Tuesday, December 6, 2016

Eye on Iran: Sanctions Renewal Shows US Still 'Enemy': Iran's Rouhani


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Iran's President Hassan Rouhani said Tuesday that Congress's decision to renew US sanctions for 10 years would elicit a "harsh reaction" and proved the United States was still an enemy. "America... is our enemy, we have no doubt about this. The Americans want to put as much pressure on us as they can," Rouhani said in a speech to students at Tehran University. The Iran Sanctions Act passed the US Senate 99-0 last week, after easily clearing the House of Representatives in November... "If this is implemented... it would be a blatant and clear breach of the JCPOA (nuclear agreement) and would face a very harsh reaction from us," Rouhani said. The actual language in the agreement could be interpreted in different ways. It calls on the US to "cease the application of... all nuclear-related sanctions". It does not specify whether Washington can keep them in reserve for possible use in the future. At a press conference on Tuesday, conservative parliament speaker Ali Larijani said parts of the deal were "rushed". "Some of the sections of the JCPOA should have been written with more precision to stop differing interpretations," Larijani said. "I believe Iran should file a complaint in regard of the Americans' breach of the JCPOA," he added.

Iran's President Hassan Rouhani said on Tuesday he would not let U.S. President-elect Donald Trump rip up a global nuclear deal, warning of unspecified repercussions if Washington reneges on the agreement. Trump had said during campaigns for the White House that he would scrap Iran's pact with world powers - under which Tehran agreed to curb its nuclear program in return for lifted sanctions - describing it as "the worst deal ever negotiated". "[Trump] wants to do many things, but none of his actions would affect us," Rouhani said in a speech at University of Tehran broadcast live on state television. "Do you think the he can rip up the JCPOA (Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action nuclear deal)? Do you think we and our nation will let him do that?"

But officials who know General Mattis caution that he views a tough American posture overseas as something to deter war with potential foes like Iran, not to start one. And although he was so hawkish on Iran as head of United States Central Command from 2010 to 2013 that the Obama administration cut short his tour, General Mattis has since said that tearing up the Iran nuclear agreement, as Mr. Trump has vowed to do, would hurt the United States... Three years later, General Mattis's hard-line views on Iran have not softened as he points out the country's "malign influence," whether it is shipping weapons to rebels in Yemen or training Shiite militias bound for Syria or Iraq. "The Iranian regime, in my mind, is the single most enduring threat to stability and peace in the Middle East," General Mattis said in April at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, a Washington think tank. "Iran is not a nation-state; it's a revolutionary cause devoted to mayhem." Sunni allies in the Persian Gulf, who have criticized the Obama administration for improving relations with Shiite-majority Iran, cheered General Mattis's selection.

NUCLEAR & BALLISTIC MISSILE PROGRAM

Iran's top nuclear official says the head of the U.N. nuclear watchdog will visit Iran later this month. Ali Akbar Salehi told state TV on Tuesday that Yukiya Amano of the Vienna-based International Atomic Energy Agency has expressed interest in visiting Iran before the end of current year and that "we welcomed it." This will be Amano's second visit to Tehran in 2016. He visited Iran in January, when Tehran's nuclear deal with world powers went into effect.

U.S.-IRAN RELATIONS

Sitting inside his empty travel agency in Los Angeles, Farhad Besharati expressed concern about the decline of his business. The majority of his customers are older Persians who come to him when they want to purchase airline tickets to Iran. But lately, he said, some are canceling their flights, and fewer people are arranging trips. Besharati blames recent arrests in his homeland of Iranians who hold dual citizenship, some of whom have received lengthy prison sentences... Hope inspired last year by the signing of a nuclear accord between Iran and the United States and other world powers now commingles with fear, especially in Los Angeles, home to the largest Persian community outside Iran. "My business is down 50%," said Besharati. "[My customers] are asking what would happen to them if they go back to Iran. I tell them if they are not active in politics, they are safe."

SANCTIONS RELIEF

Iran's state-owned shipping company is in advanced talks with Korean shipyard Hyundai Heavy Industries Co. for a $650 million order of container ships and tankers, people involved in the talks said, marking Iran's return to the international market after a decade. The deal may be announced as early as this week and is part of plans by Islamic Republic of Iran Shipping Lines and Iranian Offshore Oil Co., a subsidiary of state oil company National Iranian Oil Co., to spend a total of up to $2.5 billion to modernize their fleets. A Hyundai Heavy spokesman said Monday that Islamic Republic of Iran Shipping Lines, or IRISL, was in talks with the shipyard over a 10-ship order, but gave no details. Iranian shipping companies haven't modernized their fleets since 2006, when the United Nations imposed wide-ranging sanctions against Tehran over its uranium-enrichment program.

