Tuesday, January 28, 2014

Eye on Iran: Interim Nuclear Deal Allows Iran to Continue Centrifuge Research









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Top Stories

LAT: "The interim nuclear deal between Iran and world powers will allow Tehran to continue far more research and development on centrifuges to enrich uranium than has been publicly recognized, according to a veteran Washington nuclear analyst. In a new report, David Albright, president of the nonpartisan Institute for Science and International Security, said the deal may delay development of new centrifuges at the Natanz uranium enrichment facility that haven't yet been fed with uranium hexaflouride, a compound used to produce nuclear fuel. But the accord, which went into effect Jan. 20, will allow Iran to continue research over the next six months on several types of advanced centrifuges already at Natanz. Iran also is likely to continue centrifuge research and development at other sites, including undisclosed locations, according to the report. As a result, the deal is 'not expected to seriously affect Iran's centrifuge research and development program,' the report says... Albright said he hopes to persuade the six powers to push for much stricter limits on centrifuge research and development when they negotiate the final agreement. The issue 'has to be addressed much more aggressively,' said Albright, a former United Nations nuclear inspector who has been frequently consulted by U.S. administrations and Congress." http://t.uani.com/1ncSfSU

WSJ: "Iran and global powers will begin negotiations on a comprehensive agreement to end the decade long dispute over Tehran's nuclear program in mid-February in New York, Western and Iranian officials said on Monday. The meetings, whose dates aren't yet fixed, will mark a shift from Geneva, where three rounds of talks were held beginning in October... Iranian state media on Monday quoted Foreign Minister Javad Zarif saying the date and location for the next round of talks were agreed to during his meeting last week in Davos, Switzerland, with Catherine Ashton, the European Union's foreign-policy chief. The State Department confirmed New York as the site for the talks." http://t.uani.com/1f8NOCL

Sun Sentinel: "United Against Nuclear Iran, a non-partisan, advocacy group that seeks to prevent Iran from fulfilling its ambition to obtain nuclear weapons is working with local and national Jewish Federations on a state and federal level to end Iran's nuclear quest. UANI and Jewish Federations are urging Florida U.S. Senator Bill Nelson to co-sponsor, with the majority of other senators, The Nuclear Weapons Free Iran Act of 2013. The bill is aimed to put forth sanctions if Iran does not dismantle their nuclear capability... 'Obama has passed numerous pieces of legislation including the Comprehensive Iran Sanctions Accountable and Divestment Act in 2010, which allows state and local government to also divest their state funds from Iran,' said Tara Laxer, UANI Florida director. Over half a dozen pieces of state legislation was signed in Florida from divesting state pension funds, overseeing state contracting, divestment from state chartered banks to a rule change by The State Board of Administration, Laxer noted, adding that as UANI Florida director she will be working with State Senator Jeremy Ring (D) Broward and State House Member Bill Hager (R) to push for additional state conditioned sanctions as well in conjunction with federal law." http://t.uani.com/1gmIn8t
   
Nuclear Program & Negotiations

AP: "A majority of Americans support an agreement by the U.S. and five other world powers to limit Iran's disputed nuclear program, but fewer believe it will keep the Islamic republic from building a nuclear bomb. A new Associated Press-GfK poll gave President Barack Obama lower marks for his dealings with Iran... The poll indicated that 60 percent of American adults approve of the six-month agreement. But fewer than half - 47 percent - believe it might work. 'From a diplomatic standpoint, it would be great to be able to negotiate and come up with a solution that would eliminate the chance for nuclear weapons for Iran,' respondent Lance Hughey, 40, a lawyer from LaCrosse, Wis., said Monday. However, 'Iran is a difficult country to trust,' said Hughey, who identified himself as an independent voter with slightly Republican leanings. 'And the leadership that we see out of D.C., the way things have been conducted with Syria ... I don't believe (the president) has the leadership skills to deal with Iran.' The poll concluded that overall, 42 percent approve of how Obama handles Iran - about the same as 44 percent in December. Fewer strongly approve of his performance, 25 percent now compared with 30 percent in December." http://t.uani.com/1ncMR24

