Top Stories
Daily Telegraph:
"Mojtaba Ahmadi, who served as commander of the Cyber War
Headquarters, was found dead in a wooded area near the town of Karaj,
north-west of the capital, Tehran. Five Iranian nuclear scientists and
the head of the country's ballistic missile programme have been killed
since 2007. The regime has accused Israel's external intelligence agency,
the Mossad, of carrying out these assassinations. Ahmadi was last seen
leaving his home for work on Saturday. He was later found with two
bullets in the heart, according to Alborz, a website linked to the
Revolutionary Guard Corps. 'I could see two bullet wounds on his body and
the extent of his injuries indicated that he had been assassinated from a
close range with a pistol,' an eyewitness told the website. The commander
of the local police said that two people on a motorbike had been involved
in the assassination." http://t.uani.com/GB7bJ6
AP:
"U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry said Thursday it would be
'diplomatic malpractice of the worst order' not to test Iran's
willingness to comply with international demands over its nuclear
program... 'We have an obligation,' Kerry told reporters in Tokyo after
he and Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel met with the foreign and defense
ministers of Japan. 'It would be diplomatic malpractice of the worst
order not to examine every possibility of whether or not you can achieve
that before you ask people to take military action and do what you have
to do to prevent it.' 'You have to exhaust the remedies before you
ratchet up to a next tier of remedies that may have more dramatic
consequences,' he said. However, Kerry stressed that Rouhani's apparent
overtures would be looked at with an extremely critical eye. 'There is
nothing here that is going to be taken at face value and we have made
that clear,' he said. 'It is not words that will make a difference, it's
actions, and the actions clearly are going to have to be sufficient that
the world will understand that not only will they not be on the road to
get a weapon but there is no ability to suddenly break out and achieve
that.'" http://t.uani.com/174Lqbr
AP:
"President Hassan Rouhani said Wednesday that Iran is open to
discussing 'details' of nuclear activities including the enrichment of
uranium, hinting that the Islamic Republic is willing to broaden the
terms of negotiations with world powers. He spoke shortly after receiving
support from a wide range of legislators for his policy of reaching out
to the West... In his remarks Wednesday after meeting with the Cabinet,
Rouhani said Iran has drawn up a 'precise plan' to put on the table at
the next round of talks with the five permanent members of the U.N.
Security Council plus Germany in Geneva later this month. 'Iran's
enrichment right is not negotiable but we must enter into talks to see
what would the other side proposes to us about the details,' he said."
http://t.uani.com/172rx3K
Nuclear
Program
Fars: "Referring
to his phone talk with Obama on the way back to Iran from New York, he
said, 'Before my trip (to New York), the Americans had sent 5 messages to
arrange a meeting between me and Obama, but I turned them down.' 'Then
they raised a plan for a brief meeting, but I didn't agree (with it)
much; we didn't disagree with (the idea to have) a meeting, but its
grounds weren't prepared.'" http://t.uani.com/1aMcT4J
Reuters:
"Iran's Revolutionary Guards said they were investigating the death
of an officer in a 'horrific incident', but denied media reports it was
an assassination... 'In the wake of a horrific incident involving one of
the IRGC officials ... the matter is being investigated and the main
reason of the event and the motive of the attacker has not been
specified,' said an IRGC statement, quoted by Sepah news. Sepah, which is
operated by the Revolutionary Guard, ran its report under the headline
'Denial of news reports of the assassination of one of IRGC's
officials.'" http://t.uani.com/156SgzK
JPost:
"Hours after Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu railed against Iran's
nuclear program from the UN General Assembly's stage on Tuesday, member
states elected Iran to be the rapporteur for the Disarmament and
International Security Committee. Iran's representative will replace
Norwegian diplomat Knut Langeland. The position's duties include relaying
information and reports on disarmament and armament activities between
the committee and the General Assembly. The First Committee on
Disarmament and International Security, which is comprised of all 193
member states, 'considers all disarmament and international security
matters' and 'seeks out solutions to the challenges in the international
security regime.'" http://t.uani.com/GB8JTl
AP:
"A West African man has pleaded not guilty in a Florida courtroom to
U.S. charges of trying to broker an illegal deal to ship tons of uranium
ore from Sierra Leone to Iran. Patrick Campbell entered the plea at a
brief hearing Wednesday in Fort Lauderdale. The 33-year-old Campbell was
indicted on a charge of attempting illegal exports to Iran. The charge
