Thursday, January 2, 2014

Eye on Iran: Date 'Set' to Apply Iran Nuclear Deal: Report








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AFP: "Experts from Iran and the P5+1 group of world powers have chosen January 20 to begin implementing the Geneva deal on Tehran's nuclear programme, IRNA news agency said Wednesday. 'One of the main proposals is to begin applying the agreement from January 20,' the agency cited Hamid Baeedinejad as saying. 'There is agreement in principle on this date, which has yet to be approved by the politicians,' he said. Baeedinejad, who heads the Iranian delegation of experts, had already been reported on Tuesday by the ISNA news agency as saying the deal should be implemented in late January... On Tuesday, Tehran's lead negotiator Abbas Araqchi reported 'good progress' in the technical talks. Baeedinejad said on Wednesday that 'two or three issues of a political nature must be resolved at political levels', without elaborating." http://t.uani.com/1coyJcZ

WSJ: "The next six months will likely determine whether the crisis over Iran's nuclear program can be resolved peacefully, as global powers conduct intensive talks with Tehran aimed at ensuring it can't produce atomic weapons. U.S. and European diplomats have identified several vital issues to be negotiated following the interim deal Iran reached over its nuclear program with the five permanent members of the United Nations and Germany in late November. One is Iran's development of a heavy-water nuclear reactor near the city of Arak. Tehran says it needs the facility to produce isotopes used in medical and industrial pursuits, but American officials are skeptical. Iran, they say, has numerous other facilities capable of producing these isotopes. The negotiators will also seek to reduce Iran's capacity to produce nuclear fuel through the enrichment of uranium. Iran has installed nearly 20,000 centrifuges and amassed enough low-enriched uranium to produce three to four nuclear weapons, if the material is processed further to weapons grade, U.S. officials say... But few analysts expect Tehran to completely dismantle its production facilities, as demanded by some U.S. Congress members and vital U.S. allies like Israel and Saudi Arabia... 'It remains uncertain if Iran recognizes the extent that it will have to roll back its infrastructure to reach a deal,' said Robert Einhorn, a senior fellow at Washington's Brookings Institution who studies proliferation issues." http://t.uani.com/1gqucfj

NYT: "Two members of Iran's hard-line-dominated Parliament were added to a supervisory council responsible for monitoring the country's nuclear negotiating team, Iranian news media reported Wednesday. The additions appeared to strengthen the influence of critics of the talks between Iran and world powers. The two members of Parliament were not identified by name, but they were described as 'legal and technical experts who will be able to prevent misunderstandings by the Americans.' The supervisory council's precise monitoring role has never been made clear. But it now includes one representative from President Hassan Rouhani's government, one from the judiciary, one from the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran and three members of Parliament, the semiofficial Mehr News Agency reported... Supporters of Mr. Rouhani were displeased with the announcement, saying the nuclear talks are taking place under the authority of Ayatollah Khamenei and do not need monitoring." http://t.uani.com/18Zq1Hq
 
Nuclear Negotiations

NYT: "One of Iran's most prominent former diplomats, an ally of President Hassan Rouhani, has returned to the country, ending his unofficial exile in the United States, state news media reported on Tuesday. The former diplomat, Seyed Hossein Mousavian, who for many years was the spokesman of Iran's nuclear negotiation team, left Tehran for Princeton University in 2009 after hard-liners accused him of espionage during earlier rounds of nuclear talks with European powers. 'I have returned to Iran to stay,' he was quoted as saying by the state-run Islamic Republic News Agency, during a commemorative event for the death of the mother of Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif. It was unclear from the news accounts of Mr. Mousavian's return what role, if any, he might play in the current nuclear negotiations or in other government affairs. But the publicity given to his homecoming suggested that Iran's top leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, remained confident in Mr. Rouhani's handling of the nuclear negotiations, which have resulted in a six-month partial freeze of Iran's nuclear activities in exchange for the relaxation of some Western sanctions on the country." http://t.uani.com/1bBQPrS

