Wednesday, December 14, 2016

Eye on Iran: Iran's President Orders Development of Nuclear-Propulsion System for Ships


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Iranian President Hassan Rouhani ordered the development of a nuclear-propulsion system for ships, describing the move as a response to the recent extension of sanctions by the U.S. Congress. He also requested a study of fuel production for the propulsion system and set a three-month deadline for a progress report on both steps, the official Islamic Republic News Agency reported on Tuesday. The White House said the announcement didn't breach the Islamic Republic's nuclear deal last year with the U.S. and five other powers. But Mr. Rouhani's order nevertheless inserts new contention into a relationship that's expected to strain further when President-elect Donald Trump takes office in January. It is unclear whether the move was political posturing aimed mainly at a domestic audience upset at the extension of sanctions or if Iran will follow through on the development of nuclear-powered ships... Many nuclear-powered vessels are fueled with uranium enriched above 90%... The use of any grade of uranium exceeding 3.67% enrichment would violate the nuclear agreement.

Iranian President Hassan Rouhani warned of Israel's misusing the insecurities in the region, and said the Palestinians have no way out, but resistance and jihad against Tel Aviv. "Today, the world public opinion is faced with this strong argument that the Zionist regime has never been after peace, and this argument and reasoning should be used to show that there is no way, but jihad and resistance for the Palestinians against the usurper regime," President Rouhani said in a meeting with Leader of Palestinian Islamic Jihad (PIJ) Ramadan Abdullah Mohammad Shallah in Tehran on Tuesday. Warning that the Zionist regime has in the past two decades misused the security problems in the region, he said that the regime and its supporters have paved the ground for terrorists' operation in the regional states, specially Afghanistan, Pakistan, Iraq, Syria, Lebanon and even North Africa to make them busy with internal security problems and forget the Palestinian issue. Abdullah, for his part, appreciated Iran's support for the Palestinian people and resistance groups, and said if Iran didn't help, the Palestinians wouldn't be able to maintain their position and inform the world of their ideas and causes.

Leader of the Islamic Revolution Ayatollah Seyed Ali Khamenei stressed the necessity for unity among Palestinian groups and their continued fight against the Zionist regime of Israel, saying that in that case, the Tel Aviv regime will cease to exist in 25 years. "The only way to save the Holy Quds is to fight and resist and other ways are doomed to (failure) and fruitless," Ayatollah Khamenei said in a meeting with Secretary General of the Palestinian Islamic Jihad Movement Ramadan Abdullah Shalah and his accompanying delegation in Tehran on Wednesday. "Despite continued attempts by the supporters of the Zionist regime to create crises and make the Palestinian issue fade into oblivion, the holy land will be liberated thanks to the resistance and striving of Palestinian groups," the Leader said. Ayatollah Khamenei further highlighted the importance of the youth population of Palestine and said the Zionist regime will not exist by the next 25 years provided that Palestinians and other Muslims continue their struggle against the Zionists.

UANI IN THE NEWS

Former Sen. Joe Lieberman on the risk of doing business with Tehran's mullahs.

IRAN NUCLEAR DEAL

Senior European diplomats, fresh from conversations with President-elect Donald Trump's transition team, are hopeful that the next U.S. administration won't tear up the Iranian nuclear deal. But they are worried that Mr. Trump could pressure Iran in other ways that will unravel the agreement... EU governments have repeatedly said the deal has worked so far. After Mr. Trump's election, they moved quickly to emphasize they intend to rapidly implement their side of the agreement. The bloc is hoping to benefit from trade deals with Iran made possible by the agreement, which sought to block off Iran's path to a nuclear weapon... However, there is a growing concern that the Trump team could take actions that could imperil the nuclear deal... Trump officials have told European officials the nuclear deal gives them scope to place new terror- or rights-related sanctions on Iranian firms and people over Iran's actions in the region, which include backing for Hezbollah and support for the regime of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad.

BUSINESS RISK

An official with Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has called on Iranian president Hassan Rouhani to cancel a recently signed shipbuilding deal with South Korea. The Guard suggests that its own shipyard should handle the volume instead. The head of the IRGC-controlled construction company Khatam al-Anbiya, Brigadier General Abdullah Abdullahi, argued that the contract is a "neglect of internal power." "The president should revoke the contract to build 10 ships with South Korea and if this is not done, he can no longer be trusted," Abdullahi said, as reported by the state-owned Shargh Daily. Abdullahi said that Khatam al-Anbiya's shipyard, SADRA, is capable of building modern vessels for Islamic Republic of Iran Shipping Lines (IRISL). The IRGC, one of Iran's most politically conservative institutions, is closely intertwined with many sectors of the Iranian economy.

