Top Stories
FT:
"It is a saga that illustrates the extraordinary risks MTN has taken
to profit from doing business with pariah states and poor countries with
limited infrastructure... MTN has also been a target of campaigns by
United Against Nuclear Iran, an anti-Iran lobby group in the US, which
comprises several high-profile figures including James Woolsey, former
director of the CIA, and Mark Wallace, former US ambassador to the UN, as
well as AccessNow, an advocacy group. 'Even more troubling are reports
that Iranian security officials are given open access to subscriber
details at MTN Irancell's Tehran headquarters which have been used to
acquire information on democracy activists,' the lobby group wrote in a
June 6 letter to Sifiso Dabengwa, MTN's chief executive. MTN denies the
allegations. But with 50 per cent of its shares held by foreign investors
- 18 per cent of them American - it is alert to the need to protect its
international reputation... There have been other financial
ramifications. The telecoms group has been unable to repatriate dividends
from Syria because the legislation to transfer the funds does not exist
in that country. MTN still needs to repatriate a €300m loan from
Irancell. Western sanctions have prevented MTN from repatriating funds
from Iran and have eaten into delivery supplies, slowing some projects.
Even though MTN has numerous hedging instruments in place, the collapse
in the currencies of the two countries has had a serious impact on the
group's 2012 results. Earnings per share for the full year rose just 1.9
per cent to 1,089 cents, partly weighed down by currency depreciations in
Iran and Syria." http://t.uani.com/15eauyK
WSJ:
"Growing North American oil supplies promise to bolster U.S. energy
security, but they already are helping deliver a more global benefit:
stable oil prices... Exhibit A: Washington's success last year in pushing
through tough new economic sanctions against Iran to blunt its nuclear
ambitions. U.S. and European Union sanctions reduced Iran's oil exports
by about a million barrels a day last year, according to the EIA. The
drop had little lasting impact on prices-an outcome that would have been
practically unthinkable a few years ago, said John Hannah,
national-security adviser to Vice President Dick Cheney in the second
George W. Bush term." http://t.uani.com/13loKYF
JPost:
"Iran's presidential election has done 'nothing to suggest a
reversal of Iran's pursuit of nuclear weapons capacity,' members of the
US House of Representatives wrote in a letter to the White House last
week, calling on President Barack Obama to continue implementing a strict
sanctions regimen on the Islamic Republic over its disputed nuclear
program. The letter was sent three days before a new round of sanctions
went into effect on July 1, targeting Iran's international trade partners
in shipping, automotives and precious metals, as well as the handling of
Iran's currency, the rial. The bipartisan group of 43 congressmen,
including the Republican chairman of the House Foreign Affairs Committee
and its Democratic ranking member, called the election of Hassan Rouhani
unfair and unfree by international standards- and likely a ruse by Iran
to buy time for progress on its nuclear program." http://t.uani.com/1b7palT
Sanctions
AFP: "Georgia on Tuesday said it had
revoked visa-free entry for Iranians amid concerns that Tehran might be
using its booming business ties with the small ex-Soviet state to skirt
international sanctions. 'Georgia has unilaterally revoked visa-free travel
regime with Iran,' Irakli Vekua, Georgia's foreign ministry spokesman,
told AFP. 'As of July 1, Iranian citizens have to obtain a visa to enter
the Georgian territory,' he said, declining to provide further
information on the decision. Georgia and Iran agreed visa-free travel for
short visits in 2010, in a move that saw the number of Iranians flocking
to Georgia grow fourfold and trade flourish." http://t.uani.com/12lDRuP
The National:
"New economic sanctions imposed on Iran by the US will have a major
impact on UAE businesses, experts say. The rules, which came into effect
on Monday, are wide-reaching and mainly target non-US companies. Anyone
who breaks the sanctions risks severe penalties. The measures most likely
to affect the UAE are restrictions on banking transactions in Iranian
rials and sales of gold to Iran. It is understood there is concern among
UAE authorities about the possible repercussions for exchange houses and
gold dealers." http://t.uani.com/1b7rSrx
Domestic Politics
Reuters:
"President-elect Hassan Rouhani called on Wednesday for the
government and powerful clergy to end interference in the private lives
of the Iranian people, free up Internet access and allow state media to
be more open about Iran's problems... During his election campaign,
Rouhani demanded a loosening of the 'security atmosphere' and on
Wednesday signaled what steps he wanted to see taken. Filtering of the
Internet in Iran, stepped up after social media was used to encourage and
coordinate large protests following the disputed 2009 presidential
election, had proved ineffective, Rouhani said, fittingly, on Twitter.
