Wednesday, June 27, 2018

Eye on Iran: U.S. Toughens Stance on Future Iran Oil Exports



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The U.S. threatened to slap sanctions on countries that don't cut oil imports from Iran to "zero" by Nov. 4, part of the Trump administration's push to further isolate Tehran both politically and economically, a senior U.S. State Department official said. Buyers of Iranian crude had expected the U.S. would allow them time to reduce their oil imports over a much longer period, by issuing sanctions waivers for nations that made significant efforts to cut their purchases. That expectation was partly based on previous comments from top Trump officials, as well as the Obama administration's earlier effort to wean the world off Iranian oil over several years.


At least some buyers of Iranian supplies in the world's biggest oil market are considering acquiescing to U.S. President Donald Trump's demands. As the American administration piles pressure on its allies to entirely halt purchases of Iranian supplies, Japan's Fuji Oil Co. and Taiwan's Formosa Petrochemical Corp. are considering ending imports from the OPEC member -- though they are yet to make a final decision. South Korea has already put some imports on hold while Emirates National Oil Co. in the U.A.E. is trying alternatives to cargoes from the Islamic Republic.


Iran's Supreme leader called on the judiciary to punish those "who disrupt economic security" on Wednesday, following protests earlier this week over the rial's collapse and the prospect of more hardships to come thanks to U.S. measures against Tehran.

SANCTIONS, BUSINESS RISKS, & OTHER ECONOMIC NEWS
  

The United States has told countries to cut all imports of Iranian oil from November and is unlikely to offer any exemptions, a senior State Department official said on Tuesday as the Trump administration ramps up pressure on allies to cut off funding to Iran.


Indonesia's government decided last month to freeze Pertamina's deal to operate the Mansouri oil field in Iran because it wanted to preserve the country's "good relationship" with the United States, Pertamina's Acting Chief Executive Nicke Widyawati said on Tuesday.


Japan and South Korea, two major buyers of Iranian oil, are in talks with the U.S. government in a bid to avoid adverse impacts from Washington's reimposition of sanctions aimed at cutting Iran out of international markets.  


Security solutions provider Westminster Group said it expected to post positive earnings in 2018, though it had suspended work in Iran following President Trump's decision to pull out of an historic nuclear accord. 


Washington's decision to shorten the deadline for cutting off Iranian crude exports threatens to reduce global oil supplies much sooner than anticipated. The big question: Can Saudi Arabia make up for the loss in time? 


Removing Iranian oil from the global market by November as called for by the United States is impossible, an Iranian oil official told the semi-official Tasnim news agency on Wednesday.


Oil prices rose on Wednesday on a supply disruption in Canada, falling U.S. crude stocks, uncertainty over Libyan exports and after U.S. officials told importers to stop buying Iranian crude from November. Brent crude LCOc1 was up 30 cents a barrel at $76.61 by 0800 GMT. U.S. light crude CLc1 was 25 cents higher at $70.78.


The devaluation of the Iranian rial first gained serious steam back in April, partly due to fears of returning US sanctions. As such, the administration of President Hassan Rouhani on April 10 implemented what it called a rate unification policy in order to prevent further depreciation of the national currency. Market fears were found to be justified when US President Donald Trump on May 8 decided to withdraw from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action.

SYRIA, RUSSIA, ISRAEL, HEZBOLLAH, LEBANON & IRAN


The Russian military's main air force base in Syria announced on Tuesday an end to a ceasefire agreement reached with the U.S. and Jordan in southwest Syria, citing breaches by insurgent groups. The decision comes at a time when Syrian President Bashar al-Assad stages a new offensive to retake one of the last rebel-held regions in the country... The ceasefire collapse also occurred as airstrikes reportedly struck Damascus International Airport on Tuesday... The U.K.-based, pro-opposition Syrian Observatory for Human Rights reported that Israeli warplanes struck "a shipment of Iranian weapons" that had arrived at the airport, while Russia's state-run Sputnik News highlighted reports claiming an Iranian cargo plane may have been the target.

PROTESTS & HUMAN RIGHTS


Angry protesters in Iran's capital held a third day of demonstrations on Tuesday over the country's anemic economy as President Hassan Rouhani told the nation that it faces an "economic war" with the United States following America's pullout from the nuclear deal. While online videos showed demonstrators again confronting police on Tehran's streets and alleyways, the protests looked far smaller than those on Monday, when security forces fired tear gas on crowds in front of parliament.


Iran has detained a journalist who served as an adviser to a prominent opposition leader under house arrest. The semi-official ISNA news agency quoted the Tehran prosecutor as saying that Hengameh Shaidi was "on the run" for months before she was arrested on Kish Island. The prosecutor, Abbas Jafari Dolatabadi, did not specify the charges, but accused her of insulting the judiciary with "criminal tweets."


It is the duty of all Iranians to help the government overcome economic problems, a senior Revolutionary Guards commander said Wednesday, according to Fars News.


People with disabilities in Iran face discrimination, abuse, and an inaccessible environment, Human Rights Watch and the Center for Human Rights in Iran said in a joint report released today.


Judging by the enthusiastic reactions in Israel to the renewal of the demonstrations in Iran this week, you'd be forgiven for inferring that the Islamic Republic is nearing collapse, soon to be replaced by a Western-style democracy, and that the nuclear deal will be abrogated and Iran will withdraw its forces from Syria and sign a peace agreement with Israel.

OTHER IRANIAN INTERNAL DEVELOPMENTS


Iran's judiciary must confront those who disrupt economic security, its Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said Wednesday, according to his official website.  "The atmosphere for the work, life and livelihood of the people must be secure," Khamenei said in a meeting with judiciary officials, according to his site. "And the judiciary must confront those who disrupt economic security."


In the past two weeks, south-western cities of Iran - historically known as Arabistan (Khuzestan officially) - have been witnessing protests against water shortage. People have already been suffering as a result of low water quality that has left the locals of cities such as Abadan, Muhammerah (Khorramshahr) and Bawi with little to consume.

GULF STATES, YEMEN, & IRAN


Eight Hezbollah militants from Lebanon have been killed in a Saudi-led coalition attack in Maran in northern Yemen, near the Saudi border. The presence of Iran-backed Lebanese Shiite militia members in the Houthi stronghold of Saada province supports the coalition accusation that Tehran supplies ballistic missiles to the Houthis, and Hezbollah technicians launch them at targets in Saudi Arabia.

MISCELLANEOUS


If you look at the numbers, Trump's travel ban could be described more accurately as an "Iran ban." Of the total of those likely to be affected, Iranians make up the majority.






Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email press@uani.com.

United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) is a non-partisan, broad-based coalition that is united in a commitment to prevent Iran from fulfilling its ambition to become a regional super-power possessing nuclear weapons.  UANI is an issue-based coalition in which each coalition member will have its own interests as well as the collective goal of advancing an Iran free of nuclear weapons.

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