Iran will launch after January 2017 its first new-style tender to develop oil and gas fields since the lifting of sanctions, an oil official said on Monday, noting that the deadline to submit pre-qualification documents has been extended until Dec 10. OPEC's third largest oil producer hopes its new Iran Petroleum Contracts (IPC), part of an effort to sweeten the terms it offers on oil development deals, will attract foreign companies and boost production after years of under-investment. Ali Kardor, managing director of the National Iranian Oil Company (NIOC), said that 50 international oil companies have submitted their documents for the tender so far. "We will assess the documents for a month and after that, probably after January, the first oil tender will be held ... for South Azadegan oil field," Kardor said in an interview with ISNA on Monday. Some analysts said Iran's IPCs do not seem attractive enough to raise billions of dollars in foreign direct investment at a time of low oil prices, especially when compared with neighboring Iraq's new oil contracts that enabled it to boost its output.

Iran's oil minister Bijan Namdar Zanganeh invited Brazilian oil companies to take part in Iran's offshore oil and gas projects, SHANA news agency reported Dec. 4. Zanganeh made the remarks on the sidelines of a meeting with Brazil's Minister of Mines and Energy Fernando Coelho Filho in Tehran. The Iranian minister said that Brazilian companies, in particular Petrobras have very good experience in exploration and development of oil fields in deep waters. Iran needs this experience for its oil projects in Caspian Sea, Zanganeh added.

India is inclined to invest up to $20 billion in Iran, Petroleum and Natural Gas Minister Dharmendra Pradhan has said. While expressing India's willingness to invest in Iran's southeastern port of Chabahar, he said his country will make such an investment 'if conditions are provided', IRNA reported on Saturday. He made the remarks during Iran-India Business Round Table which was held in New Delhi on Saturday. Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif, senior managers from Iranian and Indian chambers of commerce, banks, and other sectors including industry, trade, and science attended the business forum, IRNA reported on Saturday.

According to a report by IFP, the International Renewable Energies Conference will be held on December 6-8 with the support of Iranian Vice-Presidency for Science and Technology. More than 70 European and Asian reputable firms in the fields of wind, solar, geothermal and biomass energies will partake in this conference. These companies are from such countries as Germany, Denmark, England, France, Italy, Spain, Austria, China, and Norway. Given the presence of such leading firms as Vestas, nVision, Huawei, Goldwind, Lahmayer, Turboden and FaroWind, as well as reputable global investment companies, this conference will use the opportunity to show Iran's domestic capacities to foreign firms and investors.

The central dealership of Iran's second largest auto manufacturer, SAIPA, opened in Lebanon on Friday. Senior officials from both countries attended the inauguration, namely Iranian Ambassador  Mohammad Fathali and SAIPA chief Mahdi Jamali, Lebanese ministers, politicians and business leaders... In collaboration with Lebanon's Mecanica Group, SAIPA will offer models with a competitive edge that have acceptable quality and are affordable.

The foundation ceremony for the new subsidiary BITZER Iranian will be held at the Espinas Hotel in Tehran today on Monday, 5 December 2016. BITZER compressors have been well represented in the Iranian market for decades. Now the long-standing company is establishing its own subsidiary that reports to its Middle East site in Dubai.

EXTREMISM

Speaking in a lecture marking the demise anniversary of the Prophet Muhammad and the martyrdom anniversary of Imam Hasan al-Mujtaba at the Holy Shrine of Imam al-Ridha, Sayyed Ebrahim Raeisi referred to a truck bombing carried out by Daesh (ISIS/IS) terrorists at a gas station in the Iraqi village of Shomali in the suburbs of Hillah on Thursday, which left around 100 people dead, including dozens of Iranian pilgrims who had completed the Arbaeen pilgrimage, and said, "We know that in reality, the filthy hands of the United States, the Zionist regime and the evil Saudi regime were responsible for this attack in Hillah."

CYBERWARFARE

Recent cyberattacks have frozen an unspecified number of computers at two government agencies in Saudi Arabia, and security experts say it is likely that Iran is behind the digital mayhem. The attacks are believed to have affected thousands of computers at the Saudi civil aviation and transportation agencies, harkening back to a devastating Iranian cyberattack in 2012 that nearly crippled the Saudi state oil company, Aramco... "Since the (U.S.) election especially, there's been a pretty drastic increase in the amount of targeting of Saudi and Israeli institutions by hacking groups that we absolutely know are based out of Iran," said Collin Anderson, an independent researcher currently writing a report on Iranian cyber warfare for the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Anderson said "reasonable degrees of evidence" link the hacking to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, Iran's most powerful security and military organization.

TERRORISM

A Kenyan prosecutor says two Iranian nationals and a Kenyan accused of collecting information to facilitate a terrorist act after allegedly being found with video footage of the Israeli embassy also had filmed the office of Kenya's president. Duncan Ondimu on Tuesday argued against granting bail to the two Iranians, saying they had filmed restricted government sites. The two were arrested a week ago. Iran says they are lawyers and were in Kenya representing two other Iranians jailed for 15 years for terrorism.