'Which important piece of news has filtering been able to black out in
recent years?' he asked. At the same time, he criticized state
broadcaster IRIB for ignoring issues inside Iran. The state has a
monopoly over terrestrial television in Iran and though satellite
receivers are banned and foreign news broadcasts are often blocked, many
Iranians tune in to U.S. and Europe-based channels beaming news and
entertainment into the Islamic Republic. 'When IRIB airs the birth of a
panda in China but nothing about unpaid workers protesting, it is obvious
that the people and youth will ignore it,' Rouhani tweeted." http://t.uani.com/19TpLpM
Guardian:
"Two weeks after his sensational victory Iran's president-elect,
Hassan Rouhani, has expressed relatively progressive views about civil
liberties, freedom of expression and the internet. Social networking
sites such as Facebook were, he said, a welcome phenomenon. In his most outspoken
interview in the Iranian media, Rouhani told Chelcheragh - a popular
youth magazine - that he is opposed to segregation of sexes in society,
would work to minimise censorship and believes internet filtering is
futile. 'In the age of digital revolution, one cannot live or govern in a
quarantine,' he said as he made clear he is opposed to the authorities'
harsh crackdown on Iranians owning satellite dishes, which millions have
installed on rooftops for access to foreign-based TV channels illegal in the
country." http://t.uani.com/18vudNo
AP:
"An opposition website says Iran's main opposition leader who has
been under house arrest since 2011 was briefly taken to hospital for
medical tests. It's reportedly the third time that Mir Hossein Mousavi
was taken to a heart hospital in the past two years. The report by
Kaleme.com says doctors recommended Mousavi remain in the Tehran hospital
where he was brought late on Tuesday but his guards refused to let him
stay." http://t.uani.com/17TjWve
Opinion &
Analysis
Shadi Sadr in
HuffPo: "More than 27 percent of Iran's eligible
voters did not participate in the Islamic Republic's 2013 Presidential
election, even after Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei had announced that those
who oppose the regime should still vote for the sake of their country.
From the outside looking in, one may conclude that non-voters in Iran
lacked political motivation, but just like how many people who voted for
current President Hassan Rouhani desire change in Iran, many non-voters
also desire change. The difference is that non-voters are not hopeful
that change is possible in Iran through the people's cooperation in an
electoral process that just allows candidates approved by the Guardian
Council to run (women, political opposition, religious minorities, and
atheists are disqualified). Iranians may have also not voted in order to
demonstrate their objection to the violent crackdown that followed the
2009 election. Breaking it down, 18 million eligible voters elected
Hassan Rouhani, 13 million did not vote, and only six million voted for
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf (presidential candidate who placed second in the
election). This means that non-voters made up the second largest group in
the election. Non-voters in Iran who desire for change are often labeled
'radicals' -- not only by the Islamic Republic, but also by a great
number of voters. They are often ostracized and stereotyped as war
mongers and/or Iranians belonging to the Diaspora. In the Iran context
the term 'radical' has a stigma attached to it, yet it should still be
the duty of people who yearn for real change in Iran to help strengthen
the voices of and defend the non-voters. History has taught us that real
change is achieved through the work of radicals... It is time that
Iranians make efforts to remove the negative connotations associated with
the term 'radical' so we may collectively help strengthen human rights
advocacy in Iran. Radicals are often the ones who think outside the box
and offer a fresh perspective on how to achieve political and social
change. Iranians should listen to the words of those who resisted the
temptation to vote in Iran instead of opting to vote in an election that
requires one to accept a political structure defined by the Islamic
Republic." http://t.uani.com/11edFHp
Michael Rubin in
AEI: "Alfoneh's narrative is thick with detail which
he derives disproportionately from Persian-language sources including the
IRGC's own newspapers, internal publications, and websites never before
systematically tapped in the West. He supports his thesis that the IRGC
has led a slow creeping military coup d'état with extensive biographical
research into Iran's officialdom, tracking over time just how many
parliamentarians, governors, ministers and their deputies maintain direct
or familial links to IRGC. Alfoneh's focus on Khatam al-Anbia, the
economic wing of the IRGC, will be especially important for both
academics and policymakers as the IRGC's ability to generate its own
revenue in amounts far greater than its official budget effectively makes
the IRGC independent of political control. Having taken predominant
control over the oil industry, construction, and the manufacture of
automobiles and electronics, the IRGC might control upwards of 40 percent
of the Iranian economy; sources smuggling income which Alfoneh also
traces are just icing on the cake. Whereas Westerners might think of the
IRGC primarily a formidable military foe, Alfoneh shows how Iranian
technocrats and regime pragmatists understand the IRGC to be the chief
impediment to economic reform. Iranian politicians may promote
privatization as a key to jumpstart the Islamic Republic's moribund
economy, but the IRGC has used its banks and shell companies to
accumulate properties and state-owned industries at bargain basement prices.
And if the conservative Tehran bazaaris initially supported the Islamic
Revolution, they now find themselves on the defensive as the IRGC uses
its military muscle and political influence to undercut Tehran's
traditional traders. The IRGC's imprint on foreign policy and diplomacy
leads Alfoneh to be pessimistic about the future of Iran's relations with
the West. 'The Guards' domestic need for foreign enemies has also led
foreign policy behavior increasingly characterized by risk taking,'
Alfoneh writes, citing recent terror plots against Saudi interests,
Israeli diplomats in third countries, and Iranian support for
insurgencies in both Iraq and Afghanistan. Alfoneh also suggests that the
IRGC's strength makes nuclear diplomacy difficult, as the IRGC is the
institution that would likely have custody over any Iranian nuclear bomb
and therefore has the greatest interest in a nuclear weapons
capability." http://t.uani.com/162mGPW
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Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against
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