In the final stages of the US election campaign, and even though a majority of polls predicted a Clinton victory, many bankers in Tehran were already starting to feel the Trump effect, as foreign businesses stalled new agreements in Iran fearing the Republican candidate would win. Behzad Golkar, the chief executive of Iranian banking conglomerate Sina Financial and Investment Holding, tells Euromoney that, in the weeks preceding the US election, Omani bankers held back on entering correspondent banking relations with Sina. "Please wait," he says they told him. "We don't know about Trump. Slow down, slow down. Several lawyers advising European firms on re-engaging with Iran say they were also instructed to halt those efforts ahead of the vote... One worried Iranian banker says: "Destroying JCPOA is impossible, but talking badly about it will ruin everything."

SANCTIONS RELIEF

Shipbuilders vying to land more projects amid a global drought in demand are eyeing countries in the Middle East, attracted by eased sanctions against Iran and signs of international oil price recoveries... Since Hyundai Heavy Industries signed a $700 million order to build 10 vessels for Iran's state-owned Islamic Republic of Iran Shipping Lines last week, expectations are growing for other shipbuilders to ink new deals as well. Currently, Iran owns 175 ships. Among them, 43 are more than 20 years old and 110 are more than 10 years old, according to shipping research company Clarksons. Replacement orders for ships older than 20 years alone could result in orders of container and bulk carriers worth more than a trillion won... In September, shipbuilder Samkang M&T inked a $398.8 million deal with Iran's state-run shipyard Iran Shipbuilding & Offshore Industries Complex. The amount is not as big, but it equals roughly two years of revenue. Samkang will supply a 1,000 ton crane and build facilities for the shipyard.

Russia and Iran are exploring the establishment of an Islamic bank as the two countries expand their economic cooperation, the TASS news agency cited Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak as saying. The entire banking system in Iran must abide by Islamic principles such as a ban on interest and gambling, which foreign firms would need to follow if they are to grab business ranging from long-term financing to insurance. "The creation of a Russian-Iranian Islamic bank was discussed. Our banks are exploring the mechanism, the related decision has not been made yet," Novak said at a bilateral meeting held in Tehran. No timeframe or potential size was given for the proposed bank, which would be the first such institution operating in the two countries.

Iran's crude oil exports in December are set to fall 8 percent from November to a five-month low, a source with knowledge of its preliminary tanker schedule said, as lower shipments to China and others in Asia offset bumper exports to Europe. Iran was exempted from last month's OPEC deal to reduce output by 1.2 million barrels per day (bpd) starting from January, and had been expected to boost its output slightly. But Iran's December crude exports excluding condensate are set to fall to 1.88 million bpd, from 2.04 million bpd in November, the source familiar with its export situation said. That may be a sign it is having trouble maintaining output after the lifting of sanctions this year led to a surge in production... Compared with a year ago, Iran's December crude exports are still set to jump 81 percent as shipments to Europe resumed only in February this year, according to the source.

TERRORISM

Hamas representative in Iran Khaled al-Qaddumi said Iran, Hamas Palestinian movement ties is getting better every day. In an exclusive interview with Iranian Students' News Agency, Hamas representative said Palestine is the common bond between Iran and Hama, adding it is the most important issue between the two sides. He went on to say that there is no disagreement over Palestine and the issues related to that between Iran and Hamas, noting even if there is it is not more than 5%. Al-Qaddumi stressed the necessity of being unified to fight against Zionists, saying Zionist is Iran's major enemy.

IRAQ CRISIS

In a significant break with past policy, U.S.-led forces in Iraq have started arming and training hundreds of fighters belonging to Shiite militias historically known for having ties to Iran. The sectarian militias are being trained for the operation to retake the Iraqi city of Mosul. While Mosul's future remains uncertain, the cooperative effort is expected to strengthen the Shiite forces both militarily and politically. The U.S.-led coalition has provided hundreds of guns and training to the fighters in recent weeks, indicating a new level of cooperation, although U.S. military officials quickly moved to downplay it, saying the fighters currently being trained have no ties to the Iranian-backed groups that targeted Americans in the past... "It's a mistake," said Michael Pregent, a former Army paratrooper who served in Iraq and is now an Iraq expert at the Washington-based Hudson Institute. The Shiite militias, he said, were "directly involved in killing Americans. They're sectarian."