SAUDI-IRAN TENSIONS

A Saudi court on Tuesday sentenced 15 people to death for spying for the kingdom's arch-enemy, Iran, Saudi-owned media reported, in a ruling that could further stoke tension between the two rival powers. The Specialised Criminal Court in Riyadh sentenced 15 other suspects to prison terms ranging from six months to 25 years, and acquitted two, the Arabic-language al-Riyadh newspaper said on its website. The suspects, comprising 30 Saudi Shi'ite Muslims, one Iranian and an Afghan, were detained in 2013 on charges of spying for Iran and went on trial in February.

HUMAN RIGHTS

Twelve people involved in the fashion industry in Iran are reported to have been jailed for "spreading prostitution" via images posted online. The eight women and four men were handed sentences of between five months and six years by a court in Shiraz, a lawyer told the Ilna news agency. They were also banned from working in fashion and travelling abroad for two years afterwards, Mahmoud Taravat said... The 12 were convicted of charges including spreading prostitution and promoting corruption via the publication of obscene images online, inciting Muslims to corrupt themselves through putting on fashion shows, and spreading a "Western-style culture of nudity".

The dual national translator for a prestigious film festival was prevented from boarding a flight to Germany at Tehran's Imam Khomeini International Airport and her passport confiscated as she was leaving the country together with her colleague on November 27. "Nooshafarin Dastoori has been summoned to the Intelligence Ministry to explain some things," an informed source told the International Campaign for Human Rights in Iran, although it was not clear what the ministry was seeking. "Everything seemed to be going well until the last airport checkpoint, when Ms. Dastoori was prevented from boarding the plain and her passport was taken away. I know that she was questioned at the security office in the airport but she was not given a reason why she was not allowed to travel abroad. They only told her that she had to stay in Iran for the time being and answer a few questions," said the source. Dastoori, a German-Iranian national, is an assistant to Anke Leweke, the Iran Consultant for the Berlin Film Festival. They were in Tehran to select films, which were confiscated at the airport, according to the source.

In an interview with the Iran-based news outlet Parsineh in April last year, an Iranian Baluchi woman relayed some of the perils of Iran's current civil code. Born in poverty, she said that she was married off to an Afghan man at the age of 12. After fathering seven children, her spouse returned to Afghanistan, leaving her behind with their children - all of whom lack birth certificates. Fearing deportation, she is now staying in a remote mountain home with no running water or electricity. Based on Iran's civil code, the marriage of an Iranian woman to a foreign national is dependent upon special permission from the Foreign Ministry. In practice, this means that Iranian women need to get permission to marry non-Iranian Muslims. Iran's civil code forbids Muslim women from marrying non-Muslim men. An estimated 70,000 marriages between Iranian women and Afghan men are not registered with the National Organization for Civil Registration. Meanwhile, Iran's Interior Ministry has declared all marriages between Iranian women and Afghan men that took place after 2001 invalid.

OPINION & ANALYSIS

When he assumes office in January, Donald Trump will inherit a host of foreign policy problems in the Middle East-from civil wars to terrorist insurgencies. But of all the antagonists in the region that he will have to deal with, Iran, an unpredictable foe with its flag planted in Arab capitals from Beirut to Baghdad, is the most consequential. For Trump, a successful foreign policy in the Middle East will hinge on a successful Iran policy. As the new Trump administration contemplates just what form this policy will take, there are important lessons it can learn from all of its predecessors. Since the advent of the Islamic Republic in 1979, successive administrations-both Republican and Democrat-have wrestled with the theocratic regime, often making the same assumptions and often the same mistakes. To avoid this trap, the new team should absorb the right lessons from this tortured history. The first lesson is that Iran should be treated as a unitary nation-state and not a collection of hard-liners and moderates that American policy can manipulate to its advantage. The entire notion of Iranian factionalism must be reconsidered in the aftermath of the 2009 revolt, when the theocratic state purged the reformers from its midst. It is too facile to suggest that Iran has arrived at the age of internal consensus, but the rivalries that once divided the clerical state are less urgent and less acute today. On core issues of regional hegemony and consolidation of clerical autocracy, the Islamic Republic has arrived at an agreement as both Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and President Hassan Rouhani share the same objectives, even though their tactics may at times differ.

The Trump administration will need to be on its toes to enforce the 2015 Iran nuclear agreement-and stop the Islamic Republic's developing chemical and  biological weapons programs. President-elect Donald Trump called the nuclear deal a "lopsided disgrace" and the "worst deal ever negotiated." Aggressive enforcement of the deal-assuming  Trump does not scrap the pact-will need to be a top priority. Take the example of Iran's violations before the ink was even dry on the deal... Putting aside the disturbing violations of the nuclear and missile restrictions, the drafters of the nuclear accord overlooked Iran's continuing determination to build its chemical and biological warfare capabilities.






Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email press@uani.com.

United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) is a non-partisan, broad-based coalition that is united in a commitment to prevent Iran from fulfilling its ambition to become a regional super-power possessing nuclear weapons.  UANI is an issue-based coalition in which each coalition member will have its own interests as well as the collective goal of advancing an Iran free of nuclear weapons.

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