carries a maximum 20-year prison sentence and up to $1 million
fine." http://t.uani.com/1fLry6A
Sanctions
Daily Beast:
"With the government shut down, most U.S. officials enforcing
sanctions on Iran are not at work, potentially undermining pressure on
Tehran as U.S.-Iran negotiations recommence, according to administration
officials, lawmakers, and experts. The Treasury Department has furloughed
approximately 90 percent of the employees in its Office of Terrorist
Financing and Intelligence (TFI), which is responsible for the monitoring
of illicit activities and enforcement of sanctions related to several
countries, including Iran, Syria, and North Korea, Treasury officials told
The Daily Beast. The drastic scaling down of personnel working on those
activities comes just as the Obama administration is engaging in its
first set of diplomatic negotiations with the new Iranian government, led
by President Hassan Rouhani. A subsection of TFI, the Office of Foreign
Asset Control (OFAC), which implements the U.S. government's financial
sanctions, has been forced to furlough nearly all its staff due to the
lapse in congressional funding, said a Treasury Department
spokesman." http://t.uani.com/1bztUQE
Daily Telegraph:
"Iran has foreign exchange reserves that cover less than three
months of imports, a new report says, but warned that the regime could
still 'muddle through' long enough to develop a nuclear weapons
capability by mid-2014. As the US Congress debate further sanctions, the
report found that Iran's banking system was under growing stress and
would have little capacity to defend its currency if it came under
renewed pressure... Iran now has about $80bn in forex reserves, of which
only about $20bn is immediately accessible, according to estimates in the
report that was co-authored with Roubini Global Economics, an
international consultancy. Under the terms of sanctions, Iran has been
able to sell oil to some countries, such as China, Japan and India, but
can only spend the proceeds, estimated at around $50bn, on humanitarian
and non-sanctioned goods. 'These funds would not be available to Iran if
the currency came under pressure,' Rachel Ziemba, Roubini Global
Economics, who said that Iran's economy was now ranked well below most in
the Middle East and emerging market countries as its banking system came
under increased strain. 'The economy has become less flexible which
reduces the government's ability to deal with external shocks, and that
in our view may account for a more accelerated political timeline that
members of the Iranian administration have put forward in recent days,'
she added." http://t.uani.com/15KC6yz
AFP:
"Iranians hope international sanctions that have suffocated the
economy could be lifted if relations improve between Tehran and
Washington after President Hassan Rouhani's historic phone chat with
Barack Obama... Economy Minister Ali Tayyebnia warned in August that the
official figure of 3.5 million unemployed, or 11.2 percent of the
workforce, could rise to 8.5 million with a wave of young people on the
verge of entering the job market. While inflation has dropped slightly,
it currently stands at 39 percent. Consumer prices have nearly doubled in
a year, making common commodities such as staples rice, cooking oil and
chicken too expensive for many people, according to the official
statistics organisation. Iran's currency, the rial, has been grossly
devalued since late 2011. But since Rouhani's charm offensive targeting
the international community, the rial has started to stabilise. Today,
some 30,000 rials buy one US dollar, compared with a rate of 38,000 to
one just a few months ago... Mehdi Miremadi, head of the Franco-Iranian
chamber of commerce, told AFP that he was optimistic but said it was
vital not to forget how bad the economic situation is. 'If certain
sanctions are not lifted within six months, with the priority on those
affecting banking transactions, half of large companies running on
imported materials will close,' he said. Iranian firms have had to resort
to back channels just to survive, he said, explaining that the cost of
doing business has risen by 25 percent because of this." http://t.uani.com/1hnnfd9
Daily Telegraph:
"Peter Voser, chief executive of Royal Dutch Shell, and Christophe
de Margerie, his counterpart at France's Total, used the Oil & Money
conference in London on Tuesday to highlight the potential energy
windfall if sanctions preventing international oil companies from dealing
with Tehran were lifted. 'Longer term, Iran's oil and gas resources
will have to be developed to meet demand,' Mr Voser said. He was echoed
by Mr de Margerie, who said that he hoped doing business with Iran would
again be permitted 'as soon as possible, not just for Total but for the
world and for Iran. Any country cannot stay out of the system.' Before
the tightening of sanctions against Iran a few years ago, Shell and Total
were two of the most active companies doing business with the Islamic
republic." http://t.uani.com/18SvTiC
Trend:
"Iran-Turkey trade turnover has reached some $10.357 billion during
first 8 months of the current year, Iranian Tasnim news portal reported.