HUMAN RIGHTS

The family of an American man imprisoned in Iran has expressed serious concern for his well-being after he penned a suicide note. Robin Shahini, 46, a dual Iranian-American citizen and resident of San Diego for the past 16 years, was sentenced in October to 18 years in prison for "collaborating with a hostile government," referring to the United States. His sentence also included a blasphemy charge for "insulting the revered" on a Facebook page, according to the official sentence handed to Shahini... In an emotionally charged letter to his girlfriend, that was shared with The Foreign Desk, Shahini wrote, "The situation that I am in is ridiculous and my brain cannot cope with this situation. Most of the time thinking to end my life to become free."

OPINION & ANALYSIS

On the campaign trail Donald Trump called the Iran nuclear deal - officially known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) - the worst deal ever negotiated and vowed to scrap it. While no doubt deeply flawed, eighteen months into the Agreement, and after Iran has already pocketed many billions of dollars in sanctions relief, scrapping it is neither realistic nor advisable. An outright rejection of it would only provide a convenient platform for its supporters to shift blame for all the ills that will follow, from the Obama administration to the Trump presidency. Instead, the Trump administration should review the deal, as well as developments over the past year and a half, and take steps to improve the situation. Much can still be done to significantly strengthen it: both on the nuclear dimensions, and regarding attitudes of the US administration toward Iran... Problematic provisions of the deal must be clarified, better defined, and strengthened. For starters, ambiguities in the text - especially regarding the terms for the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) to inspect a suspicious military facility - must be cleared up in order to reduce to an absolute minimum the room for interpretation and Iran's ability to play for time. There is a need to put an end to Iran's false narrative of "nuclear innocence," and state clearly that Iran violated the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) by working on a military nuclear program for years. On this basis, issues that have purposely been kept under wraps by the Obama administration must be brought to light and aired. As an NPT violator, Iran lost its right to any confidentiality privileges in dealing with the IAEA; no secret understandings can be tolerated. Iran's recent missile tests must be seen for what they are: Iran perfecting the delivery mechanism for a possible nuclear warhead.

Iran, which has been using sectarianism as a tool to expand its political influence, has caused a deepening of rift among Muslim communities in the Latin Americas as Tehran made an opening toward the continent. Several reports and experts suggest that the inaction of the U.S. and the nuclear deal have paved the way for Iran's expansionism. While the world is focused on Iran's activities in Iraq, Syria and Yemen primarily, the country has been busy galvanizing its relations with Shiite communities, not only in the Middle East but also in Africa and even in Latin America. Last year, for instance, several Peruvian media outlets warned against the activities of Iran-backed groups in the country while Venezuela's small Muslim community faced a sectarian rift. Asharq al-Awsat, a Middle Eastern media outlet, in July reported "young Peruvians coming mostly from the mountainous region of Abancay where Iran has lately exerted its efforts, convinced 20 young Peruvians to visit Tehran and receive training on Shiism before being sent back home for advocacy." What is more alarming is the fact that the report claimed this group had effectively started working on establishing a political party in the country under the name of "Hezbollah Branch in Peru," driving ire concerning Iran's role and reasons behind its political and religious presence in Peru. Lately, Peruvian media outlets also spoke about the danger of the groups' presence, similar to the so-called "Hezbollah," on Peruvian soil, as they carry terrorist ideologies and are suspected of activities that Iran might use to spread the Shiite sect and extend the ideology of the Iranian Revolution." It was a proof of Iran's activities in Latin America when the U.S. in 2011 revealed a joint plan between the Hezbollah and Mexican drug cartels to assassinate the Saudi ambassador to the U.S.






Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email press@uani.com.

United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) is a non-partisan, broad-based coalition that is united in a commitment to prevent Iran from fulfilling its ambition to become a regional super-power possessing nuclear weapons.  UANI is an issue-based coalition in which each coalition member will have its own interests as well as the collective goal of advancing an Iran free of nuclear weapons.

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