Top Stories
AFP:
"Iran is busy acquiring the technical know-how to launch a
potentially crippling cyber-attack on the United States and its allies,
experts told a congressional hearing on Thursday, urging the US to step
up its defensive measures. 'Over the past three years, the Iranian regime
has invested heavily in both defensive and offensive capabilities in
cyberspace,' said Ilan Berman, vice president of the American Foreign
Policy Council. 'Equally significant, its leaders now increasingly appear
to view cyber-warfare as a potential avenue of action against the United
States,' he told a House Homeland Security subcommittee. Patrick Meehan,
Republican chairman of the committee, also sounded an alarm over the
cyber-security threat posed by Iran to western nations. 'As Iran's
illicit nuclear program continues to inflame tensions between Tehran and
the West, I am struck by the emergence of another possible avenue of
attack emanating from Iran -- the possibility that Iran could conduct a
cyber attack against the US homeland,' he said." http://t.uani.com/Jr5Lip
WSJ:
"The Obama administration is intensifying its scrutiny of Lebanon's
financial system, concerned that Syria, Iran and the militant group
Hezbollah are using Beirut's banks to evade international sanctions and
fund their activities. Despite action by Beirut and Washington over the
past 14 months to close banks and sanction individuals, the Treasury
Department and Drug Enforcement Administration are continuing an
aggressive probe into an alleged Hezbollah-linked money-laundering
operation, U.S. officials said. They allege the operation involves
hundreds of millions of dollars in drug-sales revenues from a Lebanese
narco-trafficker that they say have gone to the Lebanese militia and
political group. The Treasury Department also is pressing Lebanese
financial regulators to more closely monitor local banks that have
operations in Damascus and Tehran, senior U.S. officials said." http://t.uani.com/Ivh06h
NYT:
"One day after Israeli newspapers reported that the nation's top
general had said economic and diplomatic pressures against Iran were
beginning to succeed, his superior, Defense Minister Ehud Barak, said
Thursday that the chances 'appear low' that the Iranian government would
bow to international pressure and halt its nuclear program. The remarks
by Israel's top defense officials added to uncertainty over the unity of
the nation's leadership in its approach to Iran's nuclear program, which
Israel fears is aimed at producing weapons. While Israeli officials
insisted Thursday that there was no disagreement, the comments by Lt.
Gen. Benny Gantz to Israeli journalists did not appear to line up
completely either with the tone of the prime minister, Benjamin
Netanyahu, or the assessment of Mr. Barak." http://t.uani.com/IgJPa2
Nuclear
Program & Sanctions
AP: "Iran's official news agency says
Iran might ratify the additional protocol of the nuclear
Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT). The IRNA report Thursday quoted Iran's
ambassador to Moscow, Reza Sajjadi. He said it could be part of a Russian
framework under which Iran would stop expansion of its nuclear program if
the West halts further sanctions. Sajjadi, who has no direct role in
Iran's nuclear program, did not elaborate. The additional protocol allows
U.N. inspectors to make snap visits to nuclear sites." http://t.uani.com/IdMlMq
Reuters:
"The Obama administration is unlikely to pull back from levying
sanctions against Iran oil transactions based on a government report due
on Friday, which is expected to show crude markets are sufficiently
well-supplied to move forward with the penalties. The report, which the
U.S. Energy Information Administration is required to produce every two
months under the sanctions law aimed at curbing Tehran's nuclear
ambitions, could walk a fine line in assessing the state of markets,
according to analysts. Oil markets have relaxed significantly since
earlier this year, when prices reached post-2008 records as European and
Asian oil customers cut imports from Iran... However, some analysts
expect the report, which should be released at midday on Friday, to
maintain a neutral tone, leaving President Barack Obama sufficient room
to authorize a release of emergency oil stockpiles to help cool off
gasoline prices, which have become a key issue in the presidential
race." http://t.uani.com/I9XEmN
Reuters:
"An Iranian oil official denied major buyer China had cut imports of
crude from the country in 2012, the semi-official Mehr news agency
reported on Friday, after Chinese data showed they were a third lower in
the first quarter than a year earlier. The customs data this week showed
China - until recently Iran's top customer - halved its Iranian crude
imports in March compared with the same month in 2011. Industry sources
have said the reported fall, adding to Tehran's problems as it faces Western
sanctions over its nuclear development programme, was due to disputes
over contract terms. 'Iranian crude exports to Chinese refineries have
not decreased at all in the current year,' the head of international
affairs at the National Iranian Oil Company (NIOC), Mohsen Ghamsari, told
Mehr. 'On average we are exporting about 500,000 barrels of crude to
China per day,' he added." http://t.uani.com/IxaECu
Human Rights
AFP:
"Iran has ordered Ebrahim Yazdi, the elderly head of a banned