Meanwhile the figure in the same period of the last year was $17.527
billion, which indicates a fall by 41 percent. Iran has imported about
$3.133 billion worth of goods from Turkey during the period which
indicates a decrease by 63 percent compared to the same period of last
year, the report said. According to the report, Iran has exported $7.224
billion worth of goods to Turkey during first 8 months of the current
year, which indicates a decrease by 19 percent." http://t.uani.com/1aOfbk5
Bloomberg:
"The combined carrying capacity of oil tankers leaving Iranian ports
last month rose 21 percent from August, vessel-tracking data compiled by
Bloomberg show. The implied capacity of departing ships gained to the
equivalent of 1.30 million barrels a day from 1.07 million barrels,
according to signals gathered by IHS Maritime, a Coulsdon, England-based
research company. The data may be incomplete because not all ship
transmissions are captured." http://t.uani.com/1dXLD5r
Foreign Affairs
Times of Israel:
"Iran's President Hasan Rouhani on Wednesday struck back at Prime
Minister Benjamin Netanyahu following his address at the UN the day
before, saying that Israel's outrage at Iran's empowerment pleases the
Islamic Republic. 'Israel is upset to see that its sword has gone blunt
and Iran grows more powerful day by day,' Rouhani told reporters in
Tehran, according to the semi-official Fars News Agency. Rouhani
also promised to continue Iran's nuclear program with 'full power.' ...
'That an aggressive regime in the region names Iran with coarse language
is the cause of our happiness,' Rouhani said following a cabinet
meeting." http://t.uani.com/1a2lLlS
Opinion &
Analysis
Vali Nasr in NYT:
"The international agreement to destroy Syria's stockpile of
chemical weapons has put diplomacy back at center stage of American
foreign policy. But enforcing America's 'red line' in Syria is only a
prelude to dealing with the thicker, redder line around Iran's nuclear
program. Last week's charm offensive by Iran's new president, Hassan
Rouhani, and his seeming show of flexibility augurs well for a diplomatic
resolution. But America would be naïve to assume that Iran is negotiating
from a position of weakness. To the contrary, Iran has come out of the
Arab Spring better positioned than any of its regional rivals, and the
turmoil in Syria, its ally, has paradoxically strengthened it further.
Witness Mr. Rouhani's statements that distinguished Iran from its Arab
neighbors and asserted that it was uniquely positioned to broker a resolution.
Over the past five years America has thought that only an Iran weakened
by economic sanctions would agree to a nuclear deal. Iran's economy is
indeed in dire straits, which helps explain the decision by its supreme
leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, to put forward Mr. Rouhani, a former
nuclear negotiator, as his interlocutor with the West. It's also true
that Iran has been isolated as the sectarian tenor of the civil war in
Syria incensed the country's largely Sunni population against Shiite Iran
and its clients: the governments in Syria, Lebanon and Iraq. Iran's
diplomatic flexibility is serious, but should not be mistaken for
willingness to surrender. Iran does not see itself as vanquished. Its
political system is still the most steadfast and resilient in the region.
It is reveling in a newfound stability on the back of a surprisingly
smooth presidential election. There were no street protests in Tehran
this year, like those that paralyzed Tehran in 2009, Cairo in 2011 and
Istanbul earlier this year. Indeed, Mr. Rouhani's government, by freeing
political prisoners and potentially relaxing controls on the press and
social media, is showing its confidence. Arab anger notwithstanding,
there is agreement across the region that Iranian support for Syria's
president, Bashar al-Assad, has been effective. That consensus buttresses
Iran's claim to regional power and influence. Syria has showed Iran to be
the only regional actor capable of successfully running a war in another
country - and one with which it does not share a border. Iran has given
the Assad regime money and weapons, deployed fighters in Syria and
created a regional alliance with the Shiite government in Iraq and its
proxy militia Hezbollah in Lebanon to help Mr. Assad. The West thinks of
Russia as Mr. Assad's vital ally, but it is Iran that holds the cards to
his survival... In short, as America approaches talks with Iran over its
nuclear program, it must not assume that Iran is ready to surrender.
America's reduced credibility in the Middle East, because of its waffling
over Syria, is an equally important dynamic in the equation. America will
be going to the negotiating table without the credible threat of war,
facing an Iran basking in newfound domestic stability and benefiting from
its pivotal role in Syria." http://t.uani.com/172tiOq
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Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against
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