Sanctions

Colombo Gazette: "The Sri Lankan Government has been informed by the United States that it cannot import crude oil from Iran despite some sanction being lifted recently, the Ministry of Petroleum Resources said. Petroleum Resources Minister Anura Priyadharshana Yapa has had several rounds of talks with the US Embassy in Colombo while the Sri Lankan Embassy in Washington has had talks with the US Government. At these talks it has been said that while world leaders agreed recently to lift some sanctions on Iran the restrictions on importing oil still remains, the Ministry of Petroleum Resources said. The Ministry said that the move is affecting Sri Lanka's ability to refine crude oil at the Sapugaskanda oil refinery which was built to refine Iranian oil." http://t.uani.com/Jwd2kV

Syria Conflict

AFP: "The Syrian government is on course to score major diplomatic 'victories' thanks to the unfailing support of its allies, including Russia, Iran and China, its prime minister said on Tuesday. 'Relations between Syria and Iran are strong and tough, as well as ties with other friendly countries including Russia and the BRIC countries,' premier Wael al-Halqi said referring to Brazil, Russia, India and China. Halqi made the remarks duing the final session of parliament for the year." http://t.uani.com/1a3xow1

WSJ: "U.S. intelligence officials misjudged the extent to which Hezbollah was prepared to double down in support of Mr. Assad. U.S. intelligence initially showed that Hezbollah's leader, Hassan Nasrallah, resisted repeated appeals from Iranian leaders, including the commander of Iran's elite Revolutionary Guards Quds Force, Qasem Soleimani, for sending Hezbollah fighters in large numbers into Syria to reinforce the Assad regime, current and former U.S. officials say. U.S. spy agencies believed Hezbollah's leadership at the time was riven by internal debate, worried that intervening in an uprising next door would be 'bad for the brand' and spark a backlash at home, according to an official briefed on the intelligence. Current and former U.S. officials briefed on the intelligence say Mr. Nasrallah only agreed to the deployments after he received a personal appeal from Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who made clear that Tehran expected Hezbollah to act decisively." http://t.uani.com/1aqsW72

Human Rights

ICHRI: "In an interview with the International Campaign for Human Rights in Iran, Narges Mohammadi, human rights activist and spokesperson for the Defenders of Human Rights Center, acknowledged that the Citizen Rights Charter was a positive step, but noted that the draft document contained many serious shortcomings that needed to be addressed... Narges Mohammadi told the Campaign that the one-month window to seek people's opinion in a society where citizenship rights have been suppressed for years is too short. She also noted that, 'If the President agrees to have a national dialogue about citizenship rights so that he can hear people's real and honest opinions, security issues must be reduced in the society so that people can find the courage to express their opinions. Otherwise, in the face of what itself is a huge violation, they will not be able to accomplish much,' said Mohammadi." http://t.uani.com/Jw8gns

Domestic Politics

Economist: "Five months into Hassan Rohani's presidency, many Iranians agree that things are looking brighter. But for two men in Tehran, hopes are dimming. Mir-Hossein Mousavi (pictured right) and Mehdi Karroubi (pictured left), the opposition presidential candidates who in 2009 drew hundreds of thousands to the streets in protest against President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's re-election, have been confined under house arrest for almost three years. The election of Mr Rohani, a centrist who has tried to put a kinder face on the Islamic Republic, raised expectations for their imminent release. But on December 30th scores of high-ranking conservatives used an official anniversary to insist that Mr Karroubi and Mr Mousavi remain under lock and key." http://t.uani.com/1hiCn06

Al-Monitor: "Conservative and outspoken Iranian MP Ali Motahhari criticized the head of the judiciary for indicting him after he questioned the independence of the judiciary for the harsh sentences that many political activists received for the 2009 election protests. While the indictment of Motahhari appears to be mostly symbolic at the moment, since MPs have immunity unless they violate the constitution, the judiciary's actions and statements made by hard-liners in regard to the 2009 protests reveal still deep divide at the upper echelon of the Islamic Republic of Iran over the 2009 contested election and those who are still imprisoned for challenging the results. In honor of 9 Dey (Dec. 30) pro-government protests that government officials insist ended the Green Movement, on the parliament floor Motahhari criticized the head of the judiciary, Ayatollah Sadegh Larijani, personally for not only the continuation of the house arrests of the two presidential candidates from 2009 but also for the continued imprisonment of lesser known political activists such as Mostafa Tajzadeh and Behzad Nabavi." http://t.uani.com/KkPal5