opposition party and former foreign minister, to serve an eight-year jail
term, a rights group said Friday, warning it could amount to a death
sentence. The 80-year-old activist, who was prominent in Iran's 1979
Islamic revolution, has been ordered to surrender, the New York-based
Human Rights Watch (HRW) said in a statement. 'On April 16, 2012, Evin
prison authorities informed Yazdi through his bail bondsman that he had
20 days to surrender to serve the sentence, imposed on December 11, 2011
by a revolutionary court in Tehran on national security charges,' HRW
said. 'An eight-year prison term may easily amount to a sentence to die
in prison, given Yazdi's age and health,' said Sarah Leah Whitson, HRW's
Middle East director." http://t.uani.com/IdxDYR
Foreign Affairs
Pune Mirror:
"The Special Branch of the city police deported 40-year-old Iranian
national Hamid Kashkouli, who was pursuing his PhD programme, from the
University of Pune (UoP) last month. He was found spying on city-based
Israeli nationals and Israeli centres such as Chabad House in Koregaon
Park, and the Rasta Peth Synagogue. It was also learnt that Kashkouli was
on the payrolls of the Iranian intelligence. Kashkouli was produced
before a city court by the police with the evidence of his illegal
activities during his stay here following which an order of deportation
was passed against him." http://t.uani.com/Jw5GYg
Opinion &
Analysis
Seth G. Jones in
FP: "Never say never. Some scholars and former
policymakers dismiss the possibility of al Qaeda-Iranian cooperation. 'I
think [there] is a war-fevered hysteria that is going on now,' protests
Hillary Mann Leverett, a National Security Council aide during the
Clinton and Bush administrations. 'A lot of this stuff is really flimsy.'
On the surface, she seems right. Not only is Iran a fundamentalist Shiite
regime while al Qaeda is violently Sunni, but the two groups also have
different long-term goals and have occasionally clashed. Yet on the
geopolitical chessboard, they share a common enemy: the United States.
Iran has held several al Qaeda senior leaders since they were driven from
Afghanistan in late 2001. Some have raised funds for the terrorist
organization by leveraging wealthy Persian Gulf donors, while others have
provided strategic and operational assistance to al Qaeda Central. Of
particular importance are members of al Qaeda's former management
council, which bin Laden established as a backup command-and-control node
in Iran. They include Saif al-Adel, Sulaiman Abu Ghaith, Abu al-Khayr
al-Masri, Abu Muhammad al-Masri, and Abu Hafs al-Mauritani -- all of whom
apparently remain in Iran under various forms of house arrest, according
to my interviews with government officials from Britain, Jordan, Saudi
Arabia, and the United States. The details of al Qaeda's relationship
with the Iranian government are hazy. Many of the operatives under house
arrest have petitioned for release. In 2009 and 2010, Iran began to free
some detainees and their family members, including members of bin Laden's
family, while the management council remains in Iran under limited house
arrest. Members are allowed to communicate with al Qaeda Central,
fundraise, and help funnel foreign fighters through Iran, according to
several senior U.S. government officials. Iran is likely holding al Qaeda
leaders on its territory first as an act of defense. So long as Tehran
has several leaders under its control, the terrorist group is unlikely to
attack Iran. The strategy, however, might also have an offensive
component if the United States or Israel were to target Iran's nuclear
facilities. Tehran has long used proxies to pursue its foreign-policy
interests, especially Hezbollah in Lebanon. And several of al Qaeda's
leaders in Iran, such as Adel, the group's onetime security chief, have
extensive operational experience that would be valuable in such a
situation. Al Qaeda is likely making similar calculations about working
with Iran. To be sure, some al Qaeda leaders revile the ayatollahs. In a
2004 letter, Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, the late al Qaeda chief in Iraq,
called Shiites 'the insurmountable obstacle, the lurking snake, the
crafty and malicious scorpion.' In a sign of Churchillesque pragmatism,
though, Zawahiri publicly chastised Zarqawi, writing that the Shiites
were not the primary enemy -- at least not for the moment. It was
crucial, he explained, to understand that success hinged on support from
the Muslim masses in Iraq. 'In the absence of this popular support,'
argued Zawahiri, 'the Islamic mujahid movement would be crushed in the
shadows.' For al Qaeda, Iran is a refuge. The United States has targeted
al Qaeda in Iraq, Pakistan, Yemen, and other countries, but it has
limited operational reach inside the Islamic Republic. What's more, Iran
borders the Persian Gulf, Iraq, Turkey, Afghanistan, and Pakistan, making
it centrally located for most al Qaeda affiliates. With the management
council under limited house arrest, Iran and al Qaeda's relationship
remains at arm's length. But that could change if Washington and Tehran
finally come to blows. Should the United States or Israel decide to
attack Iranian nuclear facilities or tensions otherwise escalate, Iran
and al Qaeda could find that they share a common interest in bloodying
America's nose." http://t.uani.com/JM452G
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