In this mailing:
Recipe
for War: Unilateral Withdrawal from West Bank
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friends to like this.
As before,
Hamas's chances of taking over the West Bank are high after the failure of
Abbas's ruling Fatah faction to implement significant reforms or combat rampant
corruption.
Israel's Defense Minister Ehud Barak believes
that Israel should consider a unilateral withdrawal from the West Bank if
negotiations with the Palestinian Authority fail to bear fruit.
Under the current circumstances, such a move
would lead to the creation of another radical Palestinian Islamic entity, this
time in those parts of the West Bank that would be handed over to Mahmoud Abbas
and Salam Fayyad.
Any land that is handed over to the Palestinian
Authority would end up in the hands of Hamas.
In the summer of 2005, Israel pulled out of the
Gaza Strip, passing it to Abbas and his 40,000-strong Fatah-dominated security
forces.
A few months later, thanks to a free and fair
parliamentary election that was held at the request of the US and some EU
countries, Hamas came to power.
One of the main reasons Hamas scored a victory
in that election was because it took credit for driving Israel out of the Gaza
Strip through rockets and suicide bombings.
A year later, in the summer of 2007, it took
fewer than 10,000 Hamas militiamen to defeat Abbas's security forces and bring
down the entire Palestinian Authority regime in the Gaza Strip.
Hamas's rule over the Gaza Strip has since
brought more suffering and bloodshed for both Israelis and Palestinians.
Once Israel carries out a unilateral
withdrawal, the same scenario is likely to be repeated in the West Bank.
Even though Hamas does not have a strong
military presence in the West Bank, the movement seems to enjoy much popularity
among Palestinians.
The so-called Arab Spring, which has seen the
rise of Islamists to power in a number of Arab countries, has emboldened Hamas
and other radical Palestinian groups, such as Islamic Jihad.
These groups have managed to attract many
followers by offering themselves as the best alternative to Western-backed
corrupt secular dictatorships in the Arab world.
As before, Hamas's chances of taking over the
West Bank are high after the failure of Abbas's ruling Fatah faction to
implement significant reforms or combat rampant corruption.
Fatah lost the 2006 parliamentary election
mainly because of its leaders' involvement in the embezzlement of public funds.
Since then, Fatah has failed to draw the conclusions from its defeat and has
not even been able to come up with a new list of capable candidates that could
attract Palestinian voters.
The same Fatah men who lost the vote are, in
fact, continuing to run the show in Ramallah -- as if they had never lost.
Even if the Islamists do not take over the West
Bank in the aftermath of a unilateral Israeli pullout, it is almost certain
that the Palestinian Authority would not be able to prevent local gangs and
clans from seizing power.
The case of Jenin, a city in the West Bank, is
a good example of the weakness of the Palestinian Authority security forces,
especially with regard to imposing law and order: Palestinian Authority
officials have admitted that Jenin has been controlled over the past two years
by Fatah militiamen and thugs who worked closely with many top Palestinian
security officers, imposing a reign of terror and intimidation on the city's
residents.
A unilateral withdrawal from the West Bank
could mean that Palestinian cities like Ramallah, Nablus, Jenin, Bethlehem and
Hebron would fall either into the hands of Hamas or armed Fatah gangs.
Abbas and Fayyad would not be able to do much
to prevent a return to scenes of anarchy and lawlessness that were once
prevalent on the Palestinian street.
The chaos and violence inside the Palestinian
cities would also spill over into Israel, forcing it to launch another
"Defensive Shield" type of operation, like the one in 2002, to clear
the area of armed gangs.
Before withdrawing from any area, Israel needs
to make sure that those who would be in charge would not run away, handing the
territories to Hamas or any other local gangs. Under the current circumstances,
a unilateral and unconditional withdrawal would only be a recipe for more
violence and bloodshed and repression.
Egyptian
"Honor": Brothers Butcher Mother, Sister, and Aunt
Be the first of your
friends to like this.
A day
before, a Muslim man in Germany beheaded his wife in front of his six children
– while screaming "Allahu Akbar!" or, "Allah is Greater!" –
" throwing her dismembered head from the roof of their apartment."
According to yesterday's edition of
Youm7,
two brothers in a village in Assuit, Egypt, slaughtered their mother, sister,
and aunt, "after discovering their sister's actions were contrary to
morality."
After chaos erupted in the house, including
gunfire, local police surrounded and broke into the home, only to find the
aunt, Saida Muhammad Mukhtar, 55-years-old and a housewife, "with her head
sliced off"; the mother, Amina Ahmed Muhammad, also 55 and a housewife,
found "drowned in blood by the entrance of the house"; and the
sister, Sana Mukhtar, 39-years-old and a widow, found butchered in a room.
The two brothers—Ahmed Mukhtar, 35, and Abd
al-Basit, 24—were subsequently arrested, and confessed to the murders in
detail.
Such slayings are not rare occurrences in the
Islamic world, and even in the West—wherever there are Muslims. A day before
this story emerged, a Muslim man in Germany
beheaded
his wife in front of their six children—while screaming "
Allahu
Akbar!" or "Allah is greater!"—"throwing her
dismembered head from the roof of their apartment."
Raymond
Ibrahim is a Shillman Fellow at the David Horowitz Freedom Center and
an Associate Fellow at the Middle East Forum.
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