Foreign Affairs

Business Standard (India): "India's agriculture and processed food exports to Iran have more than doubled both in value and quantity terms, in the last one year, mainly on account of an exceptional surge in Basmati rice exports. Consequently, this year India's export of Basmati rice export to Iran could be highest conceivable past. In value terms, India's Basmati rice exports to Iran increased by 137%, or nearly three folds, while in terms of quantity it increased by 77%, between April and September 2013 and 2014, data from Agricultural and Processed Food Products Export Development Authority (APEDA) show... After US sanctions against Iran, India' export to Iran had suffered a setback. However, with Iran being a key oil supplier to India, both countries reached a new payment mechanism in 2012. Under the method, 45% of India' crude payments were made in rupees through UCO Bank. The rupee resources were being used for making payments for Indian export. Thus, with Iran unable to procure food grains from other countries, India's rice export has witnessed a surge in volume. About 85% of India's agriculture and processed food exports to Iran are on account of Basmati rice, which was affected after the US sanctions." http://t.uani.com/1gqAJGU

Opinion & Analysis

UANI Advisory Board Member Fouad Ajami in Bloomberg: "In a politically contested city such as Beirut, there are public figures who fall to assassins, and others deemed safe by their reasonableness and moderation. The assassination Dec. 27 of former Finance Minister Mohamad Chatah by a car bomb in a swanky part of the city called into question the rules of the sordid political game that has come to dominate Lebanon's life... This political assassination -- by one count, the 17th over the last decade -- fits a pattern. The targets are, in the main, Sunni or Christian politicians, daring writers and journalists who incurred the wrath of the master of the Damascus regime, or the leaders of Hezbollah. There was a time when Beirut was fought over, the spoils of the political game divided among the warlords and the feuding religious sects. This now is of the past. Armed and financed by Iran, working hand in hand with the Syrian regime, Hezbollah has come to dominate the fragile country. The militia's might dwarfs that of the Lebanese state and the national army, let alone the other political contenders for power. Hezbollah, for all practical purposes, is the state -- without the responsibility and the restraints of statehood. The war next door in Syria has altered the political life of Hezbollah. Bashar al-Assad was an ally, but his war against a relentless Sunni rebellion was stalled. Hezbollah, doubtless prodded by its Iranian masters, had to step into the breach. It did so covertly at first, but the Syrian war kept no secrets. Assad's forces had to be rescued in the face of certain defeat in towns on the Syria-Lebanon border. At first, Hezbollah was opaque about its fighters who fell in Syria; they died while performing 'jihadi duty,' it was said. But this duplicity could not last. The myth of Hezbollah as a 'resistance' movement at war with Israel and the U.S. was shredded. Hezbollah had entered the sectarian war between Sunni and Shiite Islam blowing through the Fertile Crescent. Its might and bravado would come to offend and radicalize Lebanese Sunnis who had felt the bonds of solidarity with the rebellion in Syria, but had refrained from stepping into the quagmire there. It had grown much harder to accept Hezbollah as part of the fabric of Lebanese politics. Beirut, as has been its way for decades, illuminates the wider currents swirling around the region. There is a negligible American role in a city that had once been in the American orbit. Iran looms large, behind a veneer of neutrality and distance. The Assad regime, on the ropes a year or so ago, is emboldened again. It has put the word out in Lebanon that it will emerge victorious form its struggle at home, and that Western powers have signaled their acceptance of its writ, since it struck a deal over the disposal of its chemical weapons. The Lebanese state struggles to be heard in its own country; it owes the sustenance it has to France and Saudi Arabia. As for Hezbollah, this is a time of uncertainty. It has power, but its leaders must worry and wonder what will become of them if Iran truly comes to an accommodation with the U.S. A good and decent man, Mohamad Chatah was in the way of sinister designs." http://t.uani.com/1co3UZh

Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email Press@UnitedAgainstNuclearIran.com

United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) is a non-partisan, broad-based coalition that is united in a commitment to prevent Iran from fulfilling its ambition to become a regional super-power possessing nuclear weapons.  UANI is an issue-based coalition in which each coalition member will have its own interests as well as the collective goal of advancing an Iran free of nuclear weapons.

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