Reuters: "Iran's first nuclear power plant at Bushehr is expected to shut down in the next few days for an annual refueling outage, the IRNA news agency reported on Tuesday. Built near the Gulf coast city of Bushehr, the plant had been scheduled to shut in mid January. But the outage was delayed because cold weather meant there was not enough gas available for other power plants to compensate for the loss of nuclear output, a spokesman for Iran's Atomic Energy Organization told the state news agency IRNA. The spokesman said that the refueling process usually takes about one month." http://t.uani.com/1iGCNxW

Sanctions Relief

Bloomberg: "Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan will travel to Tehran today as both countries seek to bolster trade and energy ties while the U.S. cautioned businesses to delay deals with Iran. Erdogan will be accompanied by the foreign, economy and energy ministers as Turkey signs five cooperation agreements, Star newspaper said today, without citing anyone. Erdogan will also meet Iranian President Hassan Rouhani, who has pledged to end his country's political and economic isolation, it said... Turkey and Iran agreed to increase annual trade volume to $30 billion from $22 billion in 2012, as Iran seeks a bigger share in Turkey's energy market and the two countries work toward preferential trade agreements, according to officials from both countries." http://t.uani.com/1ljMd4l

Sanctions Enforcement

WSJ: "The Bank of Moscow agreed to remit $9.5 million to the U.S. over allegations it handled money transfers with a bank under U.S. sanctions. The U.S. Treasury Department's Office of Foreign Assets Control said in an enforcement notice that the Bank of Moscow, which is formally known as the Joint-Stock Commercial Bank, sent 69 transfers totaling more than $41 million through the U.S. between January 2008 and July 2009 on behalf of Bank Melli Iran ZAO, which was placed under U.S. sanctions in October 2007. None of the payment messages Bank of Moscow sent included references to the bank under U.S. sanctions; instead, it identified the bank in abbreviations, the notice said. U.S. financial institutions processed the transactions without intervening, Treasury said." http://t.uani.com/1f7qoPN

Congressional Sanctions Debate

Reuters: "An attempt to impose new sanctions on Iran over its nuclear program has stalled in the U.S. Congress and lawmakers are discussing whether to introduce a much weaker measure, congressional aides said on Monday. Members of the Senate and House of Representatives are considering a non-binding resolution that expresses concern about Iran's nuclear ambitions and calls for negotiators to set strict conditions in talks between Tehran and world powers. That would fall short of tightening sanctions on Iran, as envisioned in a bill that senators have been discussing for months. 'We don't think it is going to come to a vote,' said a Senate aide who requested anonymity because that person was not authorized to speak to the media. 'There are discussions about a resolution.'" http://t.uani.com/1f7k1vQ

Human Rights

IHR: "One prisoner was hanged in public in the city of Qazvin (west of Tehran) today Tuesday January 28, reported the official Iranian media. Based on the official and unofficial reports Iran Human Rights (IHR) has collected, in the first 4 weeks of 2014 at least 61 people have been executed in Iran. Mahmodo Amiry-Moghaddam, the Spokesperson of IHR condemned today's public execution in Qazvin and urged the international community to react to the wave of executions in Iran. The man who was hanged publicly today was according to the prosecutor of Qazvin  identified as 'H. Lotfi' (44 year old)  and was sentenced to death by the Revolutionary Court, convicted of smuggling 8 kilograms of heroin." http://t.uani.com/1edDtYd

Opinion & Analysis

Ali Alfoneh & Reuel Marc Gerecht in TNR:
Ali Alfoneh & Reuel Marc Gerecht in TNR: "Zarif has a small legion of American admirers in New York and Washington-journalists and think tank experts especially-whom he assiduously cultivated while at Turtle Bay. Perhaps even as much as Rouhani, he is the Iranian 'pragmatist' in whom the White House now has put its atomic hopes. So is Zarif a good bet? Is he actually a realist in the Kissingerian tradition? We may now answer these questions more precisely, since Zarif's memoir Aqa-ye Safir: Goftegou ba Mohammad-Javad Zarif, Safir-e Pishin-e Iran dar Sazeman-e Melal-e Mottahed, or Mr. Ambassador: A Conversation with Mohammad-Javad Zarif, Iran's Former Ambassador to the United Nations, has just been published in Tehran. The answer is not entirely edifying. To the extent that his book accurately reflects Zarif's worldview and fundamental beliefs, the affable foreign minister turns out to be every bit as religiously ideological as the radicalized student activist he was in the late 1970s. A certain circumspection is, of course, required: when Zarif commissioned this book, he was obviously interested in returning to the good graces of the Supreme Leader. Ahmadinejad, a lower-class firebrand who exemplified many of Khamenei's passions until he started to question the necessity of the clergy as intermediaries between man and God, loathed the revolutionary upper crust that revolved around Ali-Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani, the rapaciously corrupt clerical majordomo who was the right-hand man of Grand Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, the obsidian-eyed mullah who established Iran's theocracy. Zarif may have felt compelled in this book to alter his religious views and his possible political differences with Khamenei and others who wield the power within the regime. He is without his own power base; his network of friends is largely derivative of those he has served. Still, extended conversations-this memoir is a very long chat with the writer Muhammad-Mehdi Raji-inevitably reveal a lot of truth. And this makes Zarif's book depressing to read-particularly for those who want to believe that Zarif's savoir vivre and wit reflect the Islamic Republic's transformation from a revolutionary state into a more run-of-the-mill, unthreatening if internally unpleasant Middle Eastern authoritarianism. Such hope is difficult to sustain after reading Zarif's book. The memoir also serves as a bad omen for the Islamic Republic's interim nuclear agreement in Geneva-let alone the felicitous aspirations of those in Washington who want to end the cold war between the Islamic Republic and the West through a 'grand bargain,' or just a lot of little ones... 'We have a fundamental problem with the West and especially with America,' Zarif declares. 'This is because we are claimants of a mission, which has a global dimension. It has nothing to do with the level of our strength, and is related to the source of our raison d'ĂȘtre. How come Malaysia [an overwhelmingly Muslim country] doesn't have similar problems? Because Malaysia is not trying to change the international order. It may seek independence and strength, but its definition of strength is the advancement of its national welfare.' While Zarif considers national welfare one of the goals of the Islamic Republic, he stresses that 'we have also defined a global vocation, both in the Constitution and in the ultimate objectives of the Islamic revolution.' He adds: 'I believe that we do not exist without our revolutionary goals.' Zarif does not take the trouble to explain the global vocation of the Islamic Republic, but his reference to the Constitution is doubtlessly to Article 154: '[the Islamic Republic] supports the just struggle of the mustazafun [the oppressed] against the mustakbirun [the arrogant] in every corner of the globe.' This is the 'export-of-the-revolution' clause, which the late Grand Ayatollah Ali Montazeri, Khomeini's 'defrocked' onetime successor, who was perhaps the most Trotskyite of clerical revolutionaries, gingerly moved away from before he died under what was effectively house arrest. Very few others have even gone that far." http://t.uani.com/1edFDXT

MEMRI: "In a September 29, 2013 interview with ABC's George Stephanopoulos, in which Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif was questioned about Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's statements that the Holocaust is a 'myth,' Zarif claimed that Khamenei is not a Holocaust denier and that the statements - which can be found in English on his official English-language website - were a 'bad translation' and 'out of context.' Khamenei had made the statements in a February 2006 speech to Iranian Air Force officers. However, a MEMRI investigation reveals that FM Zarif's claim is false; in Khamenei's original statements, which can be accessed on Khamenei's official Persian-language website, Khamenei did indeed call the Holocaust a 'myth.' Furthermore, in mid-December 2013, Khamenei's office re-released Khamenei's 1998 statements of praise for the work of the late convicted French Holocaust denier Roger Garaudy, on the occasion of the anniversary of Garaudy's 1998 trial in France." http://t.uani.com/1f8Oxnw

Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email Press@UnitedAgainstNuclearIran.com

United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) is a non-partisan, broad-based coalition that is united in a commitment to prevent Iran from fulfilling its ambition to become a regional super-power possessing nuclear weapons.  UANI is an issue-based coalition in which each coalition member will have its own interests as well as the collective goal of advancing an Iran free of nuclear weapons.





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