wednesday became the first European country to take steps to help its fashion industry build a stronger presence in Iran following the lifting of Western sanctions. The two countries signed an agreement during a two-day visit by Italian Prime Minister Matteo Renzi with a delegation of business leaders to increase trade between Italy and Iran and reinforce industrial cooperation. The deal was signed by the National Textiles and Fashion Association Sistema Moda Italia (SMI), which represents a sector worth more than 52 billion euros ($59 billion) in revenues, and its Iranian counterpart the Tehran Garment Union (TGU). It aims to cut red tape and make it easier for Italian companies to obtain the TGU licence required to operate in Iran. Some analysts estimate the oil-rich Islamic Republic of nearly 80 million people has more than 3 million high net worth individuals who are major and regular buyers of luxury goods. 'Iran could be an interesting expansion market, probably worth about 2 per cent of the global luxury market, once developed,' Exane BNP Paribas analyst Luca Solca said... Setting up businesses in Iran is also no easy task, executives and consultants say, due to a lack of appropriate retail infrastructure, high tariffs and banking restrictions. A lack of enforcement of international trademark protection agreements also means Iran is flooded with counterfeits. Italian firms appear to have adopted a more proactive attitude than their French luxury and fashion rivals. In February, Florence-based fashion house Roberto Cavalli opened its first shop in Iran, in the footsteps of leather goods maker Piquadro and men's shirt company Camicissima. Versace is due to open a flagship boutique in Tehran soon, in franchise with a local commercial partner. Several French groups, however, including Chanel, Gucci owner Kering and LVMH's, have been adopting a 'wait and see' attitude until the evolution of Iran's international relations became clearer. Some French brands such as the family-controlled handbag maker Longchamp and crystal maker Lalique, are looking for distribution partners but have no plans to open boutiques. 'For us Iran is a new region to conquer,' said Lalique Chief Executive and controlling shareholder Silvio Denz, who has been opening new markets for the brand's crystal jewellery and home wear items over the past decade.    One of the first big French companies to invest directly in Iran is LVMH's cosmetics retailer Sephora. It is in talks to open two to three shops in Teheran by the autumn, in partnership with an Iranian partner and the Middle Eastern luxury goods distributor Chalhoub, a source close to LVMH told Reuters." http://t.uani.com/1Scn5ub

Saudi-Iran Tensions

Mehr (Iran): "Iran's Mohammad Javad Zarif has attend the Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) ministerial meeting in Istanbul, warns Saudi Arabia on possible agenda against Iran and Lebanese Hezbollah. The OIC expert meeting kicked off on Sunday and Zarif joined the meeting on Tuesday where he recommended Saudi officials to learn lessons from the past doomed fate of Baathist foreign minister of Iraq, Tariq Aziz. Zarif was reacting to an initiative by Saudi Arabia in 4 articles against Iran and Lebanese Hezbollah in single article in preparing the draft of the OIC final statement which had support of its allies in the Persian Gulf. Zarif criticized the initiative as violating the spirit of the Islamic solidarity and unity and as a project which would serve Zionist interests in the region. 'Time has passed when Iran was indifferent to Saddam Hussein's anti-Iranian resolutions in the Organization which also had won the favor of Persian Gulf countries; Saudi officials should learn lessons from the history and avoid going in the same path which was doomed; condemning Hezbollah would only serve Zionist regime,' he emphasized." http://t.uani.com/1p0PSak

Human Rights

UN: "UN High Commissioner for Human Rights Zeid Ra'ad Al Hussein on Thursday appealed to Iran to halt executions for drug offences until Parliament debates a new law that would remove the mandatory death penalty for drug crimes. Five men were hanged last weekend, three of them on charges of narcotics trafficking. The other two men were convicted of murder. In at least one of the cases, that of Rashid Kouhi, there were serious concerns about the fairness of the trial and the denial of his right to appeal. Kouhi was sentenced to death in 2012 after he was found in possession of 800 grams of crystal meth. He was executed on Saturday, 9 April in Gilan province in northern Iran. Last year, at least 966 people were executed in Iran - the highest rate in more than two decades - the majority for drug offences. At least four of those executed in 2015 were juveniles. However, in December last year, 70 Members of Parliament presented a bill to amend the existing mandatory death penalty for drug offences. The bill, which was introduced in Parliament in January this year, provides for life imprisonment in such cases. It remains to be seen whether it will be taken forward in the new Parliament. 'There have been encouraging signs from within Iran towards reform of the law, from the judiciary, the executive and the legislature and I hope the new parliament will adopt these changes. But it is unfortunate that executions for drug-related offences - crimes that clearly do not meet the threshold under international human rights law for application of the death penalty - continue to be carried out in the meantime,' High Commissioner Zeid said." http://t.uani.com/2636MqD

Times of Israel: "An Iranian pilot who defected to Turkey last year is threatening to seek asylum in Israel and work openly to undermine the regime in Iran if it does not cease what he says are its intimidation tactics against the wife and son he left behind. Major Ahmad-Reza Khosravi, 39, a pilot in the helicopter unit of the Iranian Security Services, fled Iran to Turkey in March 2015 after he was refused repeated requests to be discharged from the military, requests he made due to ideological differences with the regime. Recently the subject of an apparent kidnap plan to bring him back to Iran, Khosravi has now gone public with his criticism of the Iranian leadership. In a face-to-face interview with The Times of Israel in the Turkish city of Van where he is now residing, Khosravi said if the regime does not stop threatening his wife and son, who are still in Iran, he will seek to harm the regime in any way he can. 'If you do not leave me alone and stop harassing my family, I will seek asylum in Israel and start fighting you, even with arms,' Khosravi said, in a message to Iran's leaders that he delivered in the interview with the Times of Israel's Persian edition." http://t.uani.com/23HIVL5

Runner's World: "On April 9, Iran's Naqsh-e Rustam, an approximately 3,000-year-old necropolis, received a rare jolt of animation. Under a large, inflatable starting arch and to the tune of loud Iranian pop music, 158 male runners from around the world set forth on I run Iran, the country's first marathon. But two hours before the starting gun, two women-Masoumeh Torabi, 42, of Tehran, and a woman identified as Elham on the race site-started their own race in protest of a rule that disallowed females to participate in the inaugural event. In 2015, after race organizer Sebastian Straten got official approval, local authorities announced that women would not be allowed to run." http://t.uani.com/1qUDR8j

Opinion & Analysis

Dominic Dudley in Forbes: "Most of the sanctions on Iran were lifted earlier this year, but the expected rush of international investment  has yet to follow. Instead, things have been going frustratingly slowly when it comes to deals being signed. Trade delegations from Europe and Asia have been filling hotel rooms in Tehran, keen to find out more about a country of 80 million consumers and a well-diversified economy that is the 18th largest in the world. But not too many of these missions have led to contracts being signed or investments being made. There are a few good reasons for the impasse, both inside Iran and outside the country. Here are the biggest problems holding things back." http://t.uani.com/1NpMSLb

Farzin Nadimi in WINEP: "Following a string of unverified reports and social media photographs suggesting that members of the Iranian national army (or Artesh) had been deployed to Syria, their presence was confirmed this week via new casualty announcements and official remarks. As suspected, army personnel have been involved in fighting around the same areas where the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) previously established a presence, namely Damascus and Aleppo. On April 10, reports emerged that a sergeant from the 65th 'Nohed' Special Airborne Brigade had been killed in Syria. The next day, Iranian media reported that Col. Mojtaba Zolfaghari-Nasab, head of intelligence for the 45th Special Forces Brigade, had been killed in action as well, along with an officer from the 2nd Brigade, 58th Special Forces Division (a rapid response unit), an officer from the 3rd Mechanized Infantry Brigade, 88th Armored Division, and at least one other officer. They were reportedly killed in firefights with the al-Qaeda-affiliated rebel group Jabhat al-Nusra in the Hani Touman and Zitan districts southwest of Aleppo; in addition, several army personnel were wounded. Also on Monday, army commander Gen. Ahmad-Reza Pourdastan officially confirmed for the first time that members of the elite 65th Airborne Brigade and other branches of the national armed forces have been fulfilling 'advisory' and intelligence-collection roles in Syria. The 65th Brigade was formed in 1959 as the 23rd Special Forces Brigade, complete with an irregular warfare school; American Special Forces advisors helped with its establishment. The brigade was reorganized and renamed in 1991 and now maintains an elite unit specializing in counterterrorism and hostage rescue operations... One possible explanation for Tehran's decision to employ Artesh elements in Syria could be to improve public opinion on what has become an unpopular and relatively costly foreign adventure. The Revolutionary Guards play a primary role in fighting the Iranian regime's domestic and foreign enemies, and they proved in 2009 that they can be ruthless in quelling civil unrest. Partly as a result of this reputation, the IRGC's insistence on supporting militant groups in Syria and elsewhere has failed to win the hearts and minds of mainstream Iranians, so regime leaders may be hoping that the presence and sacrifices of the popular national armed forces will attract more support among the people. This tactic could backfire, however, if Artesh casualties in Syria continue to mount." http://t.uani.com/23xMhUu
       

Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email Press@UnitedAgainstNuclearIran.com

United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) is a non-partisan, broad-based coalition that is united in a commitment to prevent Iran from fulfilling its ambition to become a regional super-power possessing nuclear weapons.  UANI is an issue-based coalition in which each coalition member will have its own interests as well as the collective goal of advancing an Iran free of nuclear